ATP - ATP Italian Open
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by Lou Aguila in ATP Italian Open Picks
Jack Draper of Great Britain will try to build more momentum on the red dirt as he vies for another quarterfinal appearance against the upset-minded Corentin Moutet of France at the 2025 Rome Masters on Tuesday.
Draper, who finished runner-up to Casper Ruud in the 2025 Madrid Open, finds himself deep in the round-of-16 of the 2025 Rome Masters, one win away to clinching his fifth quarterfinal appearance this year on the ATP Tour. Draper topped qualifier Vit Kopriva of the Czech Republic 6-4, 6-3 to reach the fourth round of another ATP 1000-level event. The Brit denied Kopriva any chance of converting a breakpoint, holding 100 percent of his serves and winning 80 percent of his first serves.
Moutet ploughed his way to the round of 16 in Rome as the Frenchman booted out three quality opponents to get where he is at now. Moutet grinded out a three-set win over Rinky Hijakata 3-6 6-1 7-5, dismantled a physically and mentally beaten Ugo Humbert 6-3 4-0 ret. and upset Barcelona Open champion Holger Rune 7-5 5-7 7-6(4) in a marathon match to arrange a fourth-round clash with Draper.
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Jack Draper vs Corentin Moutet Form
Jack Draper and Corentin Moutet Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
May 11, 2025 - ATP Italian Open
May 9, 2025 - ATP Italian Open
May 4, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
May 2, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
May 1, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 30, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 11, 2025 - ATP Italian Open
May 9, 2025 - ATP Italian Open
May 7, 2025 - ATP Italian Open
May 1, 2025 - Aix en Provence, France
Apr 30, 2025 - Aix en Provence, France
Apr 23, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Jack Draper - Corentin Moutet Key Points
- Jack Draper defeated Vit Kopriva 6-4 6-3 in the third round of the 2025 Rome Masters.
- Jack Draper is 8-2 on clay in 2025.
- Corentin Moutet defeated Holger Rune 7-5 5-7 7-6(4) in the third round of the 2025 Rome Masters.
- Corentin Moutet is 13-11 in 2025.
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Our Jack Draper vs Corentin Moutet Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Corentin Moutet plays well again, loses valiantly vs. Jack Draper
This is the first time Jack Draper and Corentin Moutet play each other on an ATP Tour match, so I based my prediction on their current form, particularly their performance in this clay-court season. Draper is 8-2 on clay and has won 7 of his last 8 matches on the red dirt. Moutet has beaten three legit ATP campaigners, including Rune in the third round, after struggling to win his opening matches in his first three tournaments. Draper is a no-brainer choice here, but I am taking a gamble on Moutet to cover +4.5 Games because of I am so impressed with the shot-making and poise he showed against Rune in the previous round. If he can replicate such form, I would not even be surprised if pulls off an upset in this one. But that scenario may be a bit of a stretch since Draper is far more consistent than Rune this season. Therefore, I am taking a conservative bet, and that is Moutet losing by at least 4 games. Our betting prediction for Jack Draper vs. Corentin Moutet: Corentin Moutet +4.5 Games.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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