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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
The Houston Astros seek their third win in four games in Game 3 of their series against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Thursday at PNC Park.
After blanking the Pirates 3-0 in the series opener, the Astros got a dose of their own medicine in the next game as the home team responded with a 3-0 win of their own. Houston’s offense is in a dreadful form recently, averaging 1.9 runs per game on a .206 batting average. The Astros have also posted a 4.09 ERA in their last 5 games, which is significantly higher than their 3.59 ERA this season.
The Pirates have won 2 of their last 4 games, but Wednesday’s victory over the Astros showcased the ridiculous pitching upside they have in their hands. Mike Burrows threw for 5.1 innings, allowing zero runs and five hits with 6 strikeouts. As a team, Pittsburgh has pitched a 2.51 ERA and 0.84 WHIP over the last five games.
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Houston Astros vs Pittsburgh Pirates Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
0.548 | 62 | 34 | 28 |
|
28
|
0.365 | 63 | 23 | 40 |
Houston Astros and Pittsburgh Pirates Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jun 4, 2025 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jun 1, 2025 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jun 4, 2025 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jun 4, 2025 - MLB
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May 28, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jun 4, 2025 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jun 1, 2025 - MLB
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May 27, 2025 - MLB
May 26, 2025 - MLB
Houston Astros against Pittsburgh Pirates : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Jun 4, 2025 - MLB
Jun 3, 2025 - MLB
Jul 31, 2024 - MLB
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Jun 27, 2019 - MLB
Houston Astros - Pittsburgh Pirates Key Points
- Houston is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games.
- Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh.
- Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston.
- Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games played in June.
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Our Houston Astros vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
Why you should bet on the Pirates to cover +1.5 runs (Win $100 on a $130 Bet): The Pirates are fielding Mitch Keller (2.90 ERA) to counter Astros’ ace Framber Vasquez, who has powered the Astros to victory in his last five starts. On paper, the Astros look like an attractive pick to win or even cover a -1.5 run spread. However, Houston is averaging 1.9 runs per game over their last five games and 2.67 runs per game in their last 3 meetings with the Pirates. It also doesn’t help that the Astros' bullpen carries a 10.89 ERA in their last 5 games, making them susceptible to late-game rallies. Still, I think the Astros are going to grind out a win in this one, but again by the slightest margin.
Our betting prediction for the Houston Astros vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: the Pirates +1.5 runs
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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