Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Indiana Pacers
12/27/25 20:00
Miami Heat

Prediction:

 

The Pacers +8.5 points

-106
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 by Lou Aguila in NBA Picks

The Miami Heat will try to stay above .500 as they take on the slumping Indiana Pacers on Saturday at Kaseya Center.

The Heat, who are 1-6 against the spread in their last seven games at home, are pegged at -8.5 points on the spreadline.

Current Form:

Miami ended its three-game slump with a 126-111 win over the Atlanta Hawks on December 26. Norman Powell (25 points) and Pelle Larson (21 points) scored at least 20 points each and Kel’el Ware dominated in the paint with 16 points and 13 rebounds. Jaime Jaquez Jr. provided some scoring punch off the bench with 16 markers. The Heat stayed above .500 at 16-15.

Meanwhile, the Pacers have lost their last seven games, including a blowout loss to the Boston Celtics, 122-140, on Friday. Andrew Nembhard led the way with 18 points and 8 assists, while three bench players scored in double figures. Despite their balanced offense, the Pacers could not stop the torrid hot offense from the Celtics, who made 57 percent of their field goal attempts. At 6-25, the Pacers are now the worst team in the East, which is a sharp turnaround after reaching the finals last June.

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Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
8
Miami Heat
Miami Heat
0.531 32 17 15 2
15
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers
0.188 32 6 26 -8

Indiana Pacers and Miami Heat Latest Matches

Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers Latest matches
L L L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

6/6 (100%)

Dec 26, 2025 - NBA

Boston Celtics
140 :  122
Indiana Pacers

Dec 23, 2025 - NBA

Milwaukee Bucks
111 :  94
Indiana Pacers

Dec 22, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
95 :  103
Boston Celtics

Dec 20, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
109 :  128
New Orleans Pelicans

Dec 18, 2025 - NBA

New York Knicks
114 :  113
Indiana Pacers

Dec 14, 2025 - NBA

Washington Wizards
108 :  89
Indiana Pacers
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Dec 26, 2025 - NBA

Boston Celtics
140 :  122
Indiana Pacers

Dec 23, 2025 - NBA

Milwaukee Bucks
111 :  94
Indiana Pacers

Dec 18, 2025 - NBA

New York Knicks
114 :  113
Indiana Pacers

Dec 14, 2025 - NBA

Washington Wizards
108 :  89
Indiana Pacers

Dec 8, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
105 :  116
Indiana Pacers

Dec 3, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
135 :  120
Indiana Pacers
L L W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Dec 22, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
95 :  103
Boston Celtics

Dec 20, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
109 :  128
New Orleans Pelicans

Dec 12, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
105 :  115
Philadelphia 76ers

Dec 5, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
120 :  105
Chicago Bulls

Nov 26, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
95 :  97
Toronto Raptors

Nov 21, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
109 :  120
Cleveland Cavaliers
Miami Heat
Miami Heat Latest matches
L W L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 26, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
126 :  111
Atlanta Hawks

Dec 23, 2025 - NBA

Toronto Raptors
112 :  91
Miami Heat

Dec 21, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
125 :  132
New York Knicks

Dec 19, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
116 :  129
Boston Celtics

Dec 18, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
106 :  95
Brooklyn Nets

Dec 15, 2025 - NBA

Toronto Raptors
106 :  96
Miami Heat
W L W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 23, 2025 - NBA

Toronto Raptors
112 :  91
Miami Heat

Dec 15, 2025 - NBA

Toronto Raptors
106 :  96
Miami Heat

Dec 6, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
127 :  111
Miami Heat

Dec 1, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
123 :  140
Miami Heat

Nov 29, 2025 - NBA

Detroit Pistons
138 :  135
Miami Heat

Nov 26, 2025 - NBA

Milwaukee Bucks
103 :  106
Miami Heat
L L W L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 26, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
126 :  111
Atlanta Hawks

Dec 21, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
125 :  132
New York Knicks

Dec 19, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
116 :  129
Boston Celtics

Dec 18, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
106 :  95
Brooklyn Nets

Dec 9, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
108 :  117
Orlando Magic

Dec 5, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
105 :  106
Orlando Magic

Indiana Pacers against Miami Heat : Head to Head (H2H)

Indiana Pacers

67 %

Miami Heat

33 %

Feb 28, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
120 :  125
Miami Heat

Jan 2, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
128 :  115
Miami Heat

Nov 17, 2024 - NBA

Miami Heat
110 :  119
Indiana Pacers

Nov 15, 2024 - NBA

Miami Heat
124 :  111
Indiana Pacers

Apr 7, 2024 - NBA

Miami Heat
115 :  117
Indiana Pacers

Dec 2, 2023 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
144 :  129
Miami Heat

Indiana Pacers - Miami Heat Key Points

  1. Indiana is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games.
  2. Indiana is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against Miami.
  3. Miami is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home.
  4. Miami is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games.
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Our Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Prediction

Fearless Forecast: The Pacers are my wildcard pick to cover the spread against the Heat. Miami hasn’t been a reliable pick against the spread as of late, going 1-6 ATS in its last seven games at home. The Heat are also sorely missing the service of their double-double machine, Bam Adebayo (back), and scorer Tyler Herro (toe), making things hard for Miami to pull away from struggling teams like the Pacers. Remember, Indiana is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against Miami. While the chance of an upset win is slim, I feel the Pacers can provide a tough fight against the home team.

Our betting prediction for the Indiana Pacers vs. the Miami Heat: The Pacers +8.5 points

Prediction:

 

The Pacers +8.5 points

-106
$250 offered for betting!

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Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Picks