Baylor vs Houston Prediction & Picks - NCAA Men
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by Travis Pulver | in NCAA Men Picks
The No. 3 Houston Cougars (26-4, 18-1) will wrap up the regular season on the road against the Baylor Bears (18-12, 10-9) at the Foster Pavilion in Waco, TX. Tipoff for this Big 12 battle is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET with coverage via ESPN.
Houston is coming into this game hot, riding a nine-game win streak that includes a victory over Baylor in Houston (Feb. 10, 76-65) and wins over three ranked teams (No. 13 Arizona 62-58; No. 8 Iowa State 68-59; No. 10 Texas Tech 69-61). Their No. 1-ranked defense has led the way, holding opponents to 59 points per game. No one has scored more than 65 points against them during the win streak. Baylor was one of two teams to hit that mark, but the Bears' defense couldn’t stop Houston’s offense, hence the loss. Since that loss, Baylor has gone 3-3 with wins in their last two games.
Baylor averages a few points more on offense a game (77.3 to 74.5). They’ll need to figure something out against Houston’s stifling defense if they are to pull off an upset in this game. The last team to beat Houston (Texas Tech) hit 12 of 30 three-point attempts. The Bears have averaged 8.7 three-pointers a game.
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Baylor vs Houston Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
0.871 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 10 |
|
137
|
0.581 | 31 | 18 | 13 |
Baylor and Houston Latest Matches
1/1 (100%)
0/1 (0%)
Mar 22, 2024 - NCAA Basketball
1/1 (100%)
0/1 (0%)
Mar 22, 2024 - NCAA Basketball
0/1 (0%)
1/1 (100%)
Mar 29, 2024 - NCAA Basketball
0/1 (0%)
1/1 (100%)
Mar 29, 2024 - NCAA Basketball
Baylor - Houston Key Points
- Houston and Baylor do not have much history, playing just four times since Nov. 30, 2002; both have won twice.
- Houston won the last two, one earlier this season and last year.
- Houston is 7-2 ATS on the road; Baylor is 7-7 ATS at home.
- The OVER is 3-5-1 on the road and 9-5 for Baylor at home.
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Our Baylor vs Houston Prediction
Baylor has been a really good team at home this season (13-2), but Houston has been excellent on the road (9-0). So, in theory, this could end up being a great game that goes down to the wire. But I just don’t see the Bears having the offensive firepower and defensive prowess they’ll need to get a leg up on the Cougars. If the spread had stayed where it opened (-7.5), I might have leaned toward Baylor. But at -4, I think Houston can cover.
Our Houston vs. Baylor Pick: Houston -4
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