Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Prediction & Picks - WTA National Bank Open
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Elena Rybakina will shoot for her third consecutive win over Iga Swiatek in the final of the 2026 Canadian Open.
Rybakina, a +115 underdog, defeated Swiatek in straight sets at the 2026 Australian Open.
Current Form:
Iga Swiatek punched her ticket to the women’s singles final of the 2026 Canadian Open with a 6-3, 1-6, 6-3 win over Elina Svitolina on Wednesday. Down 2-3 in the third set, Swiatek won the last four games of the match to beat Svitolina for the first time in three matches. Swiatek improved to 17-6 on the hard court in 2026.
Elena Rybakina also survived Coco Gauff 5-7, 6-2, 6-2 to arrange another showdown with Swiatek. Rybakina won 72 percent of her first serves and broke Gauff five times behind 43 return points. Rybakina is 26-5 on the hard court in 2026.
The Matchup: Rybakina and Swiatek are 6-6 in their head-to-head series. Swiatek is the favorite at -140, but Rybakina is an irresistible play at +115 since she has won the last two meetings with the Pole, including a quarterfinal win at the 2026 Australian Open.
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Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Form
Iga Swiatek and Elena Rybakina Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 10, 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
Aug 8, 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
Aug 6, 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
Aug 4, 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
Jul 4, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jul 2, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 11, 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
Aug 9, 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
Aug 7, 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
Aug 5, 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
Jul 4, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jul 2, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Iga Swiatek against Elena Rybakina : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Jan 27, 2026 - WTA Australian Open
Nov 3, 2025 - WTA Doha
Aug 17, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Jun 1, 2025 - WTA French Open
Feb 13, 2025 - WTA Doha
Apr 20, 2024 - WTA Stuttgart Open
Iga Swiatek - Elena Rybakina Key Points
- Elena Rybakina has beaten Iga Swiatek in their last two meetings.
- Elena Rybakina is 26-5 on the hard courts in 2026.
- Iga Swiatek is 17-6 on the hard court in 2026.
- Iga Swiatek is 1-2 vs. top-5 players in 2026.
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Our Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina Prediction
The Difference Maker: Elena Rybakina’s last win over Iga Swiatek will play a big factor in the outcome of this match.
In the quarterfinals of the 2026 Australian Open, Rybakina fired 11 aces, won 79 percent of her first serves and broke Swiatek four times.
This could happen again if Swiatek doesn’t neutralize Rybakina’s big serves that have overwhelmed the competition over the past two weeks.
The Kazakh is averaging 9.6 aces and winning 73.6 percent of her first serves in Toronto.
Meanwhile, Swiatek is winning 63.1 percent of her first serves and averaging just 0.6 aces in this tourney.
What to Expect: Another three-set classic is likely with both players eager to come away with a WTA 1000 title. In the end, Rybakina’s power game will prove too much down the stretch.
Fearless Forecast: Rybakina edges Swiatek 5-7, 6-4, 7-5
Our betting prediction for Elena Rybakina vs. Iga Swiatek: Elena Rybakina will win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
