Gabriel Diallo vs Alex De Minaur Prediction & Picks - Rolex Paris Masters

ATP - Rolex Paris Masters

ATP 42 Canada
Gabriel Diallo
10/29/25 11:40
ATP 6 Australia
Alex De Minaur

Prediction:

 

Alex De Minaur -3.5 Games

-140
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 by Lou Aguila in Rolex Paris Masters Picks

Gabriel Diallo of Canada will go head-to-head with Alex De Minaur of Australia in the second round of the 2025 Paris Masters.

Current Form:

Diallo is a +278 underdog heading into his face-off with the world’s No.6 De Minaur. The Canadian rising star moved on to the second round with a straight-set victory over Tallon Griekspoor 6-3, 6-4. Diallo is 4-3 in indoor play in 2025 but 2-2 in his last four matches.

After a semifinal appearance in Vienna, De Minaur seeks another noteworthy campaign at the ATP 1000 Paris Masters. De Minaur is 10-2 in 12 indoor matches in 2025 and has a 63 percent win rate in indoor play throughout his career. The Australian is also 6-2 in his last 8 matches, during which he reached the semis at the 2025 Erste Bank Open and quarterfinals of the 2025 Shanghai Masters.

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Gabriel Diallo vs Alex De Minaur Form

Gabriel Diallo and Alex De Minaur Latest Matches

Gabriel Diallo Latest matches
L W W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Oct 28, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Tallon Griekspoor
0 :  2
Gabriel Diallo

Oct 22, 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel

Felix Auger Aliassime
2 :  0
Gabriel Diallo

Oct 15, 2025 - Almaty Open

Gabriel Diallo
1 :  2
James Duckworth

Oct 13, 2025 - Almaty Open

Gabriel Diallo
2 :  0
Amir Omarkhanov

Oct 7, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Gabriel Diallo
1 :  2
Zizou Bergs

Oct 5, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

David Goffin
abort
Gabriel Diallo
Alex De Minaur Latest matches
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 25, 2025 - ATP Vienna

Jannik Sinner
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur

Oct 24, 2025 - ATP Vienna

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Matteo Berrettini

Oct 22, 2025 - ATP Vienna

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Filip Misolic

Oct 20, 2025 - ATP Vienna

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Jurij Rodionov

Oct 10, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur

Oct 8, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Nuno Borges
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur
Compare Gabriel Diallo and Alex De Minaur with our comparison tool.

Gabriel Diallo - Alex De Minaur Key Points

  1. Alex De Minaur is 10-2 in indoor play in 2025.
  2. Alex De Minaur is 6-2 in his last 8 matches.
  3. Gabriel Diallo is 4-3 in indoor play in 2025.
  4. Gabriel Diallo is 0-1 vs. Alex De Minaur.
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Our Gabriel Diallo vs Alex De Minaur Prediction

Fearless Forecast: Barring a decline in form, Alex De Minaur should secure the win over Gabriel Diallo in the second round in Paris. De Minaur is 10-2 in indoor play this year and swept Diallo 6-4, 7-5 in their first and only meeting so far in the third round of the 2025 Canadian Open. Diallo is 0-6 against the ATP top-10 players this year, while De Minaur is 14-4 against players ranked from top-21 to top-50. The 6-foot-8 Diallo can still pose a real danger in this match because of his physicality and aggressive play, but I still have a lot of trust that the veteran De Minaur will neutralize the Canadian’s raw power with his tactics and heady plays.

Our betting prediction for Alex De Minaur vs. Gabriel Diallo: Alex De Minaur -3.5 Games

Prediction:

 

Alex De Minaur -3.5 Games

-140
$300+ offered for betting!

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Gabriel Diallo vs Alex De Minaur Picks