Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Prediction & Picks - MLB

USA - MLB

Houston Astros
9/5/25 20:05
Texas Rangers

Prediction:

 

Over 7.5

+102
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 by Carlos Zabala | in MLB Picks

A key series will take place when the Astros and Rangers face off at Globe Life Field, significantly impacting the AL West and, therefore, the playoffs and the wild card race.

As of Thursday night, the Rangers were third in their division, five games behind the Astros, but a game and a half behind the Mariners' last wild card spot.

The Rangers have won seven of their last 10 games, and with elite pitching and a month of competition ahead, the Rangers could well dream of a comeback in their division, especially since they have six games left against the Astros and elite pitching.

The Rangers had their six-game winning streak snapped when they lost the last two games of their series in the desert against the D-backs, but in July they won their previous series against the Astros 2 games to 1.

While the Astros lost a playoff-caliber series against the Yankees on Thursday, the Rangers rested that same day.

Right-hander Merrill Kelly is already known; he will be the Rangers' pitcher on Friday. In each of his four starts in August, he consistently pitched six innings each time.

Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Form

Table

Teams % P W L
8
Houston Astros
Houston Astros
0.545 143 78 65
14
Texas Rangers
Texas Rangers
0.51 143 73 70

Houston Astros and Texas Rangers Latest Matches

Houston Astros
Houston Astros Latest matches
W L W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 4, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
8 :  4
Houston Astros

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
7 :  8
Houston Astros

Sep 2, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
7 :  1
Houston Astros

Sep 1, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
3 :  8
Houston Astros

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
3 :  0
Houston Astros

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
4 :  1
Houston Astros
W L W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 4, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
8 :  4
Houston Astros

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
7 :  8
Houston Astros

Sep 2, 2025 - MLB

New York Yankees
7 :  1
Houston Astros

Sep 1, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
3 :  8
Houston Astros

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
3 :  0
Houston Astros

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
4 :  1
Houston Astros
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 24, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  3
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 23, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
9 :  8
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 22, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
10 :  7
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 21, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
7 :  2
Baltimore Orioles

Aug 20, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  7
Detroit Tigers

Aug 19, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
0 :  1
Detroit Tigers
Texas Rangers
Texas Rangers Latest matches
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
0 :  2
Arizona Diamondbacks

Sep 2, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
3 :  5
Arizona Diamondbacks

Sep 1, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
7 :  5
Arizona Diamondbacks

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
9 :  6
Athletics

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
9 :  3
Athletics

Aug 29, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
5 :  2
Athletics
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 27, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
3 :  20
Texas Rangers

Aug 26, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
3 :  7
Texas Rangers

Aug 25, 2025 - MLB

Los Angeles Angels
4 :  0
Texas Rangers

Aug 24, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
0 :  5
Texas Rangers

Aug 23, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
0 :  10
Texas Rangers

Aug 22, 2025 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
3 :  4
Texas Rangers
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 3, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
0 :  2
Arizona Diamondbacks

Sep 2, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
3 :  5
Arizona Diamondbacks

Sep 1, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
7 :  5
Arizona Diamondbacks

Aug 31, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
9 :  6
Athletics

Aug 30, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
9 :  3
Athletics

Aug 29, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
5 :  2
Athletics

Houston Astros against Texas Rangers : Head to Head (H2H)

Houston Astros

50 %

Texas Rangers

50 %

Jul 13, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
5 :  1
Houston Astros

Jul 12, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
4 :  5
Houston Astros

Jul 11, 2025 - MLB

Texas Rangers
7 :  3
Houston Astros

May 18, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
4 :  3
Texas Rangers

May 17, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
1 :  5
Texas Rangers

May 16, 2025 - MLB

Houston Astros
6 :  3
Texas Rangers

Houston Astros - Texas Rangers Key Points

  1. Rangers' pitching allows the fewest runs per game in all of MLB (3.7)
  2. The Rangers' 23-23 record against division opponents is the Astros' 18-19 record
  3. Rangers' pitching: MLB-best ERA at 3.45 and WHIP at 1.15
  4. Rangers' FDL% is the best in MLB

Our Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Prediction

The Astros' 5-5 record in their last 10 games is the Astros' 5-5 record in their last 10 games, although September will bring a close to the regular season against easy opponents (the A's and Angels) at the end of the month. At the start of September, they will face Texas, Toronto, Atlanta, and then Texas again.

In the midweek series against the Yankees, the Astros hit big, especially Yordan Álvarez, who returned from injury hitting harder than ever; in two games against the Yankees, he went 8-for-10.

But the Rangers' offense has also been explosive in the last 10 games; they've finally unleashed the momentum they'd hoped for, and over that span of games, they're averaging 6.6 runs and 1.7 home runs per game.

Our prediction for Astros vs Rangers is: Over 7.5 runs.

Prediction:

 

Over 7.5

+102
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Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers Picks