ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open


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by Lou Aguila in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Picks
Grigor Dimitrov’s quarterfinal streak is on the line on Wednesday as the Bulgarian dukes it out with Canadian rising star Gabriel Diallo in the fourth round of the 2025 Madrid Masters.
who reached the semifinal of the 2025 Miami Open and quarterfinal of the Monte Carlo Masters, can make another round-of-8 appearance if he defeats the up-and-coming Diallo. The ATP veteran hasn’t dropped a set in Madrid yet, clobbering Nicolas Jarry 6-3 6-4 and Jacob Fearnley 6-4 7-6(3) in straight sets.
Diallo has made the most of his second chance as the Canadian lucky loser has racked up three consecutive victories, including a pair of three-set wins over Kamil Majchrzak of Poland 7-5 4-6 6-4 and Cameron Norrie of Great Britain 2-6 6-4 6-4. Ranked No.78 in the world, Diallo will be playing Dimitrov, a former top-10 player, for the first time ever.
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Grigor Dimitrov vs Gabriel Diallo Form
Grigor Dimitrov and Gabriel Diallo Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Apr 28, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 26, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 11, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 10, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 9, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 8, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 29, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 26, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 24, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 22, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 21, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 13, 2025 - ATP Barcelona
Grigor Dimitrov - Gabriel Diallo Key Points
- Grigor Dimitrov defeated Jacob Fearnley 6-4 7-6(3) in the third round of the 2025 Madrid Open.
- Grigor Dimitrov has a 162-98 record on clay.
- Gabriel Diallo defeated Cameron Norrie 2-6 6-4 6-4 in the third round of the 2025 Madrid Open.
- Gabriel Diallo is 1-6 vs. top-20 players.
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Our Grigor Dimitrov vs Gabriel Diallo Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Grigor Dimitrov destroys the inexperienced Gabriel Diallo
As much as I want Diallo to continue his fairy-tale run in Madrid, I don’t give him much chance against the former world No.3 Grigor Dimitrov. Diallo is 1-6 vs. the ATP top-20 players and hasn’t defeated a player of Dimitrov’s caliber in this tournament. Cameron Norrie might be a former top-10 player but he’s not as accomplished as Dimitrov is, not to mention that the Brit has been borderline mediocre in the past few years. Dimitrov might have his moments in the match, but taking down Dimitrov, who is 5-1 on clay this year, is a bit ambitious. Our betting prediction for Grigor Dimitrov vs. Gabriel Diallo: Grigor Dimitrov -3.5 Games
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