ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open


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by Lou Aguila in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Picks
Jack Draper of Great Britain gears up for a dangerous matchup with Lorenzo Musetti of Italy in the semifinal of the 2025 Madrid Open.
Draper, the 2025 Indian Well champion, rolled to the semifinal round with a dominant victory over Matteo Arnaldi of Italy 6-0 6-4. Fresh off 6-2 6-2 demolition of Tommy Paul in the fourth round, the Brit sustained his potent form in the quarterfinals as he bombarded Arnaldi with a handful of winners and several crafty shots. Draper finished the match without conceding a serve and broke his Italian foe four times.
Musetti improved his 2025 clay-court record to 9-1 after disposing Canadian rising star Gabriel Diallo in straight sets, 6-4 6-3. The Italian firebrand continued to turn heads in Madrid with his terrific play on the red dirt, beating top-10 caliber players left and right before outclassing a giant-killing rising star from Canada. Musetti set himself apart from Diallo by winning 78 percent of his first serves and converting 4 of 6 breakpoint opportunities.
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Jack Draper vs Lorenzo Musetti Form
Jack Draper and Lorenzo Musetti Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 1, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 30, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 29, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 26, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 10, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 8, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
May 1, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 30, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 29, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 26, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 13, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 12, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Jack Draper against Lorenzo Musetti : Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
Oct 26, 2024 - ATP Vienna
Nov 8, 2023 - Sofia Open
Nov 10, 2022 - Next Gen ATP Finals
Jack Draper - Lorenzo Musetti Key Points
- Jack Draper defeated Matteo Arnaldi 6-0 6-4 in the quarterfinal of the 2025t Madrid Open.
- Jack Draper is 3-0 head-to-head vs. Lorenzo Musetti.
- Lorenzo Musetti defeated Gabriel Diallo 6-4, 6-3 in the quarterfinals of the 2025 Madrid Open.
- Lorenzo Musetti is 9-1 on clay in 2025.
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Our Jack Draper vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction
Upset Alert: Lorenzo Musetti earns first win over Jack Draper
Despite his 0-3 record vs. Jack Draper, Lorenzo Musetti is a high-risk, high-reward moneyline pick at +154. Draper is phenomenal again in Madrid, utilizing his athleticism and elite shot-making ability to steamroll his first four opponents in straight sets. However, Musetti has played better in the past two weeks, as he dazzled on the red dirt against Alex De Minaur and Stefanos Tsitsipas. Not a single bit did the signature wins over top-10 players take away Musetti’s focus as the Italian stomped his class against Canadian lucky-loser Gabriel Diallo in the quarterfinal. This match could go the distance because Draper would not allow himself to get swept that easily. Then again, this duel will also show just how superior Musetti is on his favorite surface. Our betting prediction for Lorenzo Musetti vs. Jack Draper: Lorenzo Musetti will win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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