Fluminense vs Chelsea Prediction & Picks - Club World Cup

World - Club World Cup

Fluminense
7/8/25 15:00
Chelsea

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 goals.

-135
$150 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Carlos Zabala in Club World Cup Picks

Fluminense remains the only non-European team competing in the Club World Cup, two wins away from unprecedented glory. The first of these would have to be won against Chelsea, who had already lost 3-1 to fellow Rio de Janeiro side Flamengo earlier in the competition.

However, that was Chelsea's only defeat of the tournament, as well as the only time they trailed. Maresca's team advanced to the most accessible part of the draw heading into the final, avoiding other UEFA heavyweights. In the quarterfinals, with Palmer's best performance of the tournament, the Blues beat another Brazilian team, Palmeiras, albeit with a fortuitous own goal. However, the statistics for that match show that Palmeiras barely managed to trouble Sánchez, the Chelsea goalkeeper.

But Fluminense, a team made up of several veterans, including well-known center back Thiago Silva, already challenged bettors when they paid +440 odds for their victory in the round of 16 against Inter, the Champions League runner-up, whom the Rio de Janeiro team beat 2-0.

Up to $150 to bet on Fluminense - Chelsea! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Fluminense vs Chelsea Form

Fluminense and Chelsea Latest Matches

Fluminense
Fluminense Latest matches
W D W D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jul 4, 2025 - Club World Cup

Fluminense
2 :  1
Al Hilal

Jun 30, 2025 - Club World Cup

Inter Milan
0 :  2
Fluminense

Jun 25, 2025 - Club World Cup

Mamelodi Sundowns
0 :  0
Fluminense

Jun 21, 2025 - Club World Cup

Fluminense
4 :  2
Ulsan HD FC

Jun 17, 2025 - Club World Cup

Fluminense
0 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

Jun 1, 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Internacional
0 :  2
Fluminense
W W W D W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Jul 4, 2025 - Club World Cup

Fluminense
2 :  1
Al Hilal

Jun 21, 2025 - Club World Cup

Fluminense
4 :  2
Ulsan HD FC

Jun 17, 2025 - Club World Cup

Fluminense
0 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

May 29, 2025 - Copa Sudamericana

Fluminense
2 :  0
CD Once Caldas

May 24, 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
2 :  1
Vasco Da Gama

May 14, 2025 - Copa Sudamericana

Fluminense
2 :  0
Union Espanola
L D W W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jun 30, 2025 - Club World Cup

Inter Milan
0 :  2
Fluminense

Jun 25, 2025 - Club World Cup

Mamelodi Sundowns
0 :  0
Fluminense

Jun 1, 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Internacional
0 :  2
Fluminense

May 21, 2025 - Copa do Brasil

AA Aparecidense GO
1 :  4
Fluminense

May 18, 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Juventude
1 :  1
Fluminense

May 11, 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
3 :  2
Fluminense
Chelsea
Chelsea Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jul 4, 2025 - Club World Cup

Palmeiras
1 :  2
Chelsea

Jun 28, 2025 - Club World Cup

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  4
Chelsea

Jun 24, 2025 - Club World Cup

Esperance Sportive De Tunis
0 :  3
Chelsea

Jun 20, 2025 - Club World Cup

Flamengo
3 :  1
Chelsea

Jun 16, 2025 - Club World Cup

Chelsea
2 :  0
Los Angeles FC

May 28, 2025 - Conference League

Betis
1 :  4
Chelsea
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Jun 16, 2025 - Club World Cup

Chelsea
2 :  0
Los Angeles FC

May 16, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Manchester United

May 8, 2025 - Conference League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Djurgardens IF

May 4, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  1
Liverpool

Apr 26, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Everton

Apr 17, 2025 - Conference League

Chelsea
1 :  2
Legia Warszawa
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jul 4, 2025 - Club World Cup

Palmeiras
1 :  2
Chelsea

Jun 28, 2025 - Club World Cup

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  4
Chelsea

Jun 24, 2025 - Club World Cup

Esperance Sportive De Tunis
0 :  3
Chelsea

Jun 20, 2025 - Club World Cup

Flamengo
3 :  1
Chelsea

May 28, 2025 - Conference League

Betis
1 :  4
Chelsea

May 25, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  1
Chelsea

Fluminense - Chelsea: Form Analysis

In the betting circles, Fluminense started out as the underdog of the four Brazilian teams to achieve glory. This is due mainly to their marked veteran defensive line, which, however, proved to be a strength in this tournament, as they kept a clean sheet three times in the Club World Cup.

Fluminense thus tied their five-match unbeaten run in the Club World Cup with their previous record, which spanned league and cup competitions in Brazil. Therefore, they would have to go back to May 11th to find the last time they lost, which was also the last time they conceded three or more goals.

Meanwhile, Chelsea earned decent results in the group stage. Against Los Angeles FC in Atlanta, they showed defensive sloppiness that was accentuated in their defeat against Flamengo. They beat the Tunisian club, and in the knockout stage, Chelsea won in extra time against Benfica, defeating Palmeiras with a goal in the remaining 10 minutes.

Up to $150 to bet on Fluminense - Chelsea! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Chelsea v Fluminense last Lineups

Fluminense

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

1
Fabio
4
Ignacio
3
T. Silva
22
J. Freytes
2
S. Xavier
8
M. Martinelli
5
F. Bernal
16
Nonato
12
G. Fuentes
21
J. Arias
14
G. Cano
18
C. Nkunku
9
L. Delap
7
P. Neto
8
E. Fernandez
10
C. Palmer
17
A. Santos
3
M. Cucurella
6
L. Colwill
23
T. Chalobah
27
M. Gusto
1
R. Sanchez

Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3

Chelsea

Fluminense & Chelsea Squad Analysis

Experience is one of Fluminense's most striking characteristics, starting with Fabio, the 44-year-old goalkeeper who made three saves in their victory against Hilal and who kept a clean sheet against Inter. In defense, Thiago Silva and Samuel Xavier are each over 35 years old, although the latter is speculated to play further up the line in a five-man midfield, and Ignacio and Freytes will partner Thiago Silva in defense, as they did against the Saudi club.

In the head-to-head qualifiers, Fluminense was greatly helped off the bench by Hercules, but the 24-year-old striker is still expected to start off the bench against Chelsea.

Chelsea, meanwhile, is carrying forward Liam Delap and Levi Colwill, who are suspended for accumulated yellow cards. Joao Pedro is therefore almost certainly expected to start in attack. Chelsea's arguably best player at the Club World Cup has been Neto, who will start against Fluminense on Tuesday.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Fluminense
CD Huachipato Chelsea
Top Goalscorer
Argentina G. Cano (5 Goals)
Colombia K. Serna (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Portugal P. Neto (3 Goals)
Best assists
Colombia J. Arias (6 Assists)
Best assists
Argentina E. Fernandez (2 Assists)

Fluminense - Chelsea Key Points

  1. Fluminense's defense generated 34 clearances in the match against Al Hilal
  2. Fluminense lost to Manchester City in the 2023 Club World Cup final
  3. Chelsea trailed in the Club World Cup for just over 25 minutes throughout the tournament
  4. Chelsea had 63% possession in the match against Palmeiras
Up to $150 to bet on Fluminense - Chelsea! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Our Fluminense vs Chelsea Prediction

This is a first for Chelsea and Fluminense. Fluminense will be underdogs in the betting odds, with similar odds to those against Inter, a match they won. This match will be played at the magnificent Meadowlands Stadium, with a capacity of over 80,000, on a New Jersey afternoon. It could be a more closely contested game than the betting sites predict, with few scoring chances. Our prediction for Chelsea vs Fluminense is: Under 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 goals.

-135
$150 offered for betting!

Fluminense vs Chelsea - Other Interesting Picks

Both teams not to score

Odds -125
On the road to the semifinals, Fluminense suffered two goalless draws and three games in which both teams did not score. Chelsea kept clean sheets in their matches in Philadelphia and Atlanta.
$150 offered for betting!

Chelsea to qualify

Odds -333
DraftKings has competitive odds for an ideal bet for those bettors who like to play it safe and risk little: Chelsea will be in the final.
$150 offered for betting!

Get your MLS Season Pass subcription thanks to your Fluminense vs Chelsea wager!

MLS Season PassDon't miss a match this MLS season thanks to this special offer from DraftKings! New and qualified returning users can score free access to MLS Season Pass with a $5 bet on any soccer match on DraftKings. Now is a great chance to take advantage with a bet on Fluminense vs Chelsea!
MLS Season Pass!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Fluminense vs Chelsea Picks
Up to $150 to bet on Fluminense - Chelsea! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings