Freiburg vs Aston Villa Prediction & Picks - Europa League

Europe - Europa League

Freiburg
5/20/26 15:00
Aston Villa

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 goals

+104
$1000 offered for betting!

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 by Carlos Zabala | in Europa League Picks

Unai Emery has won the Europa League four times in the past while managing Sevilla and Villarreal. This time, he aims to win the second most important continental trophy with Aston Villa, who were crowned European champions in 1982 by defeating Bayern Munich. Wednesday's final holds historical significance for him, as they face another Bundesliga side, Freiburg. The Premier League team is the favorite according to pre-match betting odds. The neutral venue will be Besiktas Park in Istanbul.

Since the 2023/2024 season, this Aston Villa side has competed in the Conference, Europa League, and Champions League. No team in Europe since that season has won more games than the Lions' 26, and only Arsenal has kept more clean sheets since then.

For Freiburg and their fans, this final is crucial, as it could lead to qualification for the Champions League if they lift the trophy on Wednesday. Julian Schuster, the team's manager, will become the youngest coach to lead a European final in the last 24 years. Incredibly, with 122 years of history behind them, Freiburg are seeking their first-ever trophy.

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Freiburg vs Aston Villa Form

Freiburg and Aston Villa Latest Matches

Freiburg
Freiburg Latest matches
L L D W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

May 16, 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
4 :  1
Leipzig

May 10, 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
3 :  2
Freiburg

May 7, 2026 - Europa League

Freiburg
3 :  1
SC Braga

May 3, 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  1
Wolfsburg

Apr 30, 2026 - Europa League

SC Braga
2 :  1
Freiburg

Apr 26, 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
4 :  0
Freiburg
L W W D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

May 16, 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
4 :  1
Leipzig

May 7, 2026 - Europa League

Freiburg
3 :  1
SC Braga

May 3, 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  1
Wolfsburg

Apr 19, 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  1
Heidenheim

Apr 9, 2026 - Europa League

Freiburg
3 :  0
Celta Vigo

Apr 4, 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  3
Bayern Munich
W W L L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

May 10, 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
3 :  2
Freiburg

Apr 30, 2026 - Europa League

SC Braga
2 :  1
Freiburg

Apr 26, 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
4 :  0
Freiburg

Apr 23, 2026 - DFB Pokal

Stuttgart
2 :  1
Freiburg

Apr 16, 2026 - Europa League

Celta Vigo
1 :  3
Freiburg

Apr 12, 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
0 :  1
Freiburg
Aston Villa
Aston Villa Latest matches
L L L W D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 15, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  2
Liverpool

May 10, 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  2
Aston Villa

May 7, 2026 - Europa League

Aston Villa
4 :  0
Nottingham Forest

May 3, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  2
Tottenham

Apr 30, 2026 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  0
Aston Villa

Apr 25, 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  0
Aston Villa
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

May 15, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  2
Liverpool

May 7, 2026 - Europa League

Aston Villa
4 :  0
Nottingham Forest

May 3, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  2
Tottenham

Apr 19, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  3
Sunderland

Apr 16, 2026 - Europa League

Aston Villa
4 :  0
Bologna

Mar 22, 2026 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  0
West Ham
L W D L L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 10, 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  2
Aston Villa

Apr 30, 2026 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  0
Aston Villa

Apr 25, 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  0
Aston Villa

Apr 12, 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  1
Aston Villa

Apr 9, 2026 - Europa League

Bologna
1 :  3
Aston Villa

Mar 27, 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Elche
2 :  1
Aston Villa

Freiburg - Aston Villa: Form Analysis

Both teams arrive in Turkey in top form; it was in the Europa League on Thursdays that we saw the best version of Black Forest this season. Freiburg reached the top 8 in the group stage, qualifying seventh, but their struggles continued in the playoffs. Freiburg eliminated Genk 5-2 on aggregate; they beat Celta Vigo 6-1 and staged an epic comeback in the semifinals to eliminate SC Braga 4-3 on aggregate.

Freiburg also played its last Bundesliga match of the 2025/2026 season; They thrashed RB Leipzig 4-1, securing seventh place in the German league, which could pave the way for European competition again next year.

But speaking of streaks, Aston Villa are also in top form; they overcame their slump at the beginning of May. On the 7th of this month, they turned the tie around in the semi-finals, handing their league rivals, Nottingham Forest, a resounding 4-0 defeat that included two goals from McGinn.

Furthermore, in matchday 37 of the Premier League, the Villans guaranteed their place in next season's Champions League regardless of Wednesday's result, as two goals from Watkins secured a 4-2 victory over Liverpool, who were considered underdogs by the bookmakers.

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Freiburg vs Aston Villa Picks

Freiburg against Aston Villa Lineups: Starting 11

Freiburg

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
N. Atubolu
17
L. Kubler
28
M. Ginter
3
P. Lienhart
29
P. Treu
8
M. Eggestein
27
N. Hofler
19
J. Beste
44
J. Manzambi
32
V. Grifo
31
I. Matanovic
11
O. Watkins
10
E. Buendia
27
M. Rogers
7
J. McGinn
8
Y. Tielemans
3
V. Lindelof
12
L. Digne
14
P. Torres
4
E. Konsa
2
M. Cash
23
E. Martinez

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Aston Villa

Substitutes

Freiburg
Freiburg
Goalkeeper

F. Muller

J. Huth

Defender

J. Makengo

L. Kubler 73'

M. Rosenfelder

P. Lienhart 61'

B. Ogbus

A. Jung

C. Gunter

J. Beste 86'

Midfielder

P. Osterhage

Forward

C. Irie

L. Holer

N. Hofler 61'

D. Scherhant

V. Grifo 73'

M. Philipp

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Goalkeeper

M. Bizot

J. Wright

Defender

T. Mings

P. Torres 88'

I. Maatsen

L. Digne 81'

Midfielder

L. Bogarde

Douglas Luiz

Y. Tielemans 88'

H. Elliott

A. Onana

V. Lindelof 66'

A. Garcia

Forward

T. Abraham

L. Bailey

J. Sancho

E. Buendia 81'

Missing players

Freiburg
Freiburg
Midfielder

Y. Suzuki

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Midfielder

B. Kamara

Forward

Alysson

Freiburg & Aston Villa Squad Analysis

In Europa League matches on Thursdays, Aston Villa's attack has been performing exceptionally well; one of the key figures behind this has been Morgan Rogers, who leads the entire competition in chances created and passes into the opposition's penalty area. Argentine midfielder Emiliano Buendía assisted Watkins for the goal that started the comeback against Forest in the second leg of the semifinal at Villa Park.

Reports suggest that Amadou Onana is working to return from injury; Victor Lindelof would replace him were it not for his foot problems, which would open a spot for Douglas Luiz.

Aston Villa knows that one of Freiburg's three goalscoring threats will be unavailable on Wednesday: Suzuki, who suffered a fracture. Even so, the Villans will need to closely mark Italian striker Grifo, who has been scoring in Europe, and Croatian forward Matanovic, who scored in Freiburg's last Bundesliga match of the season.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Freiburg
CD Huachipato Aston Villa
Top Goalscorer
Italy V. Grifo (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Scotland J. McGinn (5 Goals) England O. Watkins (5 Goals)
Best assists
Italy V. Grifo (4 Assists)
Best assists
England M. Rogers (5 Assists)
Argentina E. Buendia (5 Assists)

Freiburg - Aston Villa Key Points

  1. Eight of Freiburg's last nine matches have seen both teams score
  2. Aston Villa generated 9 shots on target in their match against Liverpool
  3. Freiburg's defense made 30 clearances against RB Leipzig
  4. 7 of Aston Villa's last 10 matches have seen over 2.5 goals
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Our Freiburg vs Aston Villa Prediction

When Ollie Watkins is in great form, he becomes a very dangerous striker, and he certainly is right now; he's reached the final in Turkey, having scored a goal and provided an assist against Nottingham Forest in the Europa League, scored against Burnley, and scored two goals and provided an assist against Liverpool.

Aston Villa and Freiburg have never met in Europe before, but the Premier League side beat the last two Bundesliga teams they faced, while Freiburg lost 3 of 4 against English opponents previously.

Our prediction for Freiburg vs Aston Villa is: Over 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 goals

+104
$1000 offered for betting!

Freiburg vs Aston Villa - Other Interesting Picks

Aston Villa win the match

Odds -170
A safer bet seems to be that Aston Villa will win the Europa League in 90 minutes. This team, valued at 547 million euros, with a manager who has won this competition four times, has no excuse not to lift the trophy.
$1000 offered for betting!

Correct Score: 1-3

Odds +1400
A riskier bet, but one that pays a hefty +1400 on FanDuel, would be a 1-3 final score where Aston Villa lifts the cup in Turkey, but this result also respects the attacking prowess of both clubs.
$1000 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.