ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
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by Lou Aguila in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Picks
Jack Draper of Great Britain will vie for a spot in the semifinal of the 2025 Madrid Open against a dangerous foe in Matteo Arnaldi of Italy on Tuesday at Arantxa Sanchez Stadium.
Draper systematically tore apart Tommy Paul 6-2 6-2 to book his first quarterfinals since winning the Indian Wells Open. The Brit, who also eliminated Tallon Griekspoor and Matteo Berrettini in this tourney, scored on all his serves and captured 18 points off his first serves and 14 off his second. Draper also converted 4 of 6 breakpoint chances in the match.
Arnaldi continued to ride momentum as he punched his way to the quarterfinal with a straight-set victory over Frances Tiafoe of the United States, 6-3 7-5. Arnaldi, who ousted Novak Djokovic from this tournament with a stunning 6-3 6-4 in the second round, proved that the biggest win of his career was no fluke as he followed it up with comfortable wins over Dzumhur and Tiafoe.
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Jack Draper vs Matteo Arnaldi Form
Jack Draper and Matteo Arnaldi Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 30, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 29, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 26, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 10, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 8, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Mar 22, 2025 - ATP Miami
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 30, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 28, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 26, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 24, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 14, 2025 - ATP Barcelona
Apr 6, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Jack Draper - Matteo Arnaldi Key Points
- Jack Draper defeated Tommy Paul 6-2, 6-2 in the fourth round of the 2025 Madrid Masters.
- Jack Draper has a 28-20 record on clay
- Matteo Arnaldi defeated Frances Tiafoe 6-3 7-5 in the fourth round of the 2025 Madrid Masters.
- Matteo Arnaldi has a 129-66 record on clay.
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Our Jack Draper vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction
Potential Upset Alert: Matteo Arnaldi stuns Jack Draper to reach the semis.
Call me a fool for this pick, but I think Arnaldi has a legitimate shot at another upset against Jack Draper on Thursday. Arnaldi is a seasoned clay court player with over 120 victories. Draper, meanwhile, has 25 wins on clay in his entire career. Another reason why I am rolling the dice on Arnaldi is his 91% service hold percentage and a staggering 61 % breakpoint win percentage. Draper is a terrific player with incredible potential, but Arnaldi is riding a huge wave of momentum entering Thursday’s quarterfinal match. Our betting prediction for Matteo Arnaldi vs. Jack Draper: Matteo Arnaldi will win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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