Illinois vs Iowa Hawkeyes Prediction & Picks - NCAA Basketball
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by Travis Pulver | in NCAA Basketball Picks
The Iowa Hawkeyes are set to face the Illinois Fighting Illini in the Elite 8 today at the Toyota Center in Houston, TX. Fans can follow the action once the game gets underway at 6:09 p.m. EST.
With a 77-71 upset win over Nebraska in the Sweet 16, Iowa became the first No. 9 seed to make it to the Elite 8 since Kansas in 2023 and just the fourth in Tournament history (Wichita State, 2013, and George Mason in 2006). They’ll need to control the pace if they are going to record another upset and make the Final Four. Illinois likes to play an up-tempo game, emphasizing early attacks, disrupting opponents, and creating shots. However, the Fighting Illini can get a little sloppy with the ball at times, and their half-court game can suffer if they are forced to slow down.
Iowa, on the other hand, thrives in its efficient half-court offense, a system they know quite well. If they can get hot from 3-point range, they could put Illinois in an early hole. However, they have had issues dealing with what Illinois does: they struggle to keep up with athletic teams, and their defense becomes questionable in transition.
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Illinois vs Iowa Hawkeyes Form
Illinois and Iowa Hawkeyes Latest Matches
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Illinois - Iowa Hawkeyes Key Points
- Illinois ranked No. 3 in efficiency this season (according to KenPom), No. 2 in offense, and No. 21 in defense.
- Iowa ranked No. 7 in efficiency this season, No. 22 in offense and No. 5 in defense.
- Iowa is 6-1 outright on neutral courts and 5-2 ATS.
- Illinois is 5-3 SU and ATS on neutral courts this season.
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Our Illinois vs Iowa Hawkeyes Prediction
Controlling the tempo is crucial to Iowa’s game plan. When they do, they look great, but when they don’t, they tend to struggle. But after watching Illinois take on Houston, I am not confident the Hawkeyes can control the tempo against this Illinois squad if Houston couldn’t. For that reason, I’m leaning towards tasking Illinois to win, but there is no value in the moneyline, and I’m not confident they’ll cover. But this game will be a low-scoring, defensive battle.
Our Iowa vs. Illinois Pick: UNDER 139.5
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.