WTA - WTA Cincinnati Open
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by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
A +150 underdog, the giant-slaying Ella Seidel carries a lot of value on the moneyline market ahead of her fourth-round showdown with Varvara Gracheva of France at the 2025 Cincinnati Open on Thursday.
Seidel has racked up five consecutive wins in Cincinnati, including back-to-back wins over seeded players, to reach the fourth round of a WTA 1000 event for the first time in her career. Two days after stunning former WTA top-10 Emma Navarro 6-4 1-6 6-4, Seidel came through with another gritty victory over No.32 seed Ashlyn Krueger of the United States 6-4 2-6 7-6(6). Seidel conceded four service breaks but took back three breakpoint conversions. Seidel displayed such poise to outlast Krueger in a thrilling tiebreaker in the third set.
Gracheva has also won five matches in a row, with her latest win at the expense of former US Open semifinalist Karolina Muchova 6-2 6-4. After surviving a couple of three-set wins, the Frenchwoman played with more aggression against Muchova, capturing 74 percent of her first serves and breaking four times on 20 return points. The win improved Gracheva’s record to 11-7 on the hard court in 2025.
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Ella Seidel vs Varvara Gracheva Form
Ella Seidel and Varvara Gracheva Latest Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Aug 12, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 10, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 8, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 6, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 5, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Jul 31, 2025 - Warsaw, Poland, Qualifying
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 12, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 10, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 8, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 6, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 5, 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Jul 27, 2025 - WTA National Bank Open
Ella Seidel - Varvara Gracheva Key Points
- Ella Seidel defeated 6-4 2-6 7-6(6) in the third round of the 2025 Cincinnati Open.
- Ella Seidel is 8-3 on the hard court in 2025.
- Varvara Gracheva defeated Karolina Muchova 6-2, 6-4 in the third round of the 2025 Cincinnati Open.
- Varvara Gracheva defeated Karolina Muchova 6-2, 6-4 in the third round of the 2025 Cincinnati Open.
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Our Ella Seidel vs Varvara Gracheva Prediction
Prediction: Ella Seidel will edge Varvara Gracheva in a thrilling fourth-round contest.
In a battle of two overachievers at this year’s Cincinnati Open, Seidel stands as a more compelling moneyline pick at +150. The German has been an underdog since the start of her main draw campaign in Cincinnati, and yet, she has defied all kinds of odds to secure her best finish at a WTA 1000 event.
Gracheva also deserves credit for getting this far, but one can argue that Seidel has beaten tougher opponents, including the former top-10 Emma Navarro. In what is shaping up to be another thrilling match, Seidel will try to put the lessons she got from her recent battles to good use against Gracheva.
Our betting prediction for Ella Seidel vs. Varvara Gracheva: Ella Seidel will win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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