Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction & Picks - NFL
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by Travis Pulver | in NFL Picks
The Texans will try to take a step closer to .500 when they host the Jacksonville Jaguars at NRG Stadium in Houston, TX. Kickoff for this AFC South battle is scheduled for 1 p.m. EST. Fans can follow the action once the game starts on CBS.
It has been a rough year for the Texans, who enter the game with a 3-5 record. The defense has been stellar; one of the best in the NFL. But after making a poor offensive line worse by trading away Laremy Tunsil, run lanes have been hard to come by, and C.J. Stroud spends most of the game running for his life. But after going down with a concussion last week, the Texans will be forced to give Davis Mills the start. Mills was the starter for most of two seasons before losing the job to C.J. Stroud. His play was not encouraging in the second half last week as the offense gained just 87 yards. As for Jacksonville, the Jags are not too far behind the 7-2 Colts at 5-3. They are coming off a win over the Raiders in Las Vegas last week, a 30-29 nail-biter, but had lost their previous two.
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Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
0.765 | 17 | 13 | 4 |
|
6
|
0.706 | 17 | 12 | 5 |
Houston Texans and Jacksonville Jaguars Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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2/6 (33%)
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4/6 (67%)
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4/6 (67%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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Houston Texans against Jacksonville Jaguars : Head to Head (H2H)
60 %
40 %
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Houston Texans - Jacksonville Jaguars Key Points
- Houston leads the all-time series vs. Jacksonville, 31-16.
- Jacksonville beat Houston earlier in the season, 17-10, but hasn't won in Houston since the 2023 season.
- Davis Mills got his first win as a starting quarterback in the NFL vs. the Jaguars in Week 15 of the 2021 season vs. Trevor Lawrence.
- Betting Public: 68% of TOTAL tickets and 66% of the handle are on the OVER.
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Our Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction
With a total this low for an NFL game, it makes perfect sense to bet the over. Houston is averaging 21 ppg and Jacksonville 22. However, the Texans just scored 10 points back in Week 3 against the Jags, and that was with Stroud at quarterback. With Mills, the Texans may need luck just to get on the board. The Houston defense limited the Jags back in Week 3; they’ll do the same in this game.
Our Houston vs. Jacksonville Pick: UNDER 37.5
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.