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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
The Miami Marlins’ 5-game winning streak is on the line on Monday when they host the Houston Astros at LoanDepot Park.
The Marlins’ surging continued through the weekend, completing a three-game sweep of the New York Yankees. Miami added 7 more to their run tally against the Yankees as Kyle Stowers blasted a three-run homer and finished with four RBIs to power his team to a 7-3 win over the Bronx Bombers. Miami is now at .500 with a 55-55 record, trailing only the New York Mets (63-49) and the Philadelphia Phillies (62-48) in the NL East.
Meanwhile, the Astros have just come from the receiving end of a sweep at the hands of the Boston Red Sox over the weekend. Houston could not score more than their season average of 4.4 runs per game as Boston’s pitchers dominated in all three games. Houston still sits at the top of the AL West with a 62-50 record, but the 60-53 Seattle Mariners have closed the gap, cutting the Astros’ lead to 2.5 games.
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Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
0.561 | 114 | 64 | 50 |
|
18
|
0.491 | 112 | 55 | 57 |
Houston Astros and Miami Marlins Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 3, 2025 - MLB
Aug 2, 2025 - MLB
Aug 1, 2025 - MLB
Jul 23, 2025 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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Houston Astros against Miami Marlins : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Mar 22, 2025 - MLB Spring Training
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Houston Astros - Miami Marlins Key Points
- Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami.
- Houston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games against an opponent in the National League.
- Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
- Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home.
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Our Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins Prediction
Fearless Forecast – Marlins earn another ATS win at home.
The Marlins are coming into Monday’s series-opener with the Astros with a 31-25 against the spread record at home and 67-43 ATS overall. They have become a popular pick against the spread because of their ability to surpass the underdog expectations and succeed in games where they are the favorites.
The Astros have a winning ATS record on the road (28-25), but they are 0-3 in their last three away road games, courtesy of the Red Sox. Houston’s offense has to recover quickly from a stretch of unproductivity if it wants to foil the Marlins at home.
Marlins pitcher Sandy Alcantara (4.66 ERA in his last 5 starts) takes his three-start win streak into his matchup with Astros RHP Jason Alexander, who is sporting a 5.96 ERA in his last five starts.
The Astros have won the last five meetings with the Marlins, making them the favorites to win. However, the Marlins are in a terrific position to bust the losing streak and earn an ATS win at home, where are 4-0 ATS in their last four.
Our betting prediction for the Houston Astros vs. the Miami Marlins: the Marlins +1.5 runs.
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