Texas AM Aggies vs Florida Gators Prediction & Picks - NCAA

USA - NCAA

Texas AM Aggies
10/11/25 19:00
Florida Gators

Prediction:

 

Florida +7.5

-110
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 by Travis Pulver | in NCAA Picks

The Florida Gators will try to keep the good times rolling this week after beating the Texas Longhorns with a win over Texas A&M at Kyle Field in College Station, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. EST and will be broadcast on ESPN.

Florida had not gotten the season off to a good start. Heading into last weekend’s game against Texas, the Gators had lost three in a row (South Florida, LSU, and Miami) to open the season at 1-3. The Longhorns had opened as 6.5-point favorites and closed at 4.5. But despite being home underdogs, the Gators controlled the game from the start, taking a 29-14 lead into the fourth before winning 29-21. The key? Shutting down the Texas run game, holding the Longhorns to 52 yards on the ground, led by Arch Manning with 37. Controlling the run game will be key to an upset win over the Aggies team, which averages just under 200 yards a game on the ground. As for the Aggies, Texas A&M is off to a 5-0 start with wins over Notre Dame, Auburn, and Mississippi State. The run game has been explosive, the defense has been dominant but prone to giving up big plays on occasion, and the passing game has been solid.

Texas AM Aggies vs Florida Gators Form

Table

Texas AM Aggies and Florida Gators Latest Matches

Texas AM Aggies
Texas AM Aggies Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Oct 4, 2025 - NCAA

Texas AM Aggies
31 :  9
Mississippi State Bulldogs

Sep 27, 2025 - NCAA

Texas AM Aggies
16 :  10
Auburn Tigers

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
40 :  41
Texas AM Aggies

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

Texas AM Aggies
44 :  22
Utah State Aggies

Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA

Texas AM Aggies
42 :  24
UTSA Roadrunners

Oct 5, 2024 - NCAA

Texas AM Aggies
41 :  10
Missouri Tigers
W W W W W
Victories

5/5 (100%)

Defeats

0/5 (0%)

Oct 4, 2025 - NCAA

Texas AM Aggies
31 :  9
Mississippi State Bulldogs

Sep 27, 2025 - NCAA

Texas AM Aggies
16 :  10
Auburn Tigers

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

Texas AM Aggies
44 :  22
Utah State Aggies

Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA

Texas AM Aggies
42 :  24
UTSA Roadrunners

Oct 5, 2024 - NCAA

Texas AM Aggies
41 :  10
Missouri Tigers
W
Victories

1/1 (100%)

Defeats

0/1 (0%)

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
40 :  41
Texas AM Aggies
Florida Gators
Florida Gators Latest matches
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Oct 4, 2025 - NCAA

Florida Gators
29 :  21
Texas Longhorns

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

Miami Hurricanes
26 :  7
Florida Gators

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

LSU Tigers
20 :  10
Florida Gators

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

Florida Gators
16 :  18
South Florida Bulls

Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA

Florida Gators
55 :  0
LIU Sharks

Oct 5, 2024 - NCAA

Florida Gators
24 :  13
UCF Knights
L W W L W
Victories

3/5 (60%)

Defeats

2/5 (40%)

Oct 4, 2025 - NCAA

Florida Gators
29 :  21
Texas Longhorns

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

Florida Gators
16 :  18
South Florida Bulls

Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA

Florida Gators
55 :  0
LIU Sharks

Oct 5, 2024 - NCAA

Florida Gators
24 :  13
UCF Knights

Aug 31, 2024 - NCAA

Florida Gators
17 :  41
Miami Hurricanes
L L
Victories

0/2 (0%)

Defeats

2/2 (100%)

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

Miami Hurricanes
26 :  7
Florida Gators

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

LSU Tigers
20 :  10
Florida Gators

Texas AM Aggies - Florida Gators Key Points

  1. Texas A&M and Florida have played seven times; A&M leads the all-time series 4-3.
  2. The Aggies have won three of five games vs. Florida since joining the SEC in 2012.
  3. Texas A&M opened as a 9.5-point favorite, but the spread has since shifted to -7.5.
  4. Betting Public: 60% of spread tickets and 55% of the handle is on Florida, but the split is 91% and 73% in favor of the Aggies on the moneyline.

Our Texas AM Aggies vs Florida Gators Prediction

After last week’s win over Texas, it is hard to know what to expect out of Florida. The Gators had been disappointing through the first four weeks, but to be fair, two of the losses were to teams ranked inside the top five at the time. So, maybe the version of DJ Langway we saw vs. Texas will show up against the Aggies? Whether he does or not, A&M is the better team and should absolutely win this game. However, they don’t seem to keep their foot on the gas, often letting teams back in or failing to put them away. So, for once, I agree with the public. Texas A&M will win, but not cover.

Our Florida vs. Texas A&M Pick: Florida +7.5

Prediction:

 

Florida +7.5

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Texas AM Aggies vs Florida Gators Picks