Europe - Women's Euro
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by Erik Gibbs in Women's Euro Picks
Italy Women and Spain Women will close out their Women’s Euro 2025 Group B campaigns with a potentially pivotal clash at Stadion Wankdorf on Friday. Spain enter the fixture as clear favorites—not only to top the group but to win the entire tournament—while Italy find themselves in a familiar situation: needing to avoid a repeat of previous group-stage disappointments.
Spain’s dominance in the group has been emphatic. La Roja opened their tournament with a commanding 5-0 win over Portugal and followed it up by dismantling Belgium 6-2. With those two convincing victories, Spain have already secured a place in the quarter-finals, and even a draw here would guarantee top spot in the group. Given this, head coach Jorge Vilda may take the opportunity to rotate his starting lineup, preserving key players for the knockout rounds while offering valuable tournament minutes to squad members.
Despite Spain’s strength and momentum, Italy will take some comfort from the historical head-to-head record. Le Azzurre have beaten Spain six times, compared to just three wins for La Roja, and are unbeaten in their last two encounters against them. Most recently, the sides met in a friendly where both goals came late, highlighting how evenly matched the teams can be when Italy are at their best.
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Italy W vs Spain W Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
|
2
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Italy W and Spain W Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jul 7, 2025 - Women's Euro
Jul 3, 2025 - Women's Euro
Jun 3, 2025 - Women's Nations League
May 30, 2025 - Women's Nations League
Apr 8, 2025 - Women's Nations League
Apr 4, 2025 - Women's Nations League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 30, 2025 - Women's Nations League
Feb 25, 2025 - Women's Nations League
Feb 21, 2025 - Women's Nations League
Oct 29, 2024 - Int. Friendly Games, Women
Oct 25, 2024 - Int. Friendly Games, Women
Jul 16, 2024 - Women's Euro
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jul 7, 2025 - Women's Euro
Jul 3, 2025 - Women's Euro
Jun 3, 2025 - Women's Nations League
Apr 8, 2025 - Women's Nations League
Apr 4, 2025 - Women's Nations League
Dec 2, 2024 - Int. Friendly Games, Women
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jul 7, 2025 - Women's Euro
Jul 3, 2025 - Women's Euro
Jun 27, 2025 - Int. Friendly Games, Women
Jun 3, 2025 - Women's Nations League
May 30, 2025 - Women's Nations League
Apr 8, 2025 - Women's Nations League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jul 7, 2025 - Women's Euro
Jul 3, 2025 - Women's Euro
Jun 27, 2025 - Int. Friendly Games, Women
Jun 3, 2025 - Women's Nations League
Apr 8, 2025 - Women's Nations League
Feb 21, 2025 - Women's Nations League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
May 30, 2025 - Women's Nations League
Apr 4, 2025 - Women's Nations League
Feb 26, 2025 - Women's Nations League
Dec 3, 2024 - Int. Friendly Games, Women
Oct 29, 2024 - Int. Friendly Games, Women
Aug 6, 2024 - Women's Olympic Tournament
Italy W against Spain W : Head to Head (H2H)
Oct 29, 2024 - Int. Friendly Games, Women
Spain W v Italy W last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Most goals and assists
Italy W
Spain W
A. Caruso
(1 Goals)
,
C. Girelli
(1 Goals)
E. Gonzalez
(3 Goals)
,
A. Putellas
(3 Goals)
L. Di Guglielmo
(1 Assists)
,
G. Greggi
(1 Assists)
M. Caldentey
(2 Assists)
,
A. Putellas
(2 Assists)
Italy W - Spain W Key Points
- Spain are 7-0 in their last 7 games
- Spain have lost only 1 of their last 11 games
- Spain haven't lost to Italy in their last 7 SU games
- Italy haven't been beaten in their last 5 games
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Our Italy W vs Spain W Prediction
Italy’s recent tournament history raises red flags. They have exited at the group stage in each of their past three major tournaments—twice in the Women’s Euros and once at the 2023 World Cup.
While the current squad has shown some signs of resilience, their 1-1 draw with Portugal and any earlier result against Belgium will likely shape what’s required in this final fixture. Ideally, Italy will have wrapped up second place by then; otherwise, they will face immense pressure against one of the best teams in the world.
Group B remains tight behind Spain, with Portugal and Belgium also vying for qualification. If Italy go into the match still needing a point or more to progress, they’ll have to balance defensive solidity with offensive risk, knowing that goal difference could also be a factor. Against Spain’s high possession, technical precision, and attacking depth, that’s a tall order.
In all likelihood, Spain will use this match to fine-tune their setup for the quarter-finals. But for Italy, the stakes could not be higher. Their ability to break a cycle of early exits hinges on holding their nerve and, perhaps, rewriting the script against Europe’s strongest side. Our prediction for Italy vs. Spain: Spain to win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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