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by Lou Aguila in ATP Toronto Picks
Alex De Minaur of Australia will attempt to move closer to a title in Toronto as he locks horns with Frances Tiafoe of the United States in the fourth round of the 2025 Australian Open.
De Minaur, the 2025 Washington D.C Open champion, threatens to stage another deep run in Toronto after making another round of 16 appearance. The Aussie got a free pass to the fourth round after his scheduled opponent, Christopher O’Connell, gifted him with a walkover. The win assured De Minaur a shot at a second consecutive quarterfinal stint.
Tiafoe showed why he’s a hard-to-beat player in North American hard-court matches. For the second consecutive match, Tiafoe hacked out a three-set win over Aleksandar Vukic 6-3 4-6 6-3 to reach the fourth round of the Canadian Open. Powered by 34 first-serve points, Tiafoe withstood the pressure from Vukic, who scored 39 return points to break the American twice. Tiafoe secured two more breakpoint conversions than Vukic while also firing 10 aces.
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Frances Tiafoe vs Alex De Minaur Form
Frances Tiafoe and Alex De Minaur Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 1, 2025 - ATP Toronto
Jul 30, 2025 - ATP Toronto
Jul 25, 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Jul 24, 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Jul 23, 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Jul 2, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Aug 2, 2025 - ATP Toronto
Jul 30, 2025 - ATP Toronto
Jul 27, 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Jul 26, 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Jul 25, 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Jul 24, 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Frances Tiafoe against Alex De Minaur : Head to Head (H2H)
Nov 3, 2022 - Rolex Paris Masters
Frances Tiafoe - Alex De Minaur Key Points
- Alex De Minaur received a walk-over win from Christopher O’Connell in the third round of the 2025 Canadian Open.
- Alex De Minaur is on a 7-match win streak.
- Frances Tiafoe defeated Aleksandar Vukic 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 in the third round of the 2025 Canadian Open.
- Frances Tiafoe is 9-6 in hard-court matches in 2025.
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Our Frances Tiafoe vs Alex De Minaur Prediction
Fearless Forecast – Frances Tiafoe fights to the finish, covers the spread against Alex De Minaur.
Alex De Minaur’s 7-match win streak is certainly imposing. However, I also wouldn’t count out Frances Tiafoe easily, knowing he’s always a dangerous player on North American hard courts. Tiafoe is a strong pick to cover the spread with a +4.5 game head start against De Minaur, whom he defeated in straight sets 6-3 7-6(5) in their last encounter almost three years ago in the third round of the 2025 Paris Masters. De Minaur leads the series 3-1, but Tiafoe held his ground in those three losses. In a match that pits two top-caliber players against each other, it’s only right to expect a fierce battle. De Minaur is hot right now, but Frances Tiafoe has the tools and the heart to succeed in this type of situation.
Our betting prediction for Frances Tiafoe vs. Alex De Minaur: Frances Tiafoe +3.5 games
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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