ATP - ATP Shanghai Masters

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by Lou Aguila in ATP Shanghai Masters Picks
Holger Rune of Denmark will attempt to tame the giant-killing Valentin Vacherot of Manaco in the quarterfinals of the 2025 Shanghai Masters.
Rune opened the betting line as a clear-cut favorite at -330, but the streaking Vancherot appears to be a valuable pick on the spread line, where he’s priced at +110 to cover +2.5 games.
Current Form:
Rune earned another ATP 1000 quarterfinal stint following a tough win over Frenchman Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 in the round of 16. The No.11-ranked Dane held all his serves and managed to neutralize Perricard’s massive serves by capturing two breakpoint conversions. 5-1 in his last 6 matches, Rune has made it in back-to-back quarterfinals after he also reached the last eight at the 2025 Japan Open.
Vacherot is the breakout star of the 2025 Shanghai Masters, racking up six straight wins to achieve his first quarterfinals stint at an ATP 1000 event. Ranked 204th in the world, Vacherot toppled several prominent players on the tour to reach where he is at now. He defeated Alexander Bublik 3-6, 6-3. 6-4 in the second round, Tomas Machac 6-0, 3-1 and Tallon Griekspoor 6-4, 6-7, 4-6 in the round of 16.
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Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Form
Holger Rune and Valentin Vacherot Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Oct 7, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 5, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 3, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Sep 28, 2025 - ATP Japan Open
Sep 27, 2025 - ATP Japan Open
Sep 25, 2025 - ATP Japan Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Oct 7, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 5, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 3, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 1, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Sep 30, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Sep 29, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Holger Rune - Valentin Vacherot Key Points
- Holger Rune defeated Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 in the fourth round of the 2025 Shanghai Masters.
- Holger Rune is 5-1 in his last 6 matches.
- Valentin Vacherot defeated Tallon Griekspoor 6-4, 6-7, 4-6 in the fourth round of the 2025 Shanghai Masters.
- Valentin Vacherot is 6-0 in his last 6 matches.
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Our Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Prediction
Holger Rune stands as the biggest roadblock for Valentin Vacherot and his quest to become the first unseeded player to win the Shanghai Masters. Rune has been unforgiving against lowly-ranked players on the tour, putting a lot of pressure fo Vacherot to raise his game to another gear. Vacherot has won 77 percent of his first serves and posted a 36.6 percent breakpoint conversion percentage in Shanghai. Rune is a well-rounded player who can hurt his opponents on the serve or as a returner.
Fearless Forecast: Holger Rune defeats Valentin Vacherot 6-4, 6-4, ending Vacherot’s Cinderella run in Shanghai. Vacherot deserves credit for this amazing run, but Rune is just in another league.
Our betting prediction for Holger Rune vs. Valentin Vacherot: Holger Rune -3.5 Games
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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