USA vs France Prediction & Picks - Women's World Cup

World - Women's World Cup

USA
9/13/26 14:00
France

Prediction:

 

France +6.5 points

-105
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 by Lou Aguila | in Women's World Cup Picks

After losing to the USA by one point in the gold medal match at the 2026 Paris Olympics, France can avenge that loss by preventing the Americans from winning their 6th consecutive FIBA Women’s World Cup title.

France is an enticing pick to cover the spread with a +6.5-game cushion.

Current Form:

Team USA advanced to the final of the 2026 FIBA Women’s World Cup after fending off a spirited challenge from Spain, 76-66, in the semifinals. New York Liberty star Breanna Stewart led the charge with 16 points and 6 rebounds, and Las Vegas Aces guard Jackie Young contributed 12 points, 5 rebounds, and 4 assists in the win.

France arranged a rematch with Team USA after posting a clinical 86-64 win over Germany in the other semifinal pairing. Powered by Gabby Williams’ all-around performance (22 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists), France took the lead and never looked back to book its ticket to the FIBA Women’s World Cup final.

Players to Watch: USA’s Breanna Stewart (11.0 points on 51% FG with 6.8 rebounds and 2.6 assists) and France’s Gabby Williams (18.4 points on 57% FG, 5.2 rebounds and 3.4 assists).

The Matchup: Team USA is 7-1 in their last 8 meetings with France. However, the Frenchwomen gave the Americans a run for their money after losing by just one point, 67-66, to their rivals in the gold medal match at the 2024 Paris Olympics.

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USA vs France Form

USA and France Latest Matches

USA
USA Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 12, 2026 - Women's World Cup

Spain
66 :  76
USA

Sep 10, 2026 - Women's World Cup

USA
108 :  56
Hungary

Sep 7, 2026 - Women's World Cup

USA
105 :  64
Czechia

Sep 6, 2026 - Women's World Cup

Italy
52 :  55
USA

Sep 4, 2026 - Women's World Cup

USA
94 :  61
China

Mar 17, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Spain
70 :  84
USA
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 10, 2026 - Women's World Cup

USA
108 :  56
Hungary

Sep 7, 2026 - Women's World Cup

USA
105 :  64
Czechia

Sep 4, 2026 - Women's World Cup

USA
94 :  61
China

Mar 14, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

USA
93 :  59
Italy

Mar 11, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

USA
110 :  46
Senegal

Jul 5, 2025 - FIBA Americup, Women

USA
65 :  53
Canada
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 12, 2026 - Women's World Cup

Spain
66 :  76
USA

Sep 6, 2026 - Women's World Cup

Italy
52 :  55
USA

Mar 17, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Spain
70 :  84
USA

Mar 15, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

New Zealand
46 :  101
USA

Mar 12, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Puerto Rico
48 :  91
USA

Jul 6, 2025 - FIBA Americup, Women

Brazil
84 :  92
USA
France
France Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 12, 2026 - Women's World Cup

France
86 :  64
Germany

Sep 10, 2026 - Women's World Cup

China
61 :  90
France

Sep 7, 2026 - Women's World Cup

Nigeria
56 :  111
France

Sep 5, 2026 - Women's World Cup

France
95 :  69
Republic Of Korea

Sep 4, 2026 - Women's World Cup

Hungary
53 :  99
France

Sep 1, 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

France
83 :  54
China
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 12, 2026 - Women's World Cup

France
86 :  64
Germany

Sep 5, 2026 - Women's World Cup

France
95 :  69
Republic Of Korea

Sep 1, 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

France
83 :  54
China

Aug 28, 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women

France
72 :  75
Italy

Mar 15, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

France
93 :  86
Nigeria

Mar 11, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

France
115 :  66
Philippines
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 10, 2026 - Women's World Cup

China
61 :  90
France

Sep 7, 2026 - Women's World Cup

Nigeria
56 :  111
France

Sep 4, 2026 - Women's World Cup

Hungary
53 :  99
France

Mar 17, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Republic Of Korea
62 :  89
France

Mar 14, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Germany
63 :  85
France

Mar 12, 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A

Colombia
48 :  88
France

USA against France : Head to Head (H2H)

USA

100 %

France

0 %

Aug 11, 2024 - Olympic Matches Women

France
66 :  67
USA
USA vs France Picks

USA - France Key Points

  1. USA is gunning for its fifth consecutive FIBA Women’s World Cup title.
  2. USA is 7-1 vs. France in their head-to-head series.
  3. France lost to USA, 66-67, in the gold medal match at the 2026 Paris Olympics
  4. France has eight WNBA players on their roster for the 2026 FIBA’Women's World Cup.
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Our USA vs France Prediction

Key Stats: Team USA is averaging 87.6 points per game while allowing 59.8 points per game at the 2026 FIBA Women’s World Cup.

France leads the competition in scoring, averaging 96.2 points and allowing 60.2 points per contest.

What to Expect: France takes the USA to the limit again. Gabby Williams will deliver another brilliant all-around game to keep France in step with the Americans throughout the match.

In the end, Team USA has too many players who can step up and get big buckets in this high-pressure ballgame. France’s heavy reliance on Williams to create scoring opportunities will be tested for the first time by the No.1 defensive team in this tournament.

Team USA walks away with another world title, but France covers +6.5 points.

Fearless Forecast: USA wins 74-70

Our betting prediction for USA vs. France: France +6.5 points

Prediction:

 

France +6.5 points

-105
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.