ATP - ATP Cincinnati Open
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by Lou Aguila in ATP Cincinnati Open Picks
Frances Tiafoe opened as a -150 favorite against +110 underdog Ugo Humbert of France in the third round of the 2025 Cincinnati Open.
Tiafoe is out to build more momentum in Cincinnati in preparation for the upcoming US Open championship that will begin later this August. So far, Tiafoe has had decent results in the past weeks, reaching the quarterfinal of the 2025 Washington DC Open and the round of 16 of the Canadian Open. The two-time US Open semifinalist also hurdled his first test of this tournament, beating Roberto Carlos Baena in straight sets 6-4 6-3.
Humbert also won his first hard-court match in months as he topped Chak Lam Coleman Wong of Hong Kong 6-3, 6-4. The Frenchman stamped his class on Wong, winning all his serves and breaking twice to secure a lightning-fast victory. Humbert, who holds an impressive 64 percent win rate on hard courts, is 7-5 on the surface this year.
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Frances Tiafoe vs Ugo Humbert Form
Frances Tiafoe and Ugo Humbert Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 9, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 3, 2025 - ATP Toronto
Aug 1, 2025 - ATP Toronto
Jul 30, 2025 - ATP Toronto
Jul 25, 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Jul 24, 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 9, 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Jul 1, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jun 27, 2025 - ATP Eastbourne International
Jun 26, 2025 - ATP Eastbourne International
Jun 25, 2025 - ATP Eastbourne International
Jun 17, 2025 - ATP Halle Open
Frances Tiafoe - Ugo Humbert Key Points
- Ugo Humbert defeated Chak Lam Coleman Wong 6-3, 6-4 in the second round of the 2025 Cincinnati Open.
- Ugo Humbert is 7-5 on the hard court in 2025.
- Frances Tiafoe defeated Roberto Carlos Baena 6-4, 6-3 in the second round of the 2025 Cincinnati Open.
- Frances Tiafoe is 1-2 head-to-head vs. Ugo Humbert.
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Our Frances Tiafoe vs Ugo Humbert Prediction
Frances Tiafoe must brace for a difficult match against Ugo Humbert, a hard-court expert with a 64 percent win rate on the hard court. Humbert lost two of the three previous matches with Tiafoe, but he has never failed to give the American a rough outing in each match. In his lone win over Tiafoe, Humbert decimated him 6-1 6-2 in another hard-court event at the 2020 Delray Beach Open.
Tiafoe only gets a 58 percent win probability from Matchstats, which shows that betting experts recognize Humbert’s caliber as a player, especially on his favorite surface.
The payout would be much higher if you bet on Humbert to win straight up at +110. However, the French’s subpar 18-14 overall record and 0-2 record against top-20 players convince me to take a conservative route by picking Humbert at +2.5 Games.
Our betting prediction for Frances Tiafoe vs. Ugo Humbert: Ugo Humbert +2.5 Games.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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