May 14, 2025, 11:55 AM
Giro: Tour d'Italia

Stage 5: Ceglie Messapica - Matera
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Stage 5: Ceglie Messapica - Matera Predictions & Betting tips - Giro: Tour d'Italia
by Tyler Doty |
Stage 5 of the Giro di Italia 2025 this Wednesday, May 14, with 151 km on the menu between Ceglie Messapica and Matera. A short, nervy route that could prove a favorite with puncheurs or sprinters who appreciate hilly terrain.
For this 2nd day of racing in Italy, riders will be treated to a winding route where the last 35 km will give way to the climbs of Montescaglioso (2.8 km at 8.6%) and Castello Tramontano (7.1 km at 3.5%), before a 10% ramp and a final short climb in the last 3 km. A tough finish where only the strongest will be able to compete.
In this context, it's hard not to mention Mads Pedersen once again! The Dane won two of the first three stages of this Giro, but seemed to run out of steam in the sprint to Lecce on Tuesday. Will the Lidl-Trek rider have recovered?
Other riders will be on the lookout, including Kaden Groves! Ranking 5th on Tuesday, the Alpecin-Deceuninck rider is very good over the bumps and is very powerful, which is an advantage in this final stage of the race. With his team able to put him in good conditions, the Australian should be one of the riders to watch in this 5th stage of the Giro d'Italia.
Although in inconsistent form at the start of the Giro and even since the start of the season, don't forget Wout van Aert. The Belgian rider was able to rest on Tuesday and could be in much better shape after several days of racing and more rhythm in his legs. The Visma Lease a Bike rider could put his power and versatility to good use on this tough Matera finish!
Special mentions: Orluis Aular, Paul Magnier.
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Stage 5: Ceglie Messapica - Matera - Giro: Tour d'Italia prediction key points
- 151 km between Ceglie Messapica and Matera.
- 2 difficulties on schedule: Montescaglioso (2.8 km at 8.6%) and Castello Tramontano (7.1 km at 3.5%).
- This fifth stage is ideal for sprinters.
- Favorites: Pedersen, Groves, van Aert.
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Our Stage 5: Ceglie Messapica - Matera - Giro: Tour d'Italia pick
What if this were Kaden Groves' day? The Australian could be the strong man on stage 5. The Alpecin-Deceuninck rider is very adept at getting over the bumps, and the end of the race could give him a chance to show off his power.
Our Giro d'Italia Stage 5 prediction: victory for Kaden Groves!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.