Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek Prediction & Picks - WTA China Open

WTA - WTA China Open

Elise Mertens Belgium
Elise Mertens WTA 19
10/9/26 07:00
Iga Swiatek Poland
Iga Swiatek WTA 9

Prediction:

 

Elise Mertens +5.5 Game Handicap

-137
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Tennis Picks

One of the WTA Beijing quarter finals due to take place on Friday sees the world number 19 do battle with the world number nine. This is a match between Elise Mertens and Iga Swiatek, who're meeting for a third time. Swiatek is no stranger to doing the business in Beijing, where she picked up the title in 2023, though this is her best effort since. 

Elise Mertens has never beaten Iga Swiatek, but the two have only met twice before, while the Belgian is playing some top-level tennis right now. After she defeated Coco Gauff in straight sets last time out, she looks well placed to, at the very least, make this a slightly tougher test for Swiatek than the early market predicts. After all, we have seen the once mighty Pole drop a set to Donna Vekic at the tournament already, while she was defeated by Qinwen Zheng not long ago too. 

Up to $150 to bet on Elise Mertens - Iga Swiatek! 

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Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek Form

Elise Mertens and Iga Swiatek Latest Matches

Elise Mertens Latest matches
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 7, 2026 - WTA China Open

Coco Gauff
0 :  2
Elise Mertens

Oct 5, 2026 - WTA China Open

Jelena Ostapenko
1 :  2
Elise Mertens

Oct 2, 2026 - WTA China Open

Katie Volynets
1 :  2
Elise Mertens

Sep 25, 2026 - WTA Singapore

Elise Mertens
0 :  2
Maja Chwalinska

Sep 5, 2026 - WTA US Open

Naomi Osaka
2 :  1
Elise Mertens

Sep 3, 2026 - WTA US Open

Maria Timofeeva
0 :  2
Elise Mertens
Iga Swiatek Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 7, 2026 - WTA China Open

Iva Jovic
0 :  2
Iga Swiatek

Oct 4, 2026 - WTA China Open

Donna Vekić
1 :  2
Iga Swiatek

Oct 3, 2026 - WTA China Open

Xinyu Gao
0 :  2
Iga Swiatek

Sep 7, 2026 - WTA US Open

Iga Swiatek
0 :  2
Qinwen Zheng

Sep 5, 2026 - WTA US Open

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Marie Bouzkova

Sep 3, 2026 - WTA US Open

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Nadia Podoroska

Elise Mertens against Iga Swiatek : Head to Head (H2H)

Elise Mertens

0 %

Iga Swiatek

100 %

Mar 23, 2025 - WTA Miami

Elise Mertens
0 :  2
Iga Swiatek

Apr 18, 2024 - WTA Stuttgart Open

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Elise Mertens
Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek Picks

Elise Mertens - Iga Swiatek Key Points

  1. Elise Mertens defeated a top-five player in straight sets last time out.
  2. Iga Swiatek has already dropped a set against a lesser player than Elise Mertens in Beijing.
  3. In the last few months, Elise Mertens has often delivered her best tennis against the very best players.
  4. Since July, Elise Mertens has defeated the likes of Elena Rybakina and Coco Gauff, both of whom are top-five players.
Up to $150 to bet on Elise Mertens - Iga Swiatek! 

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Our Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek Prediction

Iga Swiatek has dropped a set to Donna Vekic in Beijing, plus she lost to Qinwen Zheng just four matches ago. Both of those players are some way off the current level of Elise Mertens, who really could make life difficult for the world number nine. We know that Swiatek at her best can be a very tough nut to crack, but she's not quite been at her best for a while, especially in terms of consistency, while her opponent really is thriving at present, which means that the gap between the two likely isn't as big as the early betting suggests. 

Our Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek Pick: Elise Mertens +5.5 Game Handicap. 

Prediction:

 

Elise Mertens +5.5 Game Handicap

-137
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.