Indiana Pacers vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Picks - NBA
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by Erik Gibbs | in NBA Picks
The Golden State Warriors and Indiana Pacers will meet tonight, and this matchup pits a seasoned championship contender against an ascending Eastern Conference power that made a statement with its postseason run. The Warriors had a solid yet inconsistent year, finishing with 48 wins and needing the play-in tournament to secure a playoff spot.
Once in the postseason, however, Golden State caught fire. They upset the No. 2 seed in a grueling seven-game first round, showcasing their veteran grit and championship pedigree. While their push ended in the second round, that late surge reaffirmed that the Warriors remain a dangerous team capable of elevating their play in big moments.
Indiana, meanwhile, is coming off a breakthrough campaign in which it emerged as a force in the East. The Pacers won 50 games and earned a top-four seed in the conference, then embarked on a remarkable playoff run. They reached the NBA Finals for the first time since 2000, pushing the eventual champion Oklahoma City Thunder to seven games before falling just short. That deep run cemented Indiana's status as an elite contender and has raised expectations for the young squad moving forward.
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Indiana Pacers vs Golden State Warriors Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
0.515 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 1 |
|
15
|
0.182 | 33 | 6 | 27 | -9 |
Indiana Pacers and Golden State Warriors Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Nov 8, 2025 - NBA
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Nov 5, 2025 - NBA
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Jul 14, 2025 - NBA Summer League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Nov 8, 2025 - NBA
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Jul 18, 2025 - NBA Summer League
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Nov 7, 2025 - NBA
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Nov 4, 2025 - NBA
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Jul 19, 2025 - NBA Summer League
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Nov 7, 2025 - NBA
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Nov 1, 2025 - NBA
Oct 30, 2025 - NBA
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Indiana Pacers against Golden State Warriors : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
Nov 1, 2025 - NBA
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Players list
Substitutes
Indiana Pacers - Golden State Warriors Key Points
- The Over is 1-7 in the Pacers’ last 8 games vs. Western Conference teams
- The Over is 0-5 in the last 5 night games between the Pacers and Warriors
- The Pacers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 away games vs. the Warriors
- The Warriors are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games as favorites vs. Eastern Conference teams
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Our Indiana Pacers vs Golden State Warriors Prediction
For Golden State, the offense still runs through superstar Stephen Curry. He remains one of the league's most explosive scorers – in the playoffs he delivered multiple clutch performances (including a first-round takeover) and continues to be the engine of the Warriors' attack as a constant late-game threat. Veteran All-Star Jimmy Butler brings additional two-way toughness and leadership. Butler showed his ability to elevate in big moments by stepping up with a 33-point outing in one playoff game when Curry was sidelined, all while providing tenacious defense throughout the postseason.
The Pacers counter with their own dynamic duo, headlined by point guard Tyrese Haliburton. Haliburton blossomed into an All-Star floor general, leading the league in assists and orchestrating Indiana's offense with creativity and calm. He delivered under pressure in the playoffs, including hitting a game-winning shot in the Finals that showcased his poise.
Heading into this game, Indiana appears to have a slight edge based on recent form and roster continuity. The Pacers' youth, depth, and momentum from their Finals run could pose problems for Golden State's veteran core, especially if the Warriors show any early-season rust. However, one can never count out the Warriors' championship experience – if Curry catches fire and the defense locks in, Golden State can make it a tight contest. The Pacers look like the more in-form squad and have a strong chance to prevail in a competitive matchup. Our prediction for Golden State Warriors vs Indiana Pacers: Under 227.5 points.
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