Florida Gators vs Texas A&M Aggies Prediction & Picks - NCAA

USA - NCAA

Florida Gators
10/11/25 19:00
Texas A&M Aggies

Prediction:

 

Florida +7.5

-110
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 by Travis Pulver in NCAA Picks

The Florida Gators will try to keep the good times rolling this week after beating the Texas Longhorns with a win over Texas A&M at Kyle Field in College Station, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. EST and will be broadcast on ESPN.

Florida had not gotten the season off to a good start. Heading into last weekend’s game against Texas, the Gators had lost three in a row (South Florida, LSU, and Miami) to open the season at 1-3. The Longhorns had opened as 6.5-point favorites and closed at 4.5. But despite being home underdogs, the Gators controlled the game from the start, taking a 29-14 lead into the fourth before winning 29-21. The key? Shutting down the Texas run game, holding the Longhorns to 52 yards on the ground, led by Arch Manning with 37. Controlling the run game will be key to an upset win over the Aggies team, which averages just under 200 yards a game on the ground. As for the Aggies, Texas A&M is off to a 5-0 start with wins over Notre Dame, Auburn, and Mississippi State. The run game has been explosive, the defense has been dominant but prone to giving up big plays on occasion, and the passing game has been solid.

Florida Gators vs Texas A&M Aggies Form

Table

Teams % P W D L
2
Texas A&M Aggies
Texas A&M Aggies
1 2 2 0 0
7
Florida Gators
Florida Gators
0.5 2 1 0 1

Florida Gators and Texas A&M Aggies Latest Matches

Florida Gators
Florida Gators Latest matches
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Oct 4, 2025 - NCAA

Texas Longhorns
21 :  29
Florida Gators

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

Florida Gators
7 :  26
Miami (FL) Hurricanes

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

Florida Gators
10 :  20
LSU Tigers

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

South Florida Bulls
18 :  16
Florida Gators

Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA

LIU Sharks
0 :  55
Florida Gators

Dec 20, 2024 - NCAA Division I, FBS, Playoffs

Tulane Green Wave
8 :  33
Florida Gators
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 4, 2025 - NCAA

Texas Longhorns
21 :  29
Florida Gators

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

South Florida Bulls
18 :  16
Florida Gators

Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA

LIU Sharks
0 :  55
Florida Gators

Dec 20, 2024 - NCAA Division I, FBS, Playoffs

Tulane Green Wave
8 :  33
Florida Gators

Nov 23, 2024 - NCAA

Ole Miss Rebels
17 :  24
Florida Gators

Nov 16, 2024 - NCAA

LSU Tigers
16 :  27
Florida Gators
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

Florida Gators
7 :  26
Miami (FL) Hurricanes

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

Florida Gators
10 :  20
LSU Tigers

Nov 30, 2024 - NCAA

Florida Gators
31 :  11
Florida State Seminoles

Nov 9, 2024 - NCAA

Florida Gators
17 :  49
Texas Longhorns

Nov 2, 2024 - NCAA

Florida Gators
20 :  34
Georgia Bulldogs

Oct 12, 2024 - NCAA

Florida Gators
17 :  23
Tennessee Volunteers
Texas A&M Aggies
Texas A&M Aggies Latest matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 4, 2025 - NCAA

Mississippi State Bulldogs
9 :  31
Texas A&M Aggies

Sep 27, 2025 - NCAA

Auburn Tigers
10 :  16
Texas A&M Aggies

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

Texas A&M Aggies
41 :  40
Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

Utah State Aggies
22 :  44
Texas A&M Aggies

Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA

UTSA Roadrunners
24 :  42
Texas A&M Aggies

Dec 27, 2024 - NCAA Division I, FBS, Playoffs

Texas A&M Aggies
31 :  35
USC Trojans
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 4, 2025 - NCAA

Mississippi State Bulldogs
9 :  31
Texas A&M Aggies

Sep 27, 2025 - NCAA

Auburn Tigers
10 :  16
Texas A&M Aggies

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

Utah State Aggies
22 :  44
Texas A&M Aggies

Aug 30, 2025 - NCAA

UTSA Roadrunners
24 :  42
Texas A&M Aggies

Nov 30, 2024 - NCAA

Texas Longhorns
17 :  7
Texas A&M Aggies

Nov 16, 2024 - NCAA

New Mexico State Aggies
3 :  38
Texas A&M Aggies
W L L L W
Victories

2/5 (40%)

Draw

0/5 (0%)

Defeats

3/5 (60%)

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

Texas A&M Aggies
41 :  40
Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Dec 27, 2024 - NCAA Division I, FBS, Playoffs

Texas A&M Aggies
31 :  35
USC Trojans

Nov 23, 2024 - NCAA

Texas A&M Aggies
41 :  43
Auburn Tigers

Nov 2, 2024 - NCAA

Texas A&M Aggies
20 :  44
South Carolina Gamecocks

Oct 19, 2024 - NCAA

Texas A&M Aggies
34 :  24
Mississippi State Bulldogs

Florida Gators - Texas A&M Aggies Key Points

  1. Texas A&M and Florida have played seven times; A&M leads the all-time series 4-3.
  2. The Aggies have won three of five games vs. Florida since joining the SEC in 2012.
  3. Texas A&M opened as a 9.5-point favorite, but the spread has since shifted to -7.5.
  4. Betting Public: 60% of spread tickets and 55% of the handle is on Florida, but the split is 91% and 73% in favor of the Aggies on the moneyline.

Our Florida Gators vs Texas A&M Aggies Prediction

After last week’s win over Texas, it is hard to know what to expect out of Florida. The Gators had been disappointing through the first four weeks, but to be fair, two of the losses were to teams ranked inside the top five at the time. So, maybe the version of DJ Langway we saw vs. Texas will show up against the Aggies? Whether he does or not, A&M is the better team and should absolutely win this game. However, they don’t seem to keep their foot on the gas, often letting teams back in or failing to put them away. So, for once, I agree with the public. Texas A&M will win, but not cover.

Our Florida vs. Texas A&M Pick: Florida +7.5

Prediction:

 

Florida +7.5

-110
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Florida Gators vs Texas A&M Aggies Picks