Duke vs Florida Prediction & Picks - NCAA Men

USA - NCAA Men

Duke
12/2/25 19:30
Florida

Prediction:

 

The Florida Gators +7.5 points

-102
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 by Lou Aguila | in Basketball Picks

The Florida Gators will slug it out with the Duke Blue Devils in a battle of two ranked teams in men’s college basketball on Tuesday at Cameron Indoor Stadium.

Owner of an immaculate 8-0 record, Duke is the clear-cut favorite at -430 moneyline. However, Florida should not be taken lightly because of their experience and caliber that come with being the defending National Champion.

Current Form:

The Gators bounced back from their 80-84 loss to TCU by blasting the Providence Friars 90-78. Xaivian Lee recorded a team-high 20 points and 7 rebounds, and Urban Klavzar tallied 18 off the bench. Boogie Fland and Thomas Hugh also delivered quality minutes with 17 and 16 points, respectively. Florida is 5-2 in the season.

Duke has lived up to its hype, crushing their first eight opponents with their overwhelming talent. The Blue Devils took down the No. 22-ranked Arkansas as Cameron Boozer chalked up 35 points and 9 rebounds, and Caleb Foster added 15 points. Duke owns the third-toughest defense in the nation, surrendering only 58.8 points per game.

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Duke vs Florida Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
2 Duke
0.935 31 29 2 8
18 Florida
0.806 31 25 6 10

Duke and Florida Latest Matches

Duke
Duke Latest matches
W W W W L
Victories

4/5 (80%)

Defeats

1/5 (20%)

Apr 5, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Duke
67 :  70
Houston

Mar 27, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Duke
100 :  93
Arizona

Mar 23, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Duke
89 :  66
Baylor

Mar 21, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Duke
93 :  49
Mount St. Marys Mountaineers

Mar 29, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

Houston
51 :  54
Duke
W W W L
Victories

3/4 (75%)

Defeats

1/4 (25%)

Apr 5, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Duke
67 :  70
Houston

Mar 27, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Duke
100 :  93
Arizona

Mar 23, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Duke
89 :  66
Baylor

Mar 21, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Duke
93 :  49
Mount St. Marys Mountaineers
W
Victories

1/1 (100%)

Defeats

0/1 (0%)

Mar 29, 2024 - NCAA Basketball

Houston
51 :  54
Duke
Florida
Florida Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Apr 7, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Houston
63 :  65
Florida

Apr 5, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Auburn
73 :  79
Florida

Mar 29, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Florida
84 :  79
Texas Tech Red Raiders

Mar 27, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Florida
87 :  71
Maryland Terrapins

Mar 23, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Florida
77 :  75
UCONN

Mar 21, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Florida
95 :  69
Norfolk State Spartans
W W W W
Victories

4/4 (100%)

Defeats

0/4 (0%)

Mar 29, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Florida
84 :  79
Texas Tech Red Raiders

Mar 27, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Florida
87 :  71
Maryland Terrapins

Mar 23, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Florida
77 :  75
UCONN

Mar 21, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Florida
95 :  69
Norfolk State Spartans
W W
Victories

2/2 (100%)

Defeats

0/2 (0%)

Apr 7, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Houston
63 :  65
Florida

Apr 5, 2025 - NCAA Basketball

Auburn
73 :  79
Florida
Duke vs Florida Picks

Duke - Florida Key Points

  1. Florida is 8-0 ATS in its last 8 games played in December.
  2. Florida is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road.
  3. Duke is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games.
  4. Duke is 8-0 SU in its last 8 games.
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Our Duke vs Florida Prediction

Fearless Forecast: Florida is poised to be the toughest opponent Duke will ever face this season. The Blue Devils have taken down two ranked teams so far this season, beating No. 24 Kansas 78-66 and No.22 Arkansas 80-71. Ranked No.10 in the nation, Florida is the highest-ranked opponent for Duke since kicking off their campaign. The Gators might be a bit shaky after going 5-2 in their first seven games, but this team has the talent, experience, and system to take down any highly-touted squad on their schedule, and Duke is no exception.

While the Blue Devils remain a solid pick to win this matchup because of their superior lineup on paper, Florida will definitely provide the home team a rough matchup. Florida is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road and 8-0 ATS in its last 8 games played in December.

Our betting prediction for Duke vs. Florida: Florida +7.5 points

Prediction:

 

The Florida Gators +7.5 points

-102
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.