Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
7/9/26 22:00
Indiana Fever

Prediction:

 

Indiana Fever on the +4.5 line.

-181
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 by Stephen Abiola in WNBA Picks

Phoenix Mercury (8-14) will look to bounce back to winning ways when they host Indiana Fever (12-9) on Thursday night at PHX Arena. The Mercury saw their three-game winning run come to an end on Wednesday after losing 66-77 to the Sky at home. They did little to help Kahleah Copper, who got 24 points and four rebounds. They’ll want to pick a statement win tonight to protect their newfound mental toughness.

Indiana Fever, meanwhile, have been inconsistent lately despite sitting just 0.5 games behind the Liberty at the top of the East. After defeating the Sparks and the Aces in a comfortable fashion, the Fever dropped their guard on Wednesday night, losing 106-92 to the Sparks. Even the return of Caitlin Clark wasn’t enough to save them from defeat, with the superstar forward contributing nine points and four rebounds. We expect her to make more contributions tonight.

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Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Form

Table

Teams % P W L
7 Indiana Fever
0.571 21 12 9
12 Phoenix Mercury
0.364 22 8 14

Phoenix Mercury and Indiana Fever Latest Matches

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jul 7, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
66 :  77
Chicago Sky

Jul 2, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
90 :  67
Seattle Storm

Jun 27, 2026 - WNBA

Toronto Tempo
80 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 24, 2026 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
109 :  111
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 22, 2026 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
86 :  77
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 20, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
93 :  73
Seattle Storm
L L L W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 7, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
66 :  77
Chicago Sky

Jul 2, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
90 :  67
Seattle Storm

Jun 20, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
93 :  73
Seattle Storm

Jun 17, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
76 :  86
Las Vegas Aces

Jun 13, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
102 :  111
L.a. Sparks

Jun 1, 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
77 :  111
Minnesota Lynx
W L L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jun 27, 2026 - WNBA

Toronto Tempo
80 :  89
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 24, 2026 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
109 :  111
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 22, 2026 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
86 :  77
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 11, 2026 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
85 :  70
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 9, 2026 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
87 :  81
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 5, 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
72 :  78
Phoenix Mercury
Indiana Fever
Indiana Fever Latest matches
L W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 8, 2026 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
106 :  92
Indiana Fever

Jul 5, 2026 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
68 :  84
Indiana Fever

Jun 27, 2026 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
111 :  87
L.a. Sparks

Jun 24, 2026 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
109 :  111
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 22, 2026 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
86 :  77
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 20, 2026 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
113 :  96
Indiana Fever
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 27, 2026 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
111 :  87
L.a. Sparks

Jun 24, 2026 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
109 :  111
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 22, 2026 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
86 :  77
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 18, 2026 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
101 :  108
Atlanta Dream

Jun 16, 2026 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
113 :  91
Toronto Tempo

Jun 11, 2026 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
114 :  106
Chicago Sky
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 8, 2026 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
106 :  92
Indiana Fever

Jul 5, 2026 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
68 :  84
Indiana Fever

Jun 20, 2026 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
113 :  96
Indiana Fever

Jun 13, 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
75 :  85
Indiana Fever

Jun 8, 2026 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
76 :  78
Indiana Fever

Jun 6, 2026 - WNBA

New York Liberty
83 :  75
Indiana Fever

Phoenix Mercury against Indiana Fever : Head to Head (H2H)

Phoenix Mercury

50 %

Indiana Fever

50 %

Jun 24, 2026 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
109 :  111
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 22, 2026 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
86 :  77
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 2, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
85 :  79
Indiana Fever

Aug 7, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
95 :  60
Indiana Fever

Jul 30, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
107 :  101
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 16, 2024 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
98 :  89
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Picks

Players list

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury

L. Held

D. Bonner

V. Ayayi

A. Thomas

K. Copper

Indiana Fever
Indiana Fever

L. Hull

T. Harris

K. Mitchell

A. Boston

M. Billings

Substitutes

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
K. Linskens N. Mack

S. Ciezki

M. Akoa-Makani

S. Whitcomb

Q. Carter

M. Suarez

N. Brochant

Indiana Fever
Indiana Fever

C. Clark

B. Hall

R. Johnson

S. Cunningham

M. Hines-Allen

M. Timpson

G. Vanslooten

D. Dantas

Phoenix Mercury - Indiana Fever Key Points

  1. The Fever are 3-2 ATS in their last five matches.
  2. The Fever are 6-3 ATS in their last nine games against the Mercury.
  3. The Mercury are 2-3 ATS against Eastern Conference teams this season.
  4. The Mercury are 2-4 ATS in their last six home matches.
Up to $200 to bet on Phoenix Mercury - Indiana Fever! 

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Our Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Prediction

The Fever are undoubtedly the stronger and more consistent side in this contest. We expect them to be more ruthless in offense tonight after Caitlin Clark returned from injury against the Sparks. Kelsey Mitchell is also having a strong campaign. She’s their top scorer this season, contributing a team-high of 29 points against the Sparks. However, their defensive struggles have been well documented in 2026, meaning the hosts might stand a chance if they limit Indiana’s scoring opportunities. The visitors have given up an average of 88.9 points per contest, which is only good for 12th. For this reason, we expect a close contest, though Indiana’s highly efficient offense should help them see the game out.

Our prediction for Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever: Indiana Fever on the +4.5 line.

Prediction:

 

Indiana Fever on the +4.5 line.

-181
$200 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.