Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Picks - NBA
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by Lou Aguila in NBA Picks
The Houston Rockets gun for their fifth straight win in Saturday’s road assignment against the Dallas Mavericks.
The Rockets are -8.0 points favorites in this matchup; the Mavs are 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 home games.
Current Form:
The Rockets have won four in a row, but covered the spread in four of their last 10 games. Houston obliterated a -13.5-point handicap on New Year’s Day with a blowout win over the Brooklyn Nets, 120-96. The question now is can they continue their dominance against teams below .500 when they take on the Mavs? By the way, the Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 5 games at American Airlines Center.
The Mavericks have lost four consecutive games, including a disappointing performance against the Philadelphia 76ers, 123-108, on January 1. No Mav scored over 20 points in this game as leaders Anthony Davis and Cooper Flagg finished with 13 and 12 points, respectively. Max Christie led the Mavs with a team-high 18 points. It’s the first time in six games Dallas failed to beat the spread.
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Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
0.647 | 34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
|
11
|
0.368 | 38 | 14 | 24 | -1 |
Houston Rockets and Dallas Mavericks Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jan 1, 2026 - NBA
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0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
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Houston Rockets against Dallas Mavericks : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
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Houston Rockets - Dallas Mavericks Key Points
- Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home.
- Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston.
- Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
- Houston is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games against Dallas.
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Our Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Dallas bounced back to secure an ATS win over the Rockets. This is a risky pick, but I really think the Mavs' 5-1 record in home games against the Rockets is no coincidence. Anthony Davis should like his matchup with Alperen Sengun, who doesn’t have the mobility to cover him in face-up situations. Also, don’t forget that the Mavs dismantled the Rockets 122-109 in their last meeting on December 6. Dallas may not win this one, yet their recent head-to-head success with the Rockets, particularly in the spread game, should enable them to compete with the visitors down the stretch.
Our betting prediction for the Houston Rockets vs. the Dallas Mavericks: The Mavs +8.0
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