ATP - ATP Shanghai Masters


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by Lou Aguila in ATP Shanghai Masters Picks
Felix Auger-Aliassime of Canada will gun for his third consecutive quarterfinals when he faces Lorenzo Musetti of Italy in the round of 16 at the 2025 Shanghai Masters on Wednesday.
Auger-Aliassime is a +110 underdog against Musetti, who has beaten the Canadian in their last two meetings.
Current Form:
Auger-Aliassime moved one win away from another quarterfinal appearance after besting Jesper de Jong 6-4, 7-5 in the third round. The Canadian only conceded one service break after bombarding his Dutch foe with 30 points behind the first serve and 7 aces. He also broke De Jong three times to secure a straight-set victory. Ranked No.13 in the world, Aliassime has won 7 of his last 8 matches.
Musetti is on the verge of another quarterfinals appearance after hacking out a 7-5, 7-6 win over Luciano Darderi in a competitive All-Italian tussle on Monday. Musetti fired 11 aces and won 43 points behind the first serves to win 10 out of 12 service games. He also seized three breakpoints by attacking Darderi’s second serves, in which he collected 20 return points. Musetti is 4-1 in his last five matches.
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Felix Auger Aliassime vs Lorenzo Musetti Form
Felix Auger Aliassime and Lorenzo Musetti Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Oct 6, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 4, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Sep 5, 2025 - ATP US Open
Sep 3, 2025 - ATP US Open
Sep 1, 2025 - ATP US Open
Aug 30, 2025 - ATP US Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Oct 6, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 4, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Sep 29, 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
Sep 28, 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
Sep 26, 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
Sep 23, 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open
Felix Auger Aliassime against Lorenzo Musetti : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Mar 23, 2025 - ATP Miami
Aug 3, 2024 - Olympic Tournament
Oct 15, 2022 - Florence, Italy, Qualifying
Felix Auger Aliassime - Lorenzo Musetti Key Points
- Lorenzo Musetti defeated Luciano Darderi 7-5, 7-6 in the third round of the 2025 Shanghai Masters.
- Lorenzo Musetti is 4-1 in his last five matches.
- Felix Auger-Aliassime is 7-1 in his last 8 matches.
- Felix Auger-Aliassime defeated Jesper de Jong 6-4, 7-5 in the third round of the 2025 Shanghai Masters.
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Our Felix Auger Aliassime vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction
Felix Auger-Aliassime hasn’t won a match against Lorenzo Musetti since their Davis Cup encounter in 2022. The Canadian suffered three-set setbacks to Musetti in the battle for bronze at the 2024 Paris Olympics (4-6, 6-1, 3-6) and the third round of the 2025 Miami Open (6-4, 2-6, 3-6). However, Auger-Aliassime has found his elite form in the past months, reaching at least the quarterfinals of his last three tournaments. Musetti, 18-10 on the hard court in 2025, will try to sustain his mastery over Auger-Aliassime, and he has the numbers to back it up. He is 9-7 against the top-20 players and 4-1 in fourth-round matches in 2025. In 7 meetings against Auger-Aliassime, Musetti defeated the Canadian three times.
Fearless Forecast: This is a tough one, but I am taking Felix Auger-Aliassime to grind out a win over Lorenzo Musetti. I have him winning 7-5, 5-7, 7-6 in a thriller of a matchup. The Canadian has been playing at a high level since the Cincinnati Masters. Musetti has also been terrific on the hard cour,t but he’s also losing matches against players he was supposed to beat, like Learner Tien and Alejandro Tabilo, not to mention the Chinese crowd hates him.
Our betting prediction for Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Lorenzo Musetti: Felix Auger-Aliassime will win.
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