WTA - Japan Women's Open
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by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks
Former Australian Open champion Sofia Kenin takes on the red-hot Ekaterina Alexandrova of Russia in the quarterfinals of the 2025 Toray Pan Pacific Open on Friday.
Alexandrova is the massive favorite at -500, but Kenin is currently valued at +105 to cover +4.5 games in this matchup.
Current Form:
After reaching her second final in the Asian swing of the WTA Tour at Ningbo, Alexandrova seems poised to stage another deep run in Tokyo after blasting Jaqueline Cristian in straight sets, 6-1, 6-2. The Russian overpowered Cristian by holding all seven of her service games and scoring four breakpoint conversions. Alexandrova is now 22-15 on the hard court and 47-23 overall in 2025.
Kenin secured her fourth quarterfinal this year after topping Wakana Sonobe of Japan 3-6, 6-1, 7-6. Kenin collected 47 points behind the first serves and added 16 off the second serve to win 12 of 14 service games. She also broke the Japanese three times by capturing 44 return points. Kenin improved to 18-16 on the hard court in 2025.
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Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Sofia Kenin Form
Ekaterina Alexandrova and Sofia Kenin Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Oct 23, 2025 - Japan Women's Open
Oct 19, 2025 - Ningbo Open
Oct 18, 2025 - Ningbo Open
Oct 17, 2025 - Ningbo Open
Oct 16, 2025 - Ningbo Open
Oct 8, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Oct 23, 2025 - Japan Women's Open
Oct 21, 2025 - Japan Women's Open
Oct 13, 2025 - Ningbo Open
Oct 8, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
Oct 6, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
Sep 28, 2025 - WTA China Open
Ekaterina Alexandrova against Sofia Kenin : Head to Head (H2H)
Oct 7, 2024 - WTA Wuhan Open
Ekaterina Alexandrova - Sofia Kenin Key Points
- Sofia Kenin defeated Wakana Sonobe 3-6, 6-1, 7-6 in the second round of the 2025 Toray Pan Pacific Open.
- Sofia Kenin is 18-16 on the hard court in 2025.
- Ekaterina Alexandrova defeated Jaqueline Cristian 6-1, 6-2 in the second round of the 2025 Toray Pan Pacific Open.
- Ekaterina Alexandrova is 22-15 on the hard court in 2025.
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Our Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Sofia Kenin Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Ekaterina Alexandrova will blast Sofia Kenin 6-3, 6-3 to cover -5.5 games (+120). Kenin might not be the same player as she was during the peak of her career, but she’s still a legit top-50 player in the world. However, Alexandrova has elevated her game to another level over the past several weeks, racking up 9 wins in 13 matches and two finals appearances in Seoul and Ningbo. Alexandrova is playing at an elite level right now, which spells bad news for Kenin, who is 1-7 against the top-10 players this year.
Our betting prediction for Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Sofia Kenin: Ekaterina Alexandrova -5.5 Games.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.