Iraq vs Norway Prediction & Picks - World Cup

World - World Cup

Iraq
6/16/26 18:00
Norway

Prediction:

 

Norway to win & Under 3.5 goals

+105
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in World Cup Picks

Tuesday will be a special day for the Norwegians, who make their long overdue return to the World Cup. They’ll kick their tournament off with a game against Iraq at Gillette Stadium. 

Iraq and the World Cup aren’t exactly two things that go together. In fact, this will be just the second time in history that the Iraqis have featured in the world’s biggest soccer tournament, with their last appearance coming all the way back in 1986.

The Norwegians have also been away for a while, not playing at the tournament since 1998, when they reached the Round of 16 for the second time having previously done so in 1938. 

In the early betting, the best route appears to be ‘Norway to Win & Under 3.5 Goals’. The team from Scandinavia has more than enough quality to get all three points here, but they’re up against a disciplined Iraq team that will do little other than sit back and frustrate, so it may not be overly high-scoring.

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Iraq vs Norway Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Norway
6 3 2 0 1 +1
4 Iraq
0 3 0 0 3 -11

Iraq and Norway Latest Matches

Iraq
Iraq Latest matches
L L W W D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Jun 9, 2026 - International Friendlies

Iraq
0 :  2
Venezuela

Jun 4, 2026 - International Friendlies

Spain
1 :  1
Iraq

May 29, 2026 - International Friendlies

Andorra
0 :  1
Iraq

Mar 31, 2026 - World Cup

Iraq
2 :  1
Bolivia

Dec 12, 2025 - Arab Cup

Jordan
1 :  0
Iraq

Dec 9, 2025 - Arab Cup

Algeria
2 :  0
Iraq
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jun 9, 2026 - International Friendlies

Iraq
0 :  2
Venezuela

Mar 31, 2026 - World Cup

Iraq
2 :  1
Bolivia

Dec 3, 2025 - Arab Cup

Iraq
2 :  1
Bahrain

Nov 18, 2025 - World Cup

Iraq
2 :  1
United Arab Emirates

Oct 11, 2025 - World Cup

Iraq
1 :  0
Indonesia

Sep 4, 2025 - King's Cup

Iraq
2 :  1
Hong Kong
D W L L W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

Jun 4, 2026 - International Friendlies

Spain
1 :  1
Iraq

May 29, 2026 - International Friendlies

Andorra
0 :  1
Iraq

Dec 12, 2025 - Arab Cup

Jordan
1 :  0
Iraq

Dec 9, 2025 - Arab Cup

Algeria
2 :  0
Iraq

Dec 6, 2025 - Arab Cup

Sudan
0 :  2
Iraq

Nov 13, 2025 - World Cup

United Arab Emirates
1 :  1
Iraq
Norway
Norway Latest matches
W W L D W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jun 7, 2026 - International Friendlies

Morocco
1 :  1
Norway

Jun 1, 2026 - International Friendlies

Norway
3 :  1
Sweden

Mar 31, 2026 - International Friendlies

Norway
0 :  0
Switzerland

Mar 27, 2026 - International Friendlies

Netherlands
2 :  1
Norway

Nov 16, 2025 - World Cup

Italy
1 :  4
Norway

Nov 13, 2025 - World Cup

Norway
4 :  1
Estonia
W W D W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
4 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jun 1, 2026 - International Friendlies

Norway
3 :  1
Sweden

Mar 31, 2026 - International Friendlies

Norway
0 :  0
Switzerland

Nov 13, 2025 - World Cup

Norway
4 :  1
Estonia

Oct 14, 2025 - International Friendlies

Norway
1 :  1
New Zealand

Oct 11, 2025 - World Cup

Norway
5 :  0
Israel

Sep 9, 2025 - World Cup

Norway
11 :  1
Moldova
W W W W L D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jun 7, 2026 - International Friendlies

Morocco
1 :  1
Norway

Mar 27, 2026 - International Friendlies

Netherlands
2 :  1
Norway

Nov 16, 2025 - World Cup

Italy
1 :  4
Norway

Jun 9, 2025 - World Cup

Estonia
0 :  1
Norway

Mar 25, 2025 - World Cup

Israel
2 :  4
Norway

Mar 22, 2025 - World Cup

Moldova
0 :  5
Norway

Iraq - Norway: Form Analysis

Iraq VS Norway Picks & Predictions - World Cup 2026

Having defeated Bolivia in a play-off to qualify back in April, the Iraqis have done little wrong in warming up for the tournament. Towards the end of May, they beat Andorra, before digging very deep indeed to hold European champions Spain to a 1-1 tie. They lost to the Venezuelans last time out, but they certainly weren’t battered.

In truth, they’ve shown enough in recent weeks to suggest that they can frustrate the Norwegians and keep the score respectable. 

A 3-1 win over Sweden recently was more like it, but then last time out, they were a little subdued in tying with the Moroccans. Can they improve here?

In qualifying for this tournament, the Norwegians often exploded into life, scoring bags of goals, but since ensuring that they’d feature on football’s biggest stage, they’ve gone off the boil a little.

Back in March, they lost to the Netherlands, before tying 0– with Switzerland. A 3-1 win over Sweden recently was more like it, but then last time out, they were a little subdued in tying with the Moroccans. Can they improve here?

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Iraq vs Norway Picks

Iraq against Norway Lineups: Starting 11

Iraq

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

12
J. Hassan
3
H. Ali
4
Z. Tahseen
5
A. Hashim
23
M. Doski
8
I. Bayesh
16
A. Alammari
24
Z. Ismael
17
Ali Jasim
18
A. Hussein
9
A. Alhamadi
20
A. Nusa
9
E. Haaland
7
A. Sorloth
14
F. Aursnes
8
S. Berge
10
M. Odegaard
5
D. Moller Wolfe
17
T. Heggem
3
K. Ajer
26
J. Ryerson
1
O. Nyland

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Norway

Substitutes

Iraq
Iraq
Goalkeeper

F. Talib

A. Basil

Defender

A. Maknazi

M. Younus

M. Saadoon

H. Ali 73'

F. Putros

R. Sulaka

Midfielder

A. Sher

Z. Iqbal

Z. Ismael 59'

K. Yakob

Y. Amyn

Forward

A. Yousif

M. Farji

A. Alhamadi 59'

A. Qasem

Ali Jasim 73'

M. Ali

I. Bayesh 78'

Norway
Norway
Goalkeeper

E. Selvik

S. Tangvik

Defender

L. Ostigard

D. Moller Wolfe 73'

H. Falchener

M. Holmgren Pedersen

S. Langas

F. Bjorkan

Midfielder

P. Berg

M. Odegaard 81'

J. Hauge

O. Bobb

A. Sorloth 73'

K. Thorstvedt

F. Aursnes 73'

M. Thorsby

T. Aasgaard

A. Schjelderup

A. Nusa 73'

Forward

J. Strand Larsen

Iraq & Norway Squad Analysis

Given how well they played against the Spanish, or rather how well they fought, Iraq head coach Graham Arnold should select a similar team to the one that took to the field in La Coruna a fortnight ago. One potential change could see Ahmed Qassam come into the starting XI.

The Nashville SC man knows all about playing in North America and that experience could prove to be valuable for the Iraqis. Ahmed Yahya is expected to miss out with an injury.

The Nashville SC man knows all about playing in North America and that experience could prove to be valuable for the Iraqis. 

There are many ways that Ståle Solbakken could go with his starting XI, such is the depth at the disposal of the Norway boss. Erling Haaland is a guaranteed starter up top, while Martin Odegaard and Alexander Sorloth are other key players expected to feature from the outset.

Having impressed against the Swedes recently, RB Leipzig’s Antonio Nusa could complete Norway’s front three alongside Sorloth and Haaland. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Iraq
CD Huachipato Norway
Top Goalscorer
Iraq A. Hussein (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Norway E. Haaland (7 Goals)
Best assists
Iraq A. Alammari (1 Assists)
Best assists
Norway M. Odegaard (4 Assists)

Iraq - Norway Key Points

  1. Only one of Norway's four games in 2026 has contained more than three goals.
  2. Each of Iraq's three warm-up games contained a maximum of two goals.
  3. More than three goals have been scored in none of Iraq's last 17 games.
  4. Even against much better teams in defeat, the Iraq's haven't conceded more than two goals since 2024.
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Our Iraq vs Norway Prediction

After their performance in the qualifiers, Norway is looking to shine in their opening match of the 2026 World Cup. In a group that also includes France and Senegal, the Løvene can’t afford to slip up against Iraq. Eager to fight for a spot in the Round of 16, the team coached by Stale Solbakken will have what it takes to secure its first three points. For their Part, Iraq generally doesn't concede too many goals and will absolutely look to get everyone behind the ball and frustrate.

Our Iraq vs Norway Pick: Norway to Win & Under 3.5 Goals.

Prediction:

 

Norway to win & Under 3.5 goals

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Iraq vs Norway - Other Interesting Picks

Martin Odegaard 1+ Shots on Target

Odds -152
With the Iraqis almost certain to sit deep with men behind the ball, shooting from range could be one of Norway's best routes in this game, and if that's the case, someone like Martin Odegaard can be a real threat. The Arsenal man knows how to let rip, there's no doubting that, while he comes into this game having fired off a shot on target in Norway's final warm-up game against a very good Morocco team.
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Iraq vs Norway match : Frequently asked questions

The World Cup match between Iraq and Norway is scheduled for 06/16/2026 at 18:00, taking place at the Boston Stadium.
The referee for the World Cup match between Iraq and Norway is Pierre Ghislain Atcho.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.