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by Travis Pulver in MLB Picks
The Los Angeles Angels will go for the series win over the Astros when they host Houston in Game 3 of their weekend series today. The action is scheduled to get underway at Angel Stadium in Anaheim, CA, at 4:07 p.m. EST.
Houston edged out the Angels in Game 1 of the series on Friday, 3-2, but Los Angeles came back with a vengeance in Game 2 with a 9-1 victory in Game 2 yesterday. Jose Soriano held the Astros lineup to three hits and a run over 6 2/3 innings. Houston’s starter Brandon Walter had pitched well over his first three starts (1.53 ERA), but got lit up by the Angels, nine hits (two home runs) and seven runs over six innings. The Astros will try to get back on the right side of the scoreboard with Ryan Gusto on the mound to start the day. Gusto is 4-3 in ten starts and 16 appearances this season with a 4.31 ERA and 1.53 WHIP. But he has been much better on the road, though, where he is 1-1 in two starts and six appearances with a 2.40 ERA.
Kyle Hendricks is getting the start for the Angels. Hendricks has a 5-6 record in 14 starts with a 4.79 ERA. He has gone 3-3 at home in six starts with a 4.04 ERA and .265 OBA.
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Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
6
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0.577 | 78 | 45 | 33 |
19
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0.487 | 78 | 38 | 40 |
Houston Astros and Los Angeles Angels Latest Matches

3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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3/6 (50%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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Houston Astros against Los Angeles Angels : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
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Houston Astros - Los Angeles Angels Key Points
- Houston leads the all-time series vs. the Angels 133-85.
- The Astros won nine of 12 against the Angels in Anaheim over the last two seasons.
- Houston is 11-12 in games where they were favored on the road.
- Betting Public: 62% of moneyline tickets and 70% of the handle are on Houston.
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Our Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction
My first thought after looking at how both lineups have been hitting and how the starting pitchers have performed is to go with the OVER. But on closer examination, I see that while Gusto has been unimpressive at home, he has been solid on the road (2.40 ERA, .237 OBA), and he’s been even better in day games (1.59 ERA, .217 OBA). It is hard to trust how much support the lineup will provide, making the runline an unadvisable bet, but Gusto and the Astros' bullpen can win this game outright.
Our Astros vs. Angels Pick: Houston ML
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