Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Prediction & Picks - ATP Shanghai Masters

ATP - ATP Shanghai Masters

ATP 11 Denmark
Holger Rune
10/9/25 03:00
ATP 204
Valentin Vacherot

Prediction:

 

Holger Rune -3.5 Games

-110
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 by Lou Aguila in ATP Shanghai Masters Picks

Holger Rune of Denmark will attempt to tame the giant-killing Valentin Vacherot of Manaco in the quarterfinals of the 2025 Shanghai Masters.

Rune opened the betting line as a clear-cut favorite at -330, but the streaking Vancherot appears to be a valuable pick on the spread line, where he’s priced at +110 to cover +2.5 games.

Current Form:

Rune earned another ATP 1000 quarterfinal stint following a tough win over Frenchman Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 in the round of 16. The No.11-ranked Dane held all his serves and managed to neutralize Perricard’s massive serves by capturing two breakpoint conversions. 5-1 in his last 6 matches, Rune has made it in back-to-back quarterfinals after he also reached the last eight at the 2025 Japan Open.

Vacherot is the breakout star of the 2025 Shanghai Masters, racking up six straight wins to achieve his first quarterfinals stint at an ATP 1000 event. Ranked 204th in the world, Vacherot toppled several prominent players on the tour to reach where he is at now. He defeated Alexander Bublik 3-6, 6-3. 6-4 in the second round, Tomas Machac 6-0, 3-1 and Tallon Griekspoor 6-4, 6-7, 4-6 in the round of 16.

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Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Form

Holger Rune and Valentin Vacherot Latest Matches

Holger Rune Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 7, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
1 :  2
Holger Rune

Oct 5, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Ugo Humbert
0 :  2
Holger Rune

Oct 3, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Sebastian Baez
0 :  2
Holger Rune

Sep 28, 2025 - ATP Japan Open

Jenson Brooksby
2 :  0
Holger Rune

Sep 27, 2025 - ATP Japan Open

Ethan Quinn
0 :  2
Holger Rune

Sep 25, 2025 - ATP Japan Open

Hamad Medjedovic
0 :  2
Holger Rune
Valentin Vacherot Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 7, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Valentin Vacherot
2 :  1
Tallon Griekspoor

Oct 5, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Valentin Vacherot
abort
Tomas Machac

Oct 3, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Alexander Bublik
1 :  2
Valentin Vacherot

Oct 1, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Laslo Djere
0 :  2
Valentin Vacherot

Sep 30, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Valentin Vacherot
2 :  1
Liam Draxl

Sep 29, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Nishesh Basavareddy
1 :  2
Valentin Vacherot
Compare Holger Rune and Valentin Vacherot with our comparison tool.

Holger Rune - Valentin Vacherot Key Points

  1. Holger Rune defeated Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 in the fourth round of the 2025 Shanghai Masters.
  2. Holger Rune is 5-1 in his last 6 matches.
  3. Valentin Vacherot defeated Tallon Griekspoor 6-4, 6-7, 4-6 in the fourth round of the 2025 Shanghai Masters.
  4. Valentin Vacherot is 6-0 in his last 6 matches.
Up to $200 to bet on Holger Rune - Valentin Vacherot! 

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Our Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Prediction

Holger Rune stands as the biggest roadblock for Valentin Vacherot and his quest to become the first unseeded player to win the Shanghai Masters. Rune has been unforgiving against lowly-ranked players on the tour, putting a lot of pressure fo Vacherot to raise his game to another gear. Vacherot has won 77 percent of his first serves and posted a 36.6 percent breakpoint conversion percentage in Shanghai. Rune is a well-rounded player who can hurt his opponents on the serve or as a returner.

Fearless Forecast: Holger Rune defeats Valentin Vacherot 6-4, 6-4, ending Vacherot’s Cinderella run in Shanghai. Vacherot deserves credit for this amazing run, but Rune is just in another league.

Our betting prediction for Holger Rune vs. Valentin Vacherot: Holger Rune -3.5 Games

Prediction:

 

Holger Rune -3.5 Games

-110
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot Picks
Up to $200 to bet on Holger Rune - Valentin Vacherot! 

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