Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Sofia Kenin Prediction & Picks - Japan Women's Open

WTA - Japan Women's Open

WTA 10 Russia
Ekaterina Alexandrova
10/23/25 23:50
WTA 25 USA
Sofia Kenin

Prediction:

 

Ekaterina Alexandrova -5.5 Games

+120
$300+ offered for betting!

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 by Lou Aguila in Tennis Picks

Former Australian Open champion Sofia Kenin takes on the red-hot Ekaterina Alexandrova of Russia in the quarterfinals of the 2025 Toray Pan Pacific Open on Friday.

Alexandrova is the massive favorite at -500, but Kenin is currently valued at +105 to cover +4.5 games in this matchup.

Current Form:

After reaching her second final in the Asian swing of the WTA Tour at Ningbo, Alexandrova seems poised to stage another deep run in Tokyo after blasting Jaqueline Cristian in straight sets, 6-1, 6-2. The Russian overpowered Cristian by holding all seven of her service games and scoring four breakpoint conversions. Alexandrova is now 22-15 on the hard court and 47-23 overall in 2025.

Kenin secured her fourth quarterfinal this year after topping Wakana Sonobe of Japan 3-6, 6-1, 7-6. Kenin collected 47 points behind the first serves and added 16 off the second serve to win 12 of 14 service games. She also broke the Japanese three times by capturing 44 return points. Kenin improved to 18-16 on the hard court in 2025.

Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Sofia Kenin Form

Ekaterina Alexandrova and Sofia Kenin Latest Matches

Ekaterina Alexandrova Latest matches
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 23, 2025 - Japan Women's Open

Ekaterina Alexandrova
2 :  0
Jaqueline Cristian

Oct 19, 2025 - Ningbo Open

Ekaterina Alexandrova
1 :  2
Elena Rybakina

Oct 18, 2025 - Ningbo Open

Diana Shnaider
0 :  2
Ekaterina Alexandrova

Oct 17, 2025 - Ningbo Open

Ekaterina Alexandrova
2 :  0
McCartney Kessler

Oct 16, 2025 - Ningbo Open

Ekaterina Alexandrova
2 :  0
Yue Yuan

Oct 8, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open

Ekaterina Alexandrova
1 :  2
Jessica Pegula
Sofia Kenin Latest matches
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Oct 23, 2025 - Japan Women's Open

Wakana Sonobe
1 :  2
Sofia Kenin

Oct 21, 2025 - Japan Women's Open

Moyuka Uchijima
0 :  2
Sofia Kenin

Oct 13, 2025 - Ningbo Open

Sofia Kenin
0 :  2
McCartney Kessler

Oct 8, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open

Sofia Kenin
1 :  2
Liudmila Samsonova

Oct 6, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open

Anastasia Zakharova
1 :  2
Sofia Kenin

Sep 28, 2025 - WTA China Open

Jasmine Paolini
2 :  0
Sofia Kenin

Ekaterina Alexandrova against Sofia Kenin : Head to Head (H2H)

Oct 7, 2024 - WTA Wuhan Open

Sofia Kenin
1 :  2
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Compare Ekaterina Alexandrova and Sofia Kenin with our comparison tool.

Ekaterina Alexandrova - Sofia Kenin Key Points

  1. Sofia Kenin defeated Wakana Sonobe 3-6, 6-1, 7-6 in the second round of the 2025 Toray Pan Pacific Open.
  2. Sofia Kenin is 18-16 on the hard court in 2025.
  3. Ekaterina Alexandrova defeated Jaqueline Cristian 6-1, 6-2 in the second round of the 2025 Toray Pan Pacific Open.
  4. Ekaterina Alexandrova is 22-15 on the hard court in 2025.

Our Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Sofia Kenin Prediction

Fearless Forecast: Ekaterina Alexandrova will blast Sofia Kenin 6-3, 6-3 to cover -5.5 games (+120). Kenin might not be the same player as she was during the peak of her career, but she’s still a legit top-50 player in the world. However, Alexandrova has elevated her game to another level over the past several weeks, racking up 9 wins in 13 matches and two finals appearances in Seoul and Ningbo. Alexandrova is playing at an elite level right now, which spells bad news for Kenin, who is 1-7 against the top-10 players this year.

Our betting prediction for Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Sofia Kenin: Ekaterina Alexandrova -5.5 Games.

Prediction:

 

Ekaterina Alexandrova -5.5 Games

+120
$300+ offered for betting!

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Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Sofia Kenin Picks