Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Houston Rockets
12/15/25 21:30
Denver Nuggets

Prediction:

 

More than 234.5 goals

-120
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 by Erik Gibbs | in NBA Picks

The Houston Rockets head to Ball Arena tonight for a high-profile Western Conference showdown against the Denver Nuggets, and this matchup has all the ingredients of a playoff-style battle. These are two of the top teams in the conference, separated by only two wins in the standings, and both arrive with strong recent form and plenty at stake. With momentum on both sides, this game should offer a clear measuring stick for where each team truly stands.

Houston has been one of the biggest surprises in the league so far. Sitting at 16-6, the Rockets have paired elite defensive effort with one of the most productive offenses in the NBA. They have won 11 of their last 14 games and six of their last eight, showing an ability to handle both tight finishes and more comfortable wins. Their most recent outing was a narrow 115-113 victory over the Clippers on Thursday, a game that was not always convincing but still demonstrated composure late. Over their last ten games, Houston is 7-3 while averaging 120.6 points per game and allowing just 110.4, a combination that places them among the league's most balanced teams.

Denver, meanwhile, remains a proven contender and enters this game at 18-6. The Nuggets have won six of their last eight games overall and are riding a four-game winning streak after dismantling the Kings 136-105 on the road Thursday. That blowout win highlighted Denver's offensive ceiling when everything clicks. However, there is an unusual wrinkle in their recent success. All four wins during this streak have come away from home. At Ball Arena, the Nuggets are dealing with a four-game home losing streak and will be eager to reestablish their dominance in Denver.

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
2
Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
0.76 25 19 6 5
5
Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets
0.696 23 16 7 -1

Houston Rockets and Denver Nuggets Latest Matches

Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets Latest matches
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 11, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
113 :  115
Houston Rockets

Dec 6, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
109 :  122
Dallas Mavericks

Dec 5, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
98 :  117
Houston Rockets

Dec 3, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
95 :  121
Houston Rockets

Dec 1, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
125 :  133
Utah Jazz

Nov 30, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
129 :  101
Utah Jazz
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Dec 11, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
113 :  115
Houston Rockets

Dec 5, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
98 :  117
Houston Rockets

Dec 3, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
95 :  121
Houston Rockets

Nov 21, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
112 :  109
Houston Rockets

Nov 16, 2025 - NBA

Orlando Magic
113 :  117
Houston Rockets

Nov 14, 2025 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
116 :  140
Houston Rockets
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 6, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
109 :  122
Dallas Mavericks

Dec 1, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
125 :  133
Utah Jazz

Nov 30, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
129 :  101
Utah Jazz

Nov 26, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
104 :  100
Golden State Warriors

Nov 24, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
114 :  92
Phoenix Suns

Nov 19, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
114 :  104
Cleveland Cavaliers
Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Dec 11, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
136 :  105
Sacramento Kings

Dec 7, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
115 :  106
Charlotte Hornets

Dec 5, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
134 :  133
Atlanta Hawks

Dec 3, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
135 :  120
Indiana Pacers

Dec 1, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
131 :  121
Denver Nuggets

Nov 29, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
130 :  112
Phoenix Suns
W W L L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Dec 1, 2025 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
131 :  121
Denver Nuggets

Nov 28, 2025 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
139 :  136
Denver Nuggets

Nov 22, 2025 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
128 :  123
Denver Nuggets

Nov 17, 2025 - NBA

Chicago Bulls
130 :  127
Denver Nuggets

Nov 8, 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
100 :  117
Denver Nuggets

Nov 7, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
104 :  129
Denver Nuggets
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Dec 11, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
136 :  105
Sacramento Kings

Dec 7, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
115 :  106
Charlotte Hornets

Dec 5, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
134 :  133
Atlanta Hawks

Dec 3, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
135 :  120
Indiana Pacers

Nov 29, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
130 :  112
Phoenix Suns

Nov 24, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
125 :  115
Memphis Grizzlies

Houston Rockets against Denver Nuggets : Head to Head (H2H)

Houston Rockets

33 %

Denver Nuggets

67 %

Nov 21, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
112 :  109
Houston Rockets

Apr 13, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
126 :  111
Houston Rockets

Mar 23, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
116 :  111
Houston Rockets

Jan 15, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
128 :  108
Denver Nuggets

Dec 8, 2023 - NBA

Houston Rockets
114 :  106
Denver Nuggets

Nov 29, 2023 - NBA

Houston Rockets
124 :  134
Denver Nuggets

Houston Rockets - Denver Nuggets Key Points

  1. The Over is 10-1 in the Nuggets’ last 11 games as favorites
  2. The Over is 8-1 in the Rockets’ last nine road games vs. Northwest Division teams
  3. The home team is 5-0 in the Rockets’ last five games
  4. The Rockets are 2-10 in their last 12 games at Ball Arena

Our Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Injury concerns add a layer of intrigue. Houston remains without Dorian Finney-Smith and Fred VanVleet, while Tari Eason is listed as questionable. Denver is still missing Aaron Gordon and Christian Braun, two key rotation players whose absence has impacted the team's defensive versatility. Julian Strawther has been upgraded to questionable, but even if he plays, Denver is not at full strength. The Nuggets have had some issues since Gordon and Braun went down, particularly on the defensive end and on the glass.

These teams last met on November 21, when Denver edged Houston 112-109 in a tightly contested game. That result reflects how evenly matched these sides can be. While the Rockets were not dominant in their close win over the Clippers, they have otherwise been one of the hottest teams in the league. Denver's recent run is equally impressive, but their home struggles cannot be ignored.

Given Houston's ability to defend, rebound, and stay disciplined, combined with Denver's current issues at Ball Arena, backing the Rockets as a slight underdog makes sense. This should be a high-level, competitive contest, but Houston's consistency and physical approach give them a real chance to come away with a valuable road win. Our prediction for Denver Nuggets vs. Houston Rockets: Over 234.5 points.

Prediction:

 

More than 234.5 goals

-120
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Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Picks