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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
The Houston Astros eye their fourth win in five games in Friday’s Game 1 of their new series against the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field.
The Astros (32-29) have won 3 of their last 4 games to overtake the 32-29 Seattle Mariners for the top spot in the AL West standings. Houston has displayed their elite pitching this week, scoring two shutout wins and a resounding 8-2 win over the Pirates in the finale of that series. Houston still sports a respectable 4.30 ERA over their last 5 games despite giving away 16 runs against Tampa Bay earlier this week.
The Guardians (33-28) are 2-3 in their last 5 games, but absorbing two losses in their three-game series with the Yankees left a bad taste in the mouth for this Cleveland team that still has World Series aspirations. Cleveland has dominated their opponents from the mound this week, parading an outstanding 2.51 ERA over their last five games. Unfortunately, Cleveland learned the hard way that scoring barely 4 runs a game would not be sufficient to outgun a high-powered Yankees team.
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Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
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9
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0.548 | 62 | 34 | 28 |
12
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0.541 | 61 | 33 | 28 |
Houston Astros and Cleveland Guardians Latest Matches

4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jun 1, 2025 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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Houston Astros against Cleveland Guardians : Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
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Houston Astros - Cleveland Guardians Key Points
- Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games against Cleveland.
- Houston is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games.
- Cleveland is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games against an opponent in the American League.
- Cleveland is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games played in June.
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Our Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction
Why you should bet on the Astros to cover -1.5 Runs (Win $155 on a $100 Bet): The Astros are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings vs. the Guardians. Houston also covered the -1.5-run spread in 5 of those 8 wins. The Astros have won in 3 of Colton Gordon’s 4 starts. Brown carries a 3-1 record with a 5.95 ERA in his rookie season. Guardians’ starter Logan Allen (2-3, 4.43 ERA in the last 5 starts) surrendered 4 earned runs in his last mound appearance and 5 earned runs the last time he pitched against the Astros.
Our betting prediction for the Houston Astros vs. the Cleveland Guardians: the Astros -1.5 Runs
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