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by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
Jessica Pegula of the United States braces up for a difficult match against Elise Mertens of Belgium in the final scheduled match on Saturday at the 2025 Italian Open.
After ruling the 2025 Charleston Open, Pegula hasn’t found much success in the first two European clay-court tournaments she played in. Pegula lost in the quarterfinal of the 2025 Stuttgart Open to Ekaterina Alexandrova 0-6 4-6 and got stunned by the streaking Mayoka Uchijima 3-6, 2-6 in Madrid.
Like Pegula, Mertens also hasn’t gone deep in the big tournaments this clay-court season. The Belgian reached the quarterfinal of the 2025 Stuttgart Open before losing the third round of both the Charleston and Madrid Open. Mertens played Aryna Sabalenka twice in a span of 4 weeks, losing to the world’s No.1 6-4 6-1 in Charleston before pushing her to three sets 3-6 6-2 6-1 in Madrid.
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Elise Mertens vs Jessica Pegula Form
Elise Mertens and Jessica Pegula Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 8, 2025 - WTA Rome
Apr 27, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 25, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 19, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
Apr 16, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
Apr 14, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 8, 2025 - WTA Rome
Apr 27, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 25, 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 19, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
Apr 17, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
Apr 6, 2025 - WTA Charleston Open
Elise Mertens against Jessica Pegula : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Jan 14, 2025 - WTA Australian Open
Jun 2, 2023 - WTA French Open
Elise Mertens - Jessica Pegula Key Points
- Jessica Pegula defeated Ashlyn Krueger 6-4 6-2 in the second round of the 2025 Italian Open.
- Jessica Pegula is 2-3 since winning the Charleston Open.
- Elise Mertens is 5-3 in the 2025 clay-court season
- Elise Mertens defeated Suzan Lamens 3-6 6-2 6-3 in the second round of the 2025 Italian Open.
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Our Elise Mertens vs Jessica Pegula Prediction
Upset Alert: Elise Mertens continues her mastery over Jessica Pegula to clinch spot in the fourth round.
Why is Elise Mertens an upset favorite? – Mertens is 3-1 head-to-head against Pegula, and defeated the American 6-1 6-3 in their only clay-court match in the third round of the 2023 French Open.
Why will Jessica Pegula lose to Mertens? – Apart from her losing record against the Belgian, Pegula hasn’t quite played to the level she had during his run in Miami and Charleston. Pegula fell victim to lesser-ranked opponents during her European clay-court tour, losing to Alexandrova and Uchijima.
Our betting prediction for Elise Mertens vs. Jessica Pegula:Elise Mertens will win
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