Germany vs Greece Prediction & Picks - Men's Olympic Tournament

Olympics - Men's Olympic Tournament

Germany
8/6/24 05:00
Greece

Prediction:

 

Germany will win.

 

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 by Lou Aguila in Basketball Picks

A titanic clash between Europe’s basketball juggernauts Germany and Greece will kick off the quarterfinal phase of men’s 5x5 basketball competition at Accor Arena in Paris, France. Germany breezed through the preliminary stages with dominant victories over Japan 97-77, Brazil 73-86, and host country France 71-85. Germany is the defending FIBA World Cup champion and the country is looking to add a gold medal to its collection of international basketball hardware. Meanwhile, Greece caught the last bus to the quarterfinals after putting up a scintillating win over Australia 77-71 in the final games of the preliminary stages. They lost their first two games against Canada 79-86 and Spain 84-77 but the win over the Aussie should be enough to secure the last spot in the quarterfinals. Led by NBA superstar Giannis Antetokounmpo, the Greeks hope they can make another deep run in the Olympics and land a place on the podium for the first time in the country’s history. 

Germany vs Greece Form

Germany and Greece Latest Matches

Germany
Germany Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 2, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
71 :  85
Germany

Jul 30, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Brazil
73 :  86
Germany

Jul 27, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Germany
97 :  77
Japan

Feb 25, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Bulgaria
67 :  62
Germany

Feb 22, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Germany
85 :  61
Montenegro

Sep 10, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Germany
83 :  77
Serbia
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Jul 27, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Germany
97 :  77
Japan

Feb 22, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Germany
85 :  61
Montenegro

Sep 10, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Germany
83 :  77
Serbia

Sep 6, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Germany
81 :  79
Latvia

Sep 3, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Germany
100 :  71
Slovenia

Sep 1, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Germany
100 :  73
Georgia
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 2, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
71 :  85
Germany

Jul 30, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Brazil
73 :  86
Germany

Feb 25, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Bulgaria
67 :  62
Germany

Sep 8, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

USA
111 :  113
Germany

Aug 27, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Australia
82 :  85
Germany

Sep 7, 2022 - EuroBasket

Hungary
71 :  106
Germany
Greece
Greece Latest matches
W L L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 2, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Australia
71 :  77
Greece

Jul 30, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Spain
84 :  77
Greece

Jul 27, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Greece
79 :  86
Canada

Sep 3, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Greece
69 :  73
Montenegro

Sep 1, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Lithuania
92 :  67
Greece

Aug 30, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Greece
83 :  74
New Zealand
W W L W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 27, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Greece
79 :  86
Canada

Sep 3, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Greece
69 :  73
Montenegro

Aug 30, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Greece
83 :  74
New Zealand

Aug 28, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Greece
81 :  109
USA

Sep 11, 2022 - EuroBasket

Greece
94 :  88
Czechia

Sep 6, 2022 - EuroBasket

Greece
99 :  79
Ukraine
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 2, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Australia
71 :  77
Greece

Jul 30, 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Spain
84 :  77
Greece

Sep 1, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Lithuania
92 :  67
Greece

Aug 26, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Jordan
71 :  92
Greece

Sep 13, 2022 - EuroBasket

Germany
107 :  96
Greece

Sep 8, 2022 - EuroBasket

Estonia
69 :  90
Greece

Germany against Greece : Head to Head (H2H)

Germany

100 %

Greece

0 %

Sep 13, 2022 - EuroBasket

Germany
107 :  96
Greece

Germany - Greece: Form Analysis

Germany compiled a perfect 3-0 record in Group B, scoring 89.3 points per game on a 62.8% true shooting. The reigning World Cup champion thrives in a slow-paced tempo at 72.45 ball possession per 40 minutes. On the other hand, Greece averaged 77.7 points per game across three games in Group A. They also corralled in 32.7 rebounds per contest while dishing out 21.7 dimes a game. Germany have won four of their last five games while Greece sports a 3-2 record.

Players list

Germany
Germany
D. Theis J. Voigtmann

D. Schroder

A. Obst

F. Wagner

Greece
Greece

T. Walkup

N. Calathes

G. Antetokounmpo

D. Mitoglou

K. Papanikolaou

Substitutes

Germany
Germany
M. Wagner J. Thiemann

N. Weiler-Babb

I. Bonga

M. Lo

O. Da Silva

N. Giffey

Greece
Greece
G. Papagiannis

G. Larentzakis

D. Moraitis

V. Toliopoulos

P. Kalaitzakis

N. Chougkaz

V. Charalampopoulos

Germany & Greece Squad Analysis

Orlando Magic star Franz Wagner leads the way in scoring for the Germans with his 21.7 points per game. Dennis Schroder is averaging a near double-double with 19.7 points and 9.0 assist per contest. Germany is also getting key contribution from Isaac Bonga (11.0 ppg), Daniel Theis (7.0 rpg) and Moritz Wagner (2.3 apg). Greece has relied heavily on their star player Giannis Antetokounmpo, who averaged 27.0 points, 7.7 rebounds and 3.7 assists in this Olympic Games. Giannis is getting help from Vasileios Toliopoulos (12.0 ppg) and Thomas Walkup (9.3 ppg). Former NBA player Nick Calathes is the team’s main playmaker with his 7.3 assists per game.

Germany - Greece Key Points

  1. Giannis Antetokounmpo averaged 27.0 points in three games at the Paris Olympics.
  2. Germany is scoring almost 90 points per game while holding their opponents under 80 points.
  3. Germany is the reigning FIBA World Cup champion.
  4. Greece leads head-to-head series 10-4 but Germany won the last two convincingly.

Our Germany vs Greece Prediction

leads head-to-head series with Germany 10-4 but the latter won the last two in dominant fashion. Germany defeated the Greeks 107-96 in FIBA EuroBasket and then repeated in an international friendly last year 84-71. The Germans are playing at a high level right now to the point that more basketball analysts believe they are the only team that can provide Team USA a run for their money if their roads cross paths in the finals. Expect Giannis to pile up his usual monster numbers but his individual brilliance won’t be enough to stop the reigning world champs from winning this match. Our betting prediction for Germany vs. Greece: Bet on Germany to win, -350, at BetMGM.

Prediction:

 

Germany will win.

 

Germany vs Greece - Other Interesting Picks

Total Under 161.5 points

Odds -115

I am impressed with Germany’s defense, which managed to hold Brazil, France, and Japan under 80 points. Germany parades a tall, talented frontline of Isaac Bonga, Theis, and the Wagner brothers that has presented a lot of problems for their previous opponents. While I don’t know if they can stop Giannis from scoring over 30, I am confident that their defense will hold Germany under their tournament average of 77.7 points per game. With Ceasar Sportsbook listing the total at 161.5 points, I just can’t see Greece putting enough points on Germany’s relentless defense to help the total exceed 161 points—our betting prediction: Under 161.5 points, -115, at Caesars Sportsbook.

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Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 28.5 points,

Odds +100

Giannis Antetokounmpo has emerged as the tournament's leading scorer after group play, with 27.0 points per game. I expect Giannis to play more aggressively on offense after being limited to 20 points by Australia in their most recent contest. Giannis' propensity to unleash enormous numbers against Germany should no longer be questioned, having scored 31 points on the same team at the 2022 EuroBasket. Our betting prediction for Germany vs Greece: Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 28.5 points, +100, at DraftKings.

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Germany vs Greece Picks