Houston Rockets vs Phoenix Suns Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Houston Rockets
11/24/25 21:30
Phoenix Suns

Prediction:

 

Less than 226.5 goals

-110
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 by Erik Gibbs in NBA Picks

The Houston Rockets head to Phoenix on Monday night for a meeting between two Western Conference teams that have opened the season with impressive form. Houston comes in at 10-4 overall and has traveled well so far with a 5-2 road record. Phoenix enters at 10-6 and has been especially strong at home, winning seven of nine on its own floor. Both squads have surged over the last two weeks, posting identical 8-2 marks in their previous ten games.

Houston arrives after a narrow 112-109 loss to Denver, a game in which it closed as a 3.5-point favorite but could not hang on down the stretch. Phoenix is riding the momentum of a tight 114-113 victory over Minnesota, pulling out the win despite being listed as a 4.5-point underdog. The Rockets overall have been one of the hotter teams in the West, winning ten of their last twelve and showing consistency on both ends. They have also controlled the recent series against the Suns, taking seven of the last ten matchups.

Phoenix is also coming off the second leg of a back-to-back, but fatigue has not slowed them much in recent games. Their guard play has been sharp, their execution late in games has improved, and their confidence seems to grow each time they pull out a close finish. Meanwhile, the Rockets could feel the impact of missing so many rotation pieces, especially the scoring and shot creation they typically rely on.

Houston Rockets vs Phoenix Suns Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
5
Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets
0.714 14 10 4 -1
6
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
0.647 17 11 6 3

Houston Rockets and Phoenix Suns Latest Matches

Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets Latest matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Nov 21, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
112 :  109
Houston Rockets

Nov 19, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
114 :  104
Cleveland Cavaliers

Nov 16, 2025 - NBA

Orlando Magic
113 :  117
Houston Rockets

Nov 14, 2025 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
116 :  140
Houston Rockets

Nov 12, 2025 - NBA

Washington Wizards
112 :  135
Houston Rockets

Nov 9, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
122 :  115
Milwaukee Bucks
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Nov 21, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
112 :  109
Houston Rockets

Nov 16, 2025 - NBA

Orlando Magic
113 :  117
Houston Rockets

Nov 14, 2025 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
116 :  140
Houston Rockets

Nov 12, 2025 - NBA

Washington Wizards
112 :  135
Houston Rockets

Nov 3, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
102 :  110
Houston Rockets

Oct 27, 2025 - NBA

Brooklyn Nets
109 :  137
Houston Rockets
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Nov 19, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
114 :  104
Cleveland Cavaliers

Nov 9, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
122 :  115
Milwaukee Bucks

Nov 7, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
110 :  121
San Antonio Spurs

Nov 5, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
124 :  109
Memphis Grizzlies

Nov 1, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
128 :  101
Boston Celtics

Oct 29, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
139 :  121
Toronto Raptors
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Nov 23, 2025 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
102 :  111
Phoenix Suns

Nov 21, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
113 :  114
Phoenix Suns

Nov 18, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
127 :  110
Portland Trail Blazers

Nov 16, 2025 - NBA

Atlanta Hawks
124 :  122
Phoenix Suns

Nov 13, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
98 :  133
Phoenix Suns

Nov 12, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
123 :  114
Dallas Mavericks
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Nov 23, 2025 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
102 :  111
Phoenix Suns

Nov 21, 2025 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
113 :  114
Phoenix Suns

Nov 16, 2025 - NBA

Atlanta Hawks
124 :  122
Phoenix Suns

Nov 13, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
98 :  133
Phoenix Suns

Nov 10, 2025 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
98 :  121
Phoenix Suns

Nov 6, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
102 :  115
Phoenix Suns
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Nov 18, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
127 :  110
Portland Trail Blazers

Nov 12, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
123 :  114
Dallas Mavericks

Nov 8, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
114 :  103
LA Clippers

Nov 4, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
107 :  118
Golden State Warriors

Oct 27, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
134 :  138
Utah Jazz

Oct 25, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
111 :  133
Denver Nuggets

Houston Rockets against Phoenix Suns : Head to Head (H2H)

Houston Rockets

83 %

Phoenix Suns

17 %

Mar 30, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
148 :  109
Phoenix Suns

Mar 12, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
104 :  111
Houston Rockets

Feb 12, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
111 :  119
Houston Rockets

Mar 2, 2024 - NBA

Houston Rockets
118 :  109
Phoenix Suns

Feb 29, 2024 - NBA

Houston Rockets
105 :  110
Phoenix Suns

Feb 23, 2024 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
110 :  114
Houston Rockets

Houston Rockets - Phoenix Suns Key Points

  1. The Over is 0-4 in the Suns’ last 4 home games vs. Western Conference teams
  2. The Suns are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. Western Conference teams
  3. The Suns are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games vs. Western Conference teams
  4. The Rockets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. the Suns following a loss as favorites

Our Houston Rockets vs Phoenix Suns Prediction

Both sides enter this contest shorthanded. Houston is without several key contributors, including Tari Eason, Dorian Finney-Smith, Fred VanVleet, and Kevin Durant. Phoenix is also dealing with its own absences, most notably Grayson Allen and Jalen Green, both of whom will be out again. Even with those limitations, the Suns have found ways to stay competitive and are quietly building one of the stronger early-season resumes in the conference.

Houston has thrived recently thanks to balanced offense and efficient ball movement, but Monday's matchup may test their depth more than usual. The Suns have been steady at home, and their ability to generate offense from multiple spots on the floor gives them a reliable baseline even when short-handed. If Phoenix maintains its defensive pressure and continues to attack mismatches in the half-court, it can create problems for a Rockets lineup operating without several of its most trusted players.

This game still has the potential to stay tight, given how well both teams have been playing, but Phoenix's home form and Houston's injury list tilt the balance slightly toward the Suns. With steadier guard play and better overall health, Phoenix looks positioned to edge out a close one and deliver a minor upset on its home court. Our prediction for Phoenix Suns vs. Houston Rockets: Under 226.5 points.

Prediction:

 

Less than 226.5 goals

-110
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Houston Rockets vs Phoenix Suns Picks