Italy vs Norway Prediction & Picks - World Cup

Prediction published on 11/16/25, 11:34 AM  by Erik Gibbs in World Cup Picks

Italy enter this decisive World Cup qualifier against Norway with a mixed but generally positive run of results. They have handled the lower-ranked teams in the group convincingly, posting several multi-goal wins that reaffirm their defensive structure and their ability to manage matches against opponents who sit deep. However, their one major setback came earlier in the group when they suffered a comprehensive loss to Norway. That defeat left them trailing in the standings and has placed additional pressure on this final matchday.

Italy's overall pattern has been solid defending combined with controlled possession, but inconsistency in breaking down stronger defenses has occasionally limited their output. Their clean-sheet record in victories shows what they can do when they dictate tempo, yet the gap created by the loss to Norway means they now need a perfect performance to close the distance.

Norway arrive with near-flawless momentum. They have won every match in the group so far, scoring freely and defending with discipline. Their goal differential is among the best in European qualifying, reflecting a balance between a high-powered attack and an organized back line.

Norway's consistency has stood out; they have avoided dips in performance, responded well to pressure, and maintained a steady rhythm throughout the campaign. Their earlier win over Italy gave them a significant advantage in the standings and established their credibility as the group's strongest side. They travel with confidence, knowing that even a draw is enough to secure top spot.