Germany vs Turkiye Prediction & Picks - EuroBasket

Prediction published on 9/14/25, 10:30 AM  by Tyler Doty in EuroBasket Picks

Reigning world champions Germany lived up to their status as favorites throughout EuroBasket. After a dominant first round with five wins in five games and an average margin of victory of more than 30 points, the Mannschaft arrived in Riga on a roll. After defeating Portugal in the round of 16 (85-58), Dennis Schroder and his teammates suffered a major scare in the quarterfinals with a hard-fought victory over Luka Doncic's Slovenia (99-91) in a match where the Germans struggled but still managed to pull through. It was a wake-up call that proved beneficial, as Germany escaped the Finnish trap (98-86) in the semifinals in a game they led from start to finish to reach their third final in history. Third at Eurobasket 2022, world champions in 2023 and fourth at the 2024 Olympics, Germany has been the dominant team on the European continent in recent years and will enter this final as favorites.

However, it was perhaps Turkey that made the biggest impression during Eurobasket 2025. Led by a dazzling Alperen Sengun in MVP mode (20.8 points, 11 rebounds, and 7 assists), the Turkish team played collective basketball throughout the competition, mirroring their leader who was always ready to help his teammates shine. After winning all five of its first-round games, notably against Serbia and Latvia, Turkey received a wake-up call in the round of 16 against Sweden (85-79), which brought the whole team back down to earth. With impressive performances against Poland in the quarterfinals (91-77) and Greece in the semifinals (94-68), Ergin Ataman's team impressed all observers with its fluid offense and solid defense, which shut down Giannis Antetokounmpo. As the underdog, Turkey now dreams of winning its first title in history.