Greece vs Lithuania Prediction & Picks - EuroBasket

Europe - EuroBasket

Greece
9/9/25 14:00
Lithuania

Prediction:

 

Greece will win

-298
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 by Lou Aguila in EuroBasket Picks

After dropping 37 points against Israel in the round of 16 of the 2025 EuroBasket, Giannis Antetokounmpo looks to lead Greece again in their quarterfinal showdown with Lithuania, which features a plethora of talented big men.

DraftKings offers a payout of $235 for a $100 bet if Giannis Antetokounmpo, who is averaging 30.0 points in the continental basketball event, scores at least 35 points against Jonas Valanciunas-led Lithuania.

Current Form:

Greece barged into the quarterfinal round of the 2025 EuroBasket after outlasting Israel 84-79 in the round of 16. Antetokounmpo carried the whole of Greece on his back, powering through with 37 points and 10 rebounds. Greece, who led by as many as 14 points, shot 49 percent from the floor and outrebounded the Israelis 45-30.

Lithuania punched their ticket to the quarterfinal stage of the EuroBasket following an 88-79 win over the host nation, Latvia. The win propelled Lithuania back to the final 8 of the EuroBasket after losing to Spain, 94-102 OT, at the 2022 EuroBasket. Arnas Velicka scored a team-high 21 points while Deividis Sirvydis and Azoulas Tubilis scored 18 points each to help Lithuania overcome Kristaps Porzingis’ monster double-double of 34 points and 19 rebounds. The Lithuanians shot 49 percent from the floor and hounded Latvia to 40 percent field goal shooting. Lithuania also dominated the glass, outrebounding Latvia 32-22.

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Greece vs Lithuania Form

Greece and Lithuania Latest Matches

Greece
Greece Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 7, 2025 - EuroBasket

Israel
79 :  84
Greece

Sep 4, 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
90 :  86
Spain

Sep 2, 2025 - EuroBasket

Bosnia & Herzegovina
80 :  77
Greece

Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
94 :  53
Georgia

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
96 :  69
Cyprus

Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket

Italy
66 :  75
Greece
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 7, 2025 - EuroBasket

Israel
79 :  84
Greece

Sep 2, 2025 - EuroBasket

Bosnia & Herzegovina
80 :  77
Greece

Aug 28, 2025 - EuroBasket

Italy
66 :  75
Greece

Aug 24, 2025 - International Friendly Games

France
92 :  77
Greece

Aug 22, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
74 :  76
Greece

Aug 20, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Latvia
86 :  104
Greece
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 4, 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
90 :  86
Spain

Aug 31, 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
94 :  53
Georgia

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
96 :  69
Cyprus

Feb 21, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Greece
93 :  89
Czechia

Nov 21, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Greece
72 :  73
Great Britain

Aug 6, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Greece
63 :  76
Germany
Lithuania
Lithuania Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 6, 2025 - EuroBasket

Latvia
79 :  88
Lithuania

Sep 3, 2025 - EuroBasket

Sweden
71 :  74
Lithuania

Sep 1, 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
81 :  78
Finland

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Germany
107 :  88
Lithuania

Aug 29, 2025 - EuroBasket

Montenegro
67 :  94
Lithuania

Aug 27, 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
94 :  70
Great Britain
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 6, 2025 - EuroBasket

Latvia
79 :  88
Lithuania

Sep 3, 2025 - EuroBasket

Sweden
71 :  74
Lithuania

Aug 30, 2025 - EuroBasket

Germany
107 :  88
Lithuania

Aug 29, 2025 - EuroBasket

Montenegro
67 :  94
Lithuania

Aug 22, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Iceland
83 :  96
Lithuania

Aug 20, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Turkiye
84 :  81
Lithuania
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 1, 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
81 :  78
Finland

Aug 27, 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
94 :  70
Great Britain

Aug 14, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Lithuania
109 :  105
Latvia

Aug 7, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Lithuania
91 :  70
Turkiye

Feb 21, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Lithuania
82 :  48
Poland

Nov 21, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Lithuania
82 :  67
North Macedonia

Greece against Lithuania : Head to Head (H2H)

Sep 1, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Greece
67 :  92
Lithuania

Greece - Lithuania Key Points

  1. Greece defeated Israel 84-79 in the round of 16 at the 2025 EuroBasket.
  2. Greece was led by Giannis Antetokounmpo, who recorded 37 points and 10 rebounds vs. Israel.
  3. Lithuania defeated Latvia 88-79 in the round of 16 at the 2025 EuroBasket.
  4. Lithuania is 3-4 head-to-head with Greece.
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Our Greece vs Lithuania Prediction

Lithuania and Greece are both traditional basketball powerhouses with a rich history of success at the European and world levels. In this particular matchup, I am leaning towards the Greeks only because they have a do-it-all juggernaut who can impact the outcome of the game immensely. Giannis is averaging 30.0 points per game in this tournament and has just exploded for 37 points against Israel. Although Lithuania has several talented big men in their roster, including NBA veteran Jonas Valanciunas, none of them possesses the mobility and athleticism to contain a freak of nature like Giannis.

no mistake, Greece will not have an easy time in this showdown with Lithuania, which has the depth and experience in a high-leverage match. As a matter of fact, Lithuania is trending as a solid bet to cover +7.0 points on DraftKings because they will not allow Greece to blow them out if they are to lose this match. Still, having Giannis playing at his prime is such a luxury a team can have in a win-or-go-home situation. Giannis understands that this is probably the last chance he will have a legitimate shot at a EuroBasket title since he will be 34 by the time the next continental tournament takes place. Judging by the staggering numbers he has pumped up in this tourney, Antetokounmpo means business, and it’s a scary sight for the remaining team in this competition.

Our betting prediction for Greece vs. Lithuania: Greece will win

Prediction:

 

Greece will win

-298
$300 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Greece vs Lithuania Picks
Up to $300 to bet on Greece - Lithuania! 

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