Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction & Picks - NFL

USA - NFL

Houston Texans
11/9/25 13:00
Jacksonville Jaguars

Prediction:

 

UNDER 37.5

-110
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 by Travis Pulver | in NFL Picks

The Texans will try to take a step closer to .500 when they host the Jacksonville Jaguars at  NRG Stadium in Houston, TX.  Kickoff for this AFC South battle is scheduled for 1 p.m. EST. Fans can follow the action once the game starts on CBS.

It has been a rough year for the Texans, who enter the game with a 3-5 record. The defense has been stellar; one of the best in the NFL. But after making a poor offensive line worse by trading away Laremy Tunsil, run lanes have been hard to come by, and C.J. Stroud spends most of the game running for his life. But after going down with a concussion last week, the Texans will be forced to give Davis Mills the start. Mills was the starter for most of two seasons before losing the job to C.J. Stroud. His play was not encouraging in the second half last week as the offense gained just 87 yards. As for Jacksonville, the Jags are not too far behind the 7-2 Colts at 5-3. They are coming off a win over the Raiders in Las Vegas last week, a 30-29 nail-biter, but had lost their previous two.

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L
4 Jacksonville Jaguars
0.765 17 13 4
6 Houston Texans
0.706 17 12 5

Houston Texans and Jacksonville Jaguars Latest Matches

Houston Texans
Houston Texans Latest matches
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
15 :  18
Denver Broncos

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
26 :  15
San Francisco 49ers

Oct 20, 2025 - NFL

Seattle Seahawks
27 :  19
Houston Texans

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
10 :  44
Houston Texans

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
26 :  0
Tennessee Titans

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
17 :  10
Houston Texans
L W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
15 :  18
Denver Broncos

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
26 :  15
San Francisco 49ers

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
26 :  0
Tennessee Titans

Sep 15, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
19 :  20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Jan 11, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
32 :  12
Los Angeles Chargers

Dec 25, 2024 - NFL

Houston Texans
2 :  31
Baltimore Ravens
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Oct 20, 2025 - NFL

Seattle Seahawks
27 :  19
Houston Texans

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
10 :  44
Houston Texans

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
17 :  10
Houston Texans

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Rams
14 :  9
Houston Texans

Jan 18, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
23 :  14
Houston Texans

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Tennessee Titans
14 :  23
Houston Texans
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars Latest matches
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
29 :  30
Jacksonville Jaguars

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
7 :  35
Los Angeles Rams

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
12 :  20
Seattle Seahawks

Oct 6, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
31 :  28
Kansas City Chiefs

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
21 :  26
Jacksonville Jaguars

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
17 :  10
Houston Texans
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
7 :  35
Los Angeles Rams

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
12 :  20
Seattle Seahawks

Oct 6, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
31 :  28
Kansas City Chiefs

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
17 :  10
Houston Texans

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
26 :  10
Carolina Panthers

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
20 :  13
Tennessee Titans
L W L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
29 :  30
Jacksonville Jaguars

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
21 :  26
Jacksonville Jaguars

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Cincinnati Bengals
31 :  27
Jacksonville Jaguars

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
26 :  23
Jacksonville Jaguars

Dec 8, 2024 - NFL

Tennessee Titans
6 :  10
Jacksonville Jaguars

Nov 17, 2024 - NFL

Detroit Lions
52 :  6
Jacksonville Jaguars

Houston Texans against Jacksonville Jaguars : Head to Head (H2H)

Houston Texans

60 %

Jacksonville Jaguars

40 %

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
17 :  10
Houston Texans

Dec 1, 2024 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
20 :  23
Houston Texans

Sep 29, 2024 - NFL

Houston Texans
24 :  20
Jacksonville Jaguars

Nov 26, 2023 - NFL

Houston Texans
21 :  24
Jacksonville Jaguars

Dec 19, 2021 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
16 :  30
Houston Texans

Houston Texans - Jacksonville Jaguars Key Points

  1. Houston leads the all-time series vs. Jacksonville, 31-16.
  2. Jacksonville beat Houston earlier in the season, 17-10, but hasn't won in Houston since the 2023 season.
  3. Davis Mills got his first win as a starting quarterback in the NFL vs. the Jaguars in Week 15 of the 2021 season vs. Trevor Lawrence.
  4. Betting Public: 68% of TOTAL tickets and 66% of the handle are on the OVER.

Our Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction

With a total this low for an NFL game, it makes perfect sense to bet the over. Houston is averaging 21 ppg and Jacksonville 22. However, the Texans just scored 10 points back in Week 3 against the Jags, and that was with Stroud at quarterback. With Mills, the Texans may need luck just to get on the board. The Houston defense limited the Jags back in Week 3; they’ll do the same in this game.

Our Houston vs. Jacksonville Pick: UNDER 37.5

Prediction:

 

UNDER 37.5

-110
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Picks