Hamad Medjedovic vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Picks - ATP Cincinnati Open

Prediction published on 8/12/25, 10:19 AM  by Lou Aguila in ATP Cincinnati Open Picks

Will Carlos Alcaraz cover a -4.5-game handicap on Tuesday, two days after being pushed to three sets by Damir Dzumhur?

Alcaraz will shoot for a place in the fourth round of the 2025 Cincinnati Open as he faces the underrated Hamed Medjedovic of Serbia. In his first match since losing to Jannik Sinner at the 2025 Wimbledon Open final, Alcaraz looked far from untouchable. After storming to a 6-1 win in the first set, the Spaniard was lethargic in the second set, allowing the veteran Dzumhur to crawl back into the match and force a decider. Alcaraz eventually put away Dzumhur with some clutch winners in the third, but the shaky performance gives his next opponent an impression that he’s not invincible after all.

Medjedovic punched his ticket to the third round with two solid wins over Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-2 6-3 and Tallon Griekspoor 6-4 7-6(3). The Serbian has only conceded one service break after two matches in this competition. Furthermore, Medjedovic has won 85 percent of his first serves and fired 29 aces while converting 50 percent of breakpoint opportunities (6 for 12). However, in his first-ever duel with Alcaraz, Medjedovic will have to play with this level of efficiency or even better to have a shot at beating the world’s No.2.