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by Matt Lowrimore in NBA Picks
Game 2 of the NBA Finals between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers will continue on Sunday in Oklahoma City. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions to see if Indiana can pull off another shocking road win or if the Thunder will bounce back and even the series.
Indiana enters this game off an impressive Game 1 win, as they stormed back to beat Oklahoma City by a score of 111-110. The Pacers led only once in this game, with 0.3 seconds left as Tyrese Haliburton knocked down what essentially was a game-winning shot. As usual, Indiana had a balanced scoring effort, with six players scoring in double figures, including all five of their starters. While Haliburton was the hero in the end, Pascal Siakam led the team in scoring with 19 points.
As for Oklahoma City, they now find themselves needing to win as they cannot afford to lose both of their home games. The Thunder had four players score in double figures in Game 1, including Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who scored a game-high 38 points.
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Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Form
Indiana Pacers and Oklahoma City Thunder Latest Matches
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Indiana Pacers against Oklahoma City Thunder : Head to Head (H2H)
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Indiana Pacers - Oklahoma City Thunder: Form Analysis
Indiana continued their scorching form, as they once again came from behind to beat the heavily favored Thunder in Game 1. The Pacers have now had several instances throughout the playoffs where they have come back from big deficits in the final two minutes of the game.
“The Indiana Pacers are 3-0 SU in Game 2’s in the postseason.”
Despite the loss in Game 1, Oklahoma City has still won eight of their 10 home playoff games. The Thunder previously lost a Game 1 in their series with the Denver Nuggets, but responded in Game 2 by winning 149-106.
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Indiana Pacers & Oklahoma City Thunder Squad Analysis
The Indiana Pacers are fueled by none other than Tyrese Haliburton. He scored just 14 points in Game 1, but his clutch shooting has been remarkable this season. Other than Haliburton, Pascal Siakam has consistently been a major threat, and he is averaging 20.9 points per game in the postseason.
“Tyrese Haliburton has made four baskets to tie or take the lead with under five seconds left in the postseason.”
By far the biggest threat for the Thunder is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. The 2024-2025 NBA MVP scored 38 points in Game 1, the 12th time this postseason he has scored 30+ points.
Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 30.2 points per game in the postseason, and the Thunder will need him to continue his hot shooting if they are going to win Game 2 and the Finals.
Indiana Pacers - Oklahoma City Thunder Key Points
- The Pacers are 3-0 ATS in Game 2’s
- The Pacers are 7-2 SU on the road in the postseason
- The Thunder are 8-2 SU at home in the postseason
- There are no major injuries for the Pacers or Thunder
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Our Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
Despite continuously being labeled underdogs, the Pacers continue to find a way to win, and in the most unlikely scenarios. They are once again double-digit underdogs in Game 2, and it is simply too many points to ask the Thunder to cover.
Granted, the only other time the Thunder lost a Game 1 in the playoffs, they responded with a 43-point win in Game 2 against the Denver Nuggets. That being said, Indiana has had a ton of success in Game 2’s throughout the postseason, including road wins against the Cleveland Cavaliers and the New York Knicks.
Haliburton has arguably been the most clutch player in the postseason, and the Pacers play a brand of basketball that gets everyone involved and contributing big numbers. The Thunder are fully expected to bounce back from their Game 1 loss, but it should once again be close. For that reason, our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers prediction is: Indiana Pacers +11.Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder - Other Interesting Picks
Aaron Nesmith Over 1.5 Made Threes
Our second prediction for Game 2 of the NBA Finals will target Aaron Nesmith from the Indiana Pacers to make at least two three-pointers. Nesmith has been the Pacers’ best three-point shooter this postseason, making 46 of his 93 attempts (49.5%).
He has made at least two three-pointers in 12 of the Pacers’ 17 playoff games, including in Game 1 of this series against the Thunder. Part of the Pacers’ formula to win is being efficient from three-point range, so for that reason, backing Nesmith to make at least two three-pointers will be our play.
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