Jack Draper vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction & Picks - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP 6 Great Britain
Jack Draper
5/2/25 14:00
ATP 11 Italy
Lorenzo Musetti

Prediction:

 

Lorenzo Musetti will win

+154
$1500 offered for betting!

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 by Lou Aguila in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Picks

Jack Draper of Great Britain gears up for a dangerous matchup with Lorenzo Musetti of Italy in the semifinal of the 2025 Madrid Open.

Draper, the 2025 Indian Well champion, rolled to the semifinal round with a dominant victory over Matteo Arnaldi of Italy 6-0 6-4. Fresh off 6-2 6-2 demolition of Tommy Paul in the fourth round, the Brit sustained his potent form in the quarterfinals as he bombarded Arnaldi with a handful of winners and several crafty shots. Draper finished the match without conceding a serve and broke his Italian foe four times.

Musetti improved his 2025 clay-court record to 9-1 after disposing Canadian rising star Gabriel Diallo in straight sets, 6-4 6-3. The Italian firebrand continued to turn heads in Madrid with his terrific play on the red dirt, beating top-10 caliber players left and right before outclassing a giant-killing rising star from Canada. Musetti set himself apart from Diallo by winning 78 percent of his first serves and converting 4 of 6 breakpoint opportunities.

Jack Draper vs Lorenzo Musetti Form

Jack Draper and Lorenzo Musetti Latest Matches

Jack Draper Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 1, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Jack Draper
2 :  0
Matteo Arnaldi

Apr 30, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Jack Draper
2 :  0
Tommy Paul

Apr 29, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Jack Draper
abort
Matteo Berrettini

Apr 26, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Jack Draper
2 :  0
Tallon Griekspoor

Apr 10, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Jack Draper
1 :  2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Apr 8, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Jack Draper
2 :  0
Marcos Giron
Lorenzo Musetti Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 1, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  0
Gabriel Diallo

Apr 30, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Alex De Minaur
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

Apr 29, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Stefanos Tsitsipas
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

Apr 26, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

Apr 13, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Lorenzo Musetti
1 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

Apr 12, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  1
Alex De Minaur

Jack Draper against Lorenzo Musetti : Head to Head (H2H)

Jack Draper

100 %

Lorenzo Musetti

0 %

Oct 26, 2024 - ATP Vienna

Lorenzo Musetti
0 :  2
Jack Draper

Nov 8, 2023 - Sofia Open

Lorenzo Musetti
0 :  2
Jack Draper

Nov 10, 2022 - Next Gen ATP Finals

Lorenzo Musetti
0 :  3
Jack Draper
Compare Jack Draper and Lorenzo Musetti with our comparison tool.

Jack Draper - Lorenzo Musetti Key Points

  1. Jack Draper defeated Matteo Arnaldi 6-0 6-4 in the quarterfinal of the 2025t Madrid Open.
  2. Jack Draper is 3-0 head-to-head vs. Lorenzo Musetti.
  3. Lorenzo Musetti defeated Gabriel Diallo 6-4, 6-3 in the quarterfinals of the 2025 Madrid Open.
  4. Lorenzo Musetti is 9-1 on clay in 2025.

Our Jack Draper vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction

Upset Alert: Lorenzo Musetti earns first win over Jack Draper

Despite his 0-3 record vs. Jack Draper, Lorenzo Musetti is a high-risk, high-reward moneyline pick at +154. Draper is phenomenal again in Madrid, utilizing his athleticism and elite shot-making ability to steamroll his first four opponents in straight sets. However, Musetti has played better in the past two weeks, as he dazzled on the red dirt against Alex De Minaur and Stefanos Tsitsipas. Not a single bit did the signature wins over top-10 players take away Musetti’s focus as the Italian stomped his class against Canadian lucky-loser Gabriel Diallo in the quarterfinal. This match could go the distance because Draper would not allow himself to get swept that easily. Then again, this duel will also show just how superior Musetti is on his favorite surface. Our betting prediction for Lorenzo Musetti vs. Jack Draper: Lorenzo Musetti will win.

Prediction:

 

Lorenzo Musetti will win

+154
$1500 offered for betting!

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Jack Draper vs Lorenzo Musetti Picks