Gabriel Bonfim vs Randy Brown Prediction & Picks - UFC Fight Night

MMA - UFC Fight Night

Gabriel Bonfim
11/8/25 19:00
Randy Brown

Prediction:

 

Gabriel Bonfim to win -175

-175
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 by Bill Christy | in UFC Picks

The main event for this weekend's UFC Fight Night will pit Gabriel Bonfim (18-1-0) vs Randy Brown (20-6-0) in a welterweight clash. Bonfim is currently ranked inside the Top 15 of welterweights and is the favorite in this fight. Bonfim has a more rounded style while Brown is more of a striker. Bonfim had been on a tear of submission victories dating back to 2019. He had submitted 7 of his 10 opponents during a 10-fight stretch. He is now riding a 3-fight win streak with wins over Ange Loose, Khaos Williams, and most recently scored a split decision victory over Stephen “Wonderboy” Thompson. These 3 wins came after he was finished by Nicolas Dalby back in November of 2023. That is the same Dalby who fell to Randy Brown in Brown's last fight. Randy landed a nasty right hook while the two were in an absolute slug fest that put Dalby down. That knockout was the 8th of Randy's 20 career wins. Prior to the win over Dalby, Randy had lost a split decision to Bryan Battle last December which snapped a 3-fight win streak of his own. It should also be noted that Randy's previous two losses came to some top tier talent in Jack Della-Maddalena and Vicente Luque.
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Gabriel Bonfim - Randy Brown Key Points

  1. Bonfim is 3-0 in his last 3 fights.
  2. Bonfim has 13 of his 18 wins coming via submission.
  3. Brown is 4-1 in his last 5 fights.
  4. Brown has been stopped in 4 of his 6 career losses.
Up to $200+ to bet on Gabriel Bonfim - Randy Brown! 

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Our Gabriel Bonfim vs Randy Brown Prediction

While the KO by Randy Brown against Nicolas Dalby was uber impressive and a highlight for his career, this matchup with Bonfim is going to a different type of fight. Bonfim is not likely to stand and trade strikes with Brown but will focus more on movement and trying to get this fight to the ground where he should have a distinct advantage. We expect Bonfim to control this fight and either grapple in the stand up or use black belt in BJJ to get this one to the ground.

Our prediction for Gabriel Bonfim vs Randy Brown: Gabriel Bonfim to win 

Prediction:

 

Gabriel Bonfim to win -175

-175
$200+ offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Gabriel Bonfim vs Randy Brown Picks