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by Lou Aguila | in MLB Picks
The Kansas City Royals and the Detroit Tigers gear up for their final head-to-head match of the regular season on Sunday at Kaufmann Stadium.
Form in the last five games.
The Royals have won three of their last five games, including Saturday’s 3-1 win to even their current series with Detroit at 1-1. In this five-game spell, Kansas City has pitched a solid 3.68 ERA and averaged 4.2 runs per game on a .233 batting average.
The Tigers, who have an 8.5-game lead on the 70-66 Royals in the American League Central, have only won one of their last five games. Carrying a 3.86 ERA in the season, Detroit’s ERA in the last five games has jumped to 4.58 after squandering 22 runs across three games against the Athletics in the previous series.
Pitchers Matchup:
Detroit’s left-handed pitcher Tarik Skubal (11-4, 2.28 ERA) vs. Royals’ right-handed pitcher Michael Wacha (8-10, 3.39 ERA).
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Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
3
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0.576 | 139 | 80 | 59 |
14
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0.511 | 137 | 70 | 67 |
Detroit Tigers and Kansas City Royals Latest Matches

1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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Detroit Tigers against Kansas City Royals : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Aug 30, 2025 - MLB
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Detroit Tigers - Kansas City Royals Key Points
- Detroit is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games against Kansas City.
- Kansas City is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games against an opponent in the American League.
- Kansas City is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home.
- Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
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Our Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Tigers take series behind strong stint from Tarik Skubal.
Difference Maker: The performance of Tarik Skubal will determine whether Detroit will win Game 3 or not. Skubal is 4-1 with a 3.06 ERA in his last five starts, while allowing only three runs in 17 innings across his last three starts against the Royals. Michael Wacha has also been excellent in his last five starts (4-1, 2.87 ERA) and has won his last two duels with Skubal. However, Skubal will step onto the bump with a formidable form after racking up a total of 22 strikeouts against one earned run in his last two starts. ESPN Match Predictor has given the Tigers a 66 percent win probability in Game 3, and Skubal’s current form, to some degree, influenced how the predicting machine arrived at that win rate. Also, don’t forget that Detroit is 6-4 in its last 10 meetings with Kansas City, 5 of which they won by at least two runs.
Our betting prediction for the Detroit Tigers vs. the Kansas City Royals: the Tigers -1.5 Runs.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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