ATP - ATP Italian Open


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by Lou Aguila in ATP Italian Open Picks
Fresh off a quarterfinal run in Madrid, Gabriel Diallo aims for another prolific campaign at the Italian Open as he begins his campaign in Rome on Thursday against ATP veteran Marcos Giron of the United States.
Diallo enters the fray in Rome brimming with confidence following his first quarterfinal appearance in an ATP-1000 event at the 2025 Madrid Masters. The Canadian lost to Borna Coric of Croatia 6-3 7-6(6) in the final qualifying match but made the most of his second chance as a lucky loser, pulling off victories over Zizou Bergs 6-1 6-2, Kamil Majchrzak 7-5 4-6 6-4, Cameron Norrie 2-6 6-4 6-4 and Grigor Dimitrov 5-7 7-6(7) 6-4 before bowing to Lorenzo Musetti 4-6, 3-6 in the round of 8.
Giron has lost four of his last five matches, including a 3-6, 1-6 loss to Aleksandar Vukic of Australia in the first round of the 2025 Estoril Challenger. In Madrid, Giron managed to squeak past Learner Tien 6-1 1-6 7-6(4) in the first round before falling to Matteo Berrettini 6-7(3) 7-6(6) 6-1 in the next round.
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Gabriel Diallo vs Marcos Giron Form
Gabriel Diallo and Marcos Giron Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 1, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 30, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 29, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 26, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 24, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 22, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 1, 2025 - ATP Challenger Estoril, Portugal Men Singles
Apr 26, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 24, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 14, 2025 - ATP Munich Open
Apr 8, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 7, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Gabriel Diallo - Marcos Giron Key Points
- Marcos Giron lost to Aleksandar Vukic 3-6, 1-6 in the first round of the 2025 Estoril Challenger.
- Marcos Giron is 12-10 in the 2025 ATP season
- Gabriel Diallo reached the quarterfinal of the 2025 Madrid Open.
- Gabriel Diallo has a career 16-13 record on clay.
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Our Gabriel Diallo vs Marcos Giron Prediction
Diallo has the momentum heading into his first-round clash with Giron, who again is 1-4 in his last five matches. Diallo will be trying to earn consistent results from tournaments as he aims for a better ranking in the world. Of course, the 31-year-old vet is no easy opponent because of his experience and 57.3 per cent career win rate. However, playing on clay isn’t Giron’s cup of tea, as his 33-46 record on the red dirt shows. Diallo, 16-13 on clay, has a stronger chance of advancing into the second round here than Giron, particularly if he can sustain the form that propelled him to the quarterfinals in Madrid. Our betting prediction for Gabriel Diallo vs. Marcos Giron: Gabriel Diallo to cover -1.5 Games.
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