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by Carlos Zabala in MLB Picks
The first game of the Tigers-Mariners divisional playoff series was undoubtedly the most exciting of the four games played on Saturday. It was the closest from start to finish, but the Mariners lost it in extra innings, 2-3.
The pitching duel between Melton for the Tigers and Kirby for the Mariners seemed to be playing out in Seattle's favor. Things started well for the home team when Julio Rodríguez hit a solo home run in the 4th inning that blew up T-Mobile Park, but in the following inning, Carpenter took advantage of a pitch that stayed in the power zone and homered with Meadows on board, giving the Tigers the lead.
J. Rod also drove in the tying run, with a single that brought in Arozarena. The game went into extra innings, in the 11th inning, and was a showdown between two of the best bullpens in the MLB.
For the Tigers, Hurter, R. Montero, Holton, Kahnle, Finnegan, Vest, and K. Montero combined out of the bullpen to pitch seven innings of one-run ball, with Vest pitching two and K. Montero recording the save by recording the final three outs. McKinstry drove in the go-ahead run for the Tigers with a single that went up the middle; it's a series that's getting tremendously complicated for the Mariners, given that Skubal is pitching on Sunday.
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Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners Form
Detroit Tigers and Seattle Mariners Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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0/6 (0%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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Detroit Tigers against Seattle Mariners : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Oct 4, 2025 - MLB
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Detroit Tigers - Seattle Mariners Key Points
- The Tigers won Saturday despite striking out 16 times
- The Mariners have won both times in 2025 when they faced Skubal
- Seven of the Tigers' last 10 games have resulted in a Game Total of UNDER in betting
- On average, Mariners starters struck out 5.4 per outing this season
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Our Detroit Tigers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction
Although it seemed impossible, Tarik Skubal, the reigning AL Cy Young Award winner, had an even better outing in his first postseason outing this year than the gems he frequently pitched against in the regular season. Against the Guards in the Wild Card Series, Skubal pitched 7.
2 innings with an impressive 14 strikeouts; he also displayed some of that near-absolute dominance in last year's playoffs.
For his part, Luis Castillo will be the Mariners' starter in this key game. The Dominican also had an excellent finish to his regular season. From September 12th to the 24th, he pitched three straight quality outings; in the last one against the Rockies, he struck out 10 and earned a W in each of those three games.
Our prediction for Mariners vs Tigers is: Under 6.5 runs.
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