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by Lou Aguila in MLB Picks
After stunning Tarik Skubal and the Detroit Tigers in Game 1, the Miami Marlins emerge as an enticing underdog pick at +107 ahead of Saturday’s Game 2 at LoanDepot Park.
By the way, Miami has won 8 of its last 10 meetings with the Tigers.
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The Marlins extended their win streak to three games after blasting the visiting Tigers 8-2 in Game 1. Miami, carrying a .250/.315/.392 slash in the season, raced to a 3-0 lead after two innings while Joey Weimer delivered a three-run blast in the 8th inning to put Detroit away for good. Miami also benefited from a terrific mound stint by Sandy Alcantara, who outdueled CY Young Award front-runner Tarik Skubal after allowing two earned runs and striking out eight batters over seven innings. Miami improved to 69-79 in the season, third in the NL East.
As for the Tigers, they absorbed their second straight loss and third in their last five games. Detroit still commands a comfortable 8.5-game lead on its closest trailers, the 76-71 Cleveland Guardians in the AL Central standings. Boasting a 3.90 ERA in the season, Detroit has surrendered 17 runs in the last two games alone, raising concerns that this pitching mini-slump could worsen over time.
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Detroit Tigers vs Miami Marlins Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
0.568 | 148 | 84 | 64 |
|
22
|
0.466 | 148 | 69 | 79 |
Detroit Tigers and Miami Marlins Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 12, 2025 - MLB
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 7, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 3, 2025 - MLB
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Sep 1, 2025 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 12, 2025 - MLB
Sep 11, 2025 - MLB
Sep 10, 2025 - MLB
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Aug 31, 2025 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 12, 2025 - MLB
Sep 11, 2025 - MLB
Sep 10, 2025 - MLB
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Sep 12, 2025 - MLB
Sep 11, 2025 - MLB
Sep 10, 2025 - MLB
Sep 9, 2025 - MLB
Sep 8, 2025 - MLB
Sep 7, 2025 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Sep 3, 2025 - MLB
Sep 2, 2025 - MLB
Sep 1, 2025 - MLB
Aug 31, 2025 - MLB
Aug 30, 2025 - MLB
Aug 29, 2025 - MLB
Detroit Tigers against Miami Marlins : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
Sep 12, 2025 - MLB
May 14, 2024 - MLB
May 13, 2024 - MLB
May 23, 2019 - MLB
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Detroit Tigers - Miami Marlins Key Points
- Detroit is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games against Miami.
- Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against an opponent in the National League.
- Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
- Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games played on a Saturday.
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Our Detroit Tigers vs Miami Marlins Prediction
Miami has positioned itself as an intriguing underdog pick for Game 2 because of its 8-2 record in the last 10 games against the AL Central leader. The Marlins are averaging 7.1 runs per game on a .277 batting average in their last five games, harnessing enough offense to offset their 5.00 ERA in the stretch and topple a powerhouse team like the Tigers.
Hounded by pitching woes in the last two games, Detroit will start Charlie Morton, who carries a 6.08 ERA in his last five starts. Morton has lost his last three starts, surrendering a total of 14 runs over 11 pitched innings. This makes Morton vulnerable against the Marlins' big bats, who average 9.2 hits and 1.4 homers in Miami’s last five games. Detroit’s bullpen has also been unreliable, posting a 5.47 ERA in the stretch.
Our betting prediction for the Detroit Tigers vs. the Miami Marlins: The Miami Marlins will win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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