France vs Sweden Prediction & Picks - World Cup

World - World Cup

France
6/30/26 17:00
Sweden

Prediction:

 

France Victory & Over 2.5 Goals

-212
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 by Tyler Doty | in World Cup Picks

It’s time for Les Bleus to kick off the knockout stage of the 2026 World Cup! In the Round of 16, France will face Sweden this Tuesday at MetLife Stadium. As one of the top favorites to win the title, the French national team lived up to its status during the group stage. It had no trouble whatsoever finishing at the top of Group I, which included Senegal and Norway, among others. We expect Didier Deschamps’ team to keep the momentum going.

Having qualified for this World Cup at the very last minute, Sweden must already be very happy to have reached the Round of 16. The Blågult didn’t exactly shine in Group F. In particular, they suffered a heavy defeat against the Netherlands (5-1). With 4 points earned, Graham Potter’s men still managed to qualify as one of the best third-place teams. The task ahead could now prove far too daunting for the Swedish team against one of the heavyweights of this World Cup.

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France vs Sweden Form

France and Sweden Latest Matches

France
France Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Jun 26, 2026 - World Cup

Norway
1 :  4
France

Jun 22, 2026 - World Cup

France
3 :  0
Iraq

Jun 16, 2026 - World Cup

France
3 :  1
Senegal

Jun 8, 2026 - International Friendlies

France
3 :  1
Northern Ireland

Jun 4, 2026 - International Friendlies

France
1 :  2
Côte d'Ivoire

Mar 29, 2026 - International Friendlies

Colombia
1 :  3
France
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Jun 22, 2026 - World Cup

France
3 :  0
Iraq

Jun 16, 2026 - World Cup

France
3 :  1
Senegal

Jun 8, 2026 - International Friendlies

France
3 :  1
Northern Ireland

Jun 4, 2026 - International Friendlies

France
1 :  2
Côte d'Ivoire

Nov 13, 2025 - World Cup

France
4 :  0
Ukraine

Oct 10, 2025 - World Cup

France
3 :  0
Azerbaijan
W D W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jun 26, 2026 - World Cup

Norway
1 :  4
France

Mar 29, 2026 - International Friendlies

Colombia
1 :  3
France

Mar 26, 2026 - International Friendlies

Brazil
1 :  2
France

Nov 16, 2025 - World Cup

Azerbaijan
1 :  3
France

Oct 13, 2025 - World Cup

Iceland
2 :  2
France

Sep 5, 2025 - World Cup

Ukraine
0 :  2
France
Sweden
Sweden Latest matches
W L D W L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jun 25, 2026 - World Cup

Japan
1 :  1
Sweden

Jun 20, 2026 - World Cup

Netherlands
5 :  1
Sweden

Jun 14, 2026 - World Cup

Sweden
5 :  1
Tunisia

Jun 4, 2026 - International Friendlies

Sweden
2 :  2
Greece

Jun 1, 2026 - International Friendlies

Norway
3 :  1
Sweden

Mar 31, 2026 - World Cup

Sweden
3 :  2
Poland
L L D W D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jun 14, 2026 - World Cup

Sweden
5 :  1
Tunisia

Jun 4, 2026 - International Friendlies

Sweden
2 :  2
Greece

Mar 31, 2026 - World Cup

Sweden
3 :  2
Poland

Nov 18, 2025 - World Cup

Sweden
1 :  1
Slovenia

Oct 13, 2025 - World Cup

Sweden
0 :  1
Kosovo

Oct 10, 2025 - World Cup

Sweden
0 :  2
Switzerland
L L W L L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jun 25, 2026 - World Cup

Japan
1 :  1
Sweden

Jun 20, 2026 - World Cup

Netherlands
5 :  1
Sweden

Jun 1, 2026 - International Friendlies

Norway
3 :  1
Sweden

Mar 26, 2026 - World Cup

Ukraine
1 :  3
Sweden

Nov 15, 2025 - World Cup

Switzerland
4 :  1
Sweden

Sep 8, 2025 - World Cup

Kosovo
2 :  0
Sweden

France against Sweden : Head to Head (H2H)

France

75 %

Draw

0 %

Sweden

25 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.25
Total goals
75%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
1.25
Goals conceded
75%
Over 2.5
25%
Under 2.5

Nov 17, 2020 - UEFA Nations League

France
4 :  2
Sweden

Sep 5, 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Sweden
0 :  1
France

Jun 9, 2017 - World Cup

Sweden
2 :  1
France

Nov 11, 2016 - World Cup

France
2 :  1
Sweden

France - Sweden: Form Analysis

World Cup Prediction: France vs Sweden

As one of the top favorites in this World Cup, France lived up to expectations during the group stage. They're one of the most solid teams so far in the tournament. Les Bleus had no trouble at all finishing at the top of Group I. They got off to a fantastic start by defeating Senegal (3-1).

Didier Deschamps’ team didn’t let up against Iraq, securing a comfortable victory despite a halftime break of more than two hours due to thunderstorms (3-0). France was then playing for first place on the final matchday. Facing a completely revamped Norwegian squad, they didn’t falter. Les Bleus managed to secure another victory to boost their confidence ahead of the Round of 16 (1-4).

Les Bleus went undefeated during the group stage of this World Cup.

After a very difficult qualifying campaign, Sweden still managed to make it to the playoffs to keep its World Cup hopes alive. Victories over Ukraine (1-3) and Poland (3-2) secured the team’s spot in the tournament.

In Group F, the Blågult kicked off with a resounding victory over Tunisia (5-1). However, they struggled afterward, suffering a heavy defeat against the Netherlands (5-1). Graham Potter’s team concluded the group stage with a draw against Japan (1-1). Those 4 points allowed them to finish among the top third-place teams and remain in contention for the World Cup.

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Sweden v France last Lineups

France

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

16
M. Maignan
5
J. Kounde
4
D. Upamecano
26
M. Lacroix
19
T. Hernandez
8
A. Tchouameni
6
M. Kone
7
O. Dembele
11
M. Olise
20
D. Doue
10
K. Mbappe
9
A. Isak
17
V. Gyokeres
11
A. Elanga
5
G. Gudmundsson
18
Y. Ayari
24
E. Stroud
21
A. Bernhardsson
3
V. Lindelof
4
I. Hien
2
G. Lagerbielke
1
J. Widell Zetterstrom

Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2

Sweden

Substitutes

France
France
Goalkeeper

R. Risser

B. Samba

Defender

L. Hernandez

I. Konate

W. Saliba

M. Gusto

L. Digne

Midfielder

W. Zaire-Emery

N. Kante

A. Rabiot

R. Cherki

M. Akliouche

Forward

M. Thuram

J. Mateta

B. Barcola

Sweden
Sweden
Goalkeeper

V. Johansson

K. Nordfeldt

Defender

D. Svensson

H. Ekdal

C. Starfelt

E. Smith

H. Johansson

Midfielder

B. Zeneli

L. Bergvall

K. Sema

J. Karlstrom

B. Nygren

M. Svanberg

Forward

T. Ali

G. Nilsson

Missing players

France
France
Defender

W. Saliba

Forward

M. Thuram

Sweden
Sweden
Defender

V. Lindelof

I. Hien

France & Sweden Squad Analysis

Ahead of the knockout stage of this World Cup, the French national team’s key players have gained a boost of confidence. In the last match against Norway, Mike Maignan stood out by saving a penalty kick. After getting some rest, William Saliba will return to his spot alongside Dayot Upamecano in the center of the defense.

Even though Manu Koné has had two strong games in midfield, Didier Deschamps might opt to start with Aurélien Tchouaméni and Adrien Rabiot in the midfield. France’s attacking stars have made a strong impression throughout the group stage. In addition to Michael Olise, who continues to dish out assist after assist, and Kylian Mbappé, who remains as effective as ever, Ousmane Dembélé just scored a hat trick against Norway. He already has four goals in this World Cup.

Ousmane Dembélé just scored a hat trick against Norway.

After conceding 5 goals against the Netherlands, Kristoffer Nordfeldt lost his starting spot in goal for Sweden’s final group stage match. Jacob Widell Zetterström, the Derby County goalkeeper, was chosen over him. The Blågult also suffered a major setback against Japan. After being forced to leave the game due to injury, Isak Hien is out for the remainder of the World Cup. Victor Lindelöf will therefore almost certainly return to central defense, having started in midfield in the previous match.

Yasin Ayari, who scored two goals on Matchday 1 against Tunisia, remains a key player in Sweden’s midfield. Graham Potter also has several talented options up front. In addition to Viktor Gyökeres and Alexander Isak, we should see Anthony Elanga in action, as he has been on a scoring streak in the last two matches.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato France
CD Huachipato Sweden
Top Goalscorer
France K. Mbappe (4 Goals)
France O. Dembele (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Sweden Y. Ayari (2 Goals) Sweden A. Elanga (2 Goals)
Best assists
France M. Olise (3 Assists)
Best assists
Sweden A. Isak (3 Assists)

France - Sweden Key Points

  1. France finished at the top of Group I, with 3 wins in 3 games.
  2. In the group stage, France defeated Senegal (3-1) and Norway (1-4), among others.
  3. Over 2.5 goals were scored in France's last 12 games.
  4. Sweden finished in third place in Group F. In particular, they suffered a heavy defeat against the Netherlands (5-1).
  5. Over 2.5 goals were scored in 6 of Sweden's last 7 games.
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Our France vs Sweden Prediction

Les Bleus enter this World Cup Round of 16 match as heavy favorites. They’ve racked up a string of wins during the group stage and have no intention of letting up as they take on Sweden. Despite earning 4 points in Group F, the Blågult haven’t exactly impressed in their World Cup debut. In particular, they suffered a heavy defeat against the Netherlands (5-1). Graham Potter’s men are unlikely to be a match for one of the favorites to win the title.

Our France vs Sweden prediction: France to win & over 2.5 goals in the match!

Prediction:

 

France Victory & Over 2.5 Goals

-212
$350 offered for betting!

France vs Sweden - Other Interesting Picks

France win the match

Odds -950
Les Bleus are aiming for nothing less than victory in this Round of 16 match. They are the heavy favorites in this matchup against Sweden. France shouldn't have too much trouble living up to its status and advancing to the next round.
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Mbappe Anytime Goalscorer

Odds -190
After scoring two braces in his first two World Cup matches, Kylian Mbappé just recorded two assists against Norway. The captain of Les Bleus is brimming with confidence heading into the Round of 16. He could once again shine against Sweden.
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WC Welcome Bonus for the France vs Sweden match!

FanDuel World Cup

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France vs Sweden match : Frequently asked questions

The World Cup match between France and Sweden is scheduled for 06/30/2026 at 5:00 pm ET at MetLife stadium.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

France vs Sweden Picks