Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger Aliassime Prediction & Picks - ATP Cincinnati Open
ATP - ATP Cincinnati Open
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP Cincinnati Open Picks
Frances Tiafoe and Felix Auger-Aliassime clash in what many expect to be a three-set thriller in the fourth round of the 2026 Cincinnati Open.
Current Form:
Felix Auger-Aliassime has won his first two matches in Cincinnati without dropping a set. The Canadian blasted Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-3, 7-5 and Juan Manuel Cerundolo 7-5, 6-1 to reach the fourth round of the ATP 1000 event.
Frances Tiafoe also advanced to the round of 16 after carving out a three-set win over Learner Tien, 6-4, 4-6, 6-4. Tiafoe, who has had minor surgery to remove a cyst in his hand, earned two of his four breakpoint conversions in the final set to put away Tien for good. Tiafoe is 17-8 on the hard court in 2026.
The Matchup: Auger-Aliassime had won the first three meetings with Tiafoe, but the American ended the losing streak with a three-set win at Halle, 3-6, 6-3, 7-6.
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Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger Aliassime Form
Frances Tiafoe and Felix Auger Aliassime Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 18, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 16, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 6, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Aug 4, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Jul 27, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Jul 4, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 18, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 16, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Jul 7, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jul 5, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jul 3, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Jul 1, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Frances Tiafoe against Felix Auger Aliassime : Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
75 %
Jun 19, 2026 - ATP Halle Open
Nov 4, 2022 - Rolex Paris Masters
Apr 22, 2022 - ATP Barcelona
Sep 5, 2021 - ATP US Open
Frances Tiafoe - Felix Auger Aliassime Key Points
- Frances Tiafoe is 3-3 vs. top-10 players in 2026.
- Frances Tiafoe is 17-8 on the hard court in 2026.
- Felix Auger-Aliassime is 9-5 on the hard court in 2026.
- Felix Auger-Aliassime is 12-10 vs. top-50 players in 2026.
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Our Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger Aliassime Prediction
Key Stats: Felix Auger-Aliassime is winning 81.3 percent of his first serves and has faced only 5 breakpoints so far in Cincinnati.
Frances Tiafoe is also serving fantastically well in this tournament, winning 80.5 percent of his first serves and saving 3 of 6 breakpoints.
What to Expect: A three-set thriller is highly possible if both players continue to dominate with the ball in their hands.
Picking a winner is brutally hard, but Tiafoe seems like a solid bet because of how well he played in Cincinnati in previous editions. Regardless, backing both players to win a set offers a generous payout at +130.
Fearless Forecast: Frances Tiafoe wins 6-4, 4-6, 7-6
Our betting prediction for Frances Tiafoe vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime: Yes – Both Players Win A Set
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.